EUR/USD bears could prevail

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Friday, the Eurozone single currency plunged by 54 pips or 0.45% against the US Dollar. The decline was stopped by the 50– hour simple moving average during Friday's trading session.

Economic Calendar Analysis



Next week, on Monday, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI could cause a move. The EUR/USD has moved 10.8 to 16.5 pips on the release since March 1.

On Wednesday, at 14:00 GMT, the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIs is set to be released. The EUR/USD has moved 5.9 to 12.4 pips on the release.

The week will end with the Friday's release of the US employment data at 12:30 GMT. The event consists of the release of the US Average Hourly Earnings, US Non-farm Employment Change and US Unemployment Rate.

The rate has moved from 20.2 to 75.1 pips on the announcement.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.


EUR/USD hourly chart's review

All things being equal, the exchange rate could continue to edge lower during the following trading session. The potential target for the EUR/USD pair will be near the 200– hour SMA at 1.1789.

However, sellers are likely to encounter a support cluster formed by the weekly pivot point and the 100– hour moving average at 1.1848 within this session.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, it can be observed that since June the rate has been finding resistance in the 1.1900 and 1.1950 levels. Meanwhile, the 1.2000 mark is surrounded by technical resistance levels like the three daily simple moving averages and a 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level.

In regards to support, the 1.1750 level has been marked as support, as it is clear that it managed to reverse the June and July decline of the currency exchange rate.

Daily chart




Traders are bullish

On Friday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange trader open positions were long, as 61% of open position volume was in long positions.

On Monday, the market sentiment was at 54% long.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 57% to sell the EUR/USD currency pair and 26% to buy.

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