EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
For the time being EUR/AUD is trading within the boundaries of a bearish channel. Accordingly, we expect the currency pair to bounce off the nearby resistance trend-line and pursue an encounter with the lower trend-line at 1.4350.
However, even though the signals are weak, there are a few indicators that are currently pointing north. If the sell-off is not triggered and the price closes above 1.4650, there is likely to be an attempt to attack a dense supply area between 1.4750 and 1.4700, which is implied by the Jun 22 high and monthly R2. In the meantime, most SWFX market participants are holding short Euro positions, namely 62% of them.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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