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Big difference between the Contest and back test results
 Post subject: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Tue 01 Nov, 2011, 21:30 
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Hello Contest Support,

Strategy Contest October 2011: https://www.dukascopy.com/strategycontes ... nth=201110

Balance (USD): 250 771.40
Number of positions: 20
Total pips points gained: 311

Back test:
Balance (USD): 343 346.12
Number of positions: 21
Total pips points gained: 536

Why there is a big difference between the Strategy Contest and back test results?

To make it clearer, add the report.
EURUSD - last month – tick.
In October worked these versions: Trender 0.3, Trender 0.4, Trender 0.5.

I'm strategy update once noticed that she did not open the order. The strategy has not changed. Only the third time increased the spread. All of my strategy this month give the same result in the tester. So the distinction does not depend on the update of the strategy. There are some other reason, which I want to find out.


Thank you,

Egidijus


Attachments:
File comment: Trender 2011 10. v 0.3, 0.4, 0.5
Trender 2011 10.rar [3.86 KiB]
Downloaded 366 times
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 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Nov, 2011, 05:01 

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Hello egidijus

I have tried to backtest your October strategy

Each time it freezes at 23.30 on the 30th October (96% complete) - don't know why?

$216, 036.81 - 23 trades

EURUSD - last month - tick

I guess this is the way to backtest it ??

us_copiosus


 
 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Nov, 2011, 17:26 
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Joined: Tue 14 Jun, 2011, 11:41
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Location: Lithuania, Vilnius
Guest wrote:
Hello egidijus

I have tried to backtest your October strategy

Each time it freezes at 23.30 on the 30th October (96% complete) - don't know why?

$216, 036.81 - 23 trades

EURUSD - last month - tick

I guess this is the way to backtest it ??

us_copiosus


Hello us_copiosus,

EURUSD - last month – tick.
Check whether the version watched. In October worked these versions: Trender 0.3, Trender 0.4, Trender 0.5.

Egidijus


Attachments:
File comment: Trender 2011 10. v 0.3, 0.4, 0.5
Trender 2011 10.rar [3.86 KiB]
Downloaded 368 times
DISCLAIMER: Dukascopy Bank SA's waiver of responsability - Documents, data or information available on this webpage may be posted by third parties without Dukascopy Bank SA being obliged to make any control on their content. Anyone accessing this webpage and downloading or otherwise making use of any document, data or information found on this webpage shall do it on his/her own risks without any recourse against Dukascopy Bank SA in relation thereto or for any consequences arising to him/her or any third party from the use and/or reliance on any document, data or information found on this webpage.
 
 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Nov, 2011, 20:33 
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Joined: Tue 14 Jun, 2011, 11:41
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Hello Contest Support,

Strategy Contest November 2011: https://www.dukascopy.com/strategycontes ... r=egidijus
Today (2011 11 02) SELL 5.000M EUR/USD @ 1.37340, SL 1.37840 (50 pips),TP 1.36925 (41 pips)

IBar prevBar = history.getBar(instrument, Period.ONE_HOUR, OfferSide.BID, 1);
IBar prevBar2 = history.getBar(instrument, Period.ONE_HOUR, OfferSide.BID, 2);

prevVolume = prevBar.getVolume();
prevVolume2 = prevBar2.getVolume();

//------ Condition for order open ------
prevVolume >= prevVolume2 && prevVolume < 1.6 * prevVolume2

But in history prevVolume < prevVolume2
Why was opened this order? Where is the mistake?

Thank you,

Egidijus


 
 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Nov, 2011, 22:37 
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Compare all trades one by one and see the difference, there are not so many of them should be easy to find out what's going on.

I am always wondering how the history is working i never used it live, i just dont know how often that stuff is refreshed.


 
 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 03 Nov, 2011, 09:17 
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Joined: Tue 14 Jun, 2011, 11:41
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Location: Lithuania, Vilnius
Hello Contest Support,

It seems to me that the volume in the history sometimes redrawn. This is so? Why?

Thank you,

Egidijus 


 
 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 03 Nov, 2011, 11:21 
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Hey everyone,

There are a few reasons why the strategies might perform differently:

1) When there is a queue of ticks in the live mode, the oldests ticks are skipped while the tester runs all ticks without skipping ticks.

2) The tester works on the basis of live historical datafeed, while demo feed is based on demo datafeed. It might be a bit different due to idividual bids/offers that affect the feed on live.


 
 Post subject: Re: Big difference between the Contest and back test results Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 03 Nov, 2011, 12:03 
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Thanks


 

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