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Trading and the simplicity!
 Post subject: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 1   New post Posted: Mon 10 Sep, 2012, 10:05 
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Hi Dukascopy Community:

I decided to start posting from yesterday and a weekly article where I will explain my strategy Pivot. I will try to address topics such as Money Management, Stop Loss, Different Time Frames relationship. I decided to go ahead with this type of articles because I believe in simplicity is that you can find success. I would appreciate all give their input and raise issues so you can enrich the content of my approaches. Hope you enjoy!

EDIT: To be easy to access all articles and other information i will edit this post to put the links referencing the changes:

My Pivot Strategy Articles:
Looking for Miraculous Strategies!?! - 6th place
Looking for Miraculous Strategies!?!(Part 2) - 9th place

My Fibo_Dec Strategy Articles:
Trade Simple with Fibo_dec Strategy (Part 1) - 3rd place

My Scalper Bands Strategy Articles:
Get About 2500 Pips per Year

END EDIT AREA.

Good trades
APinto - Bluedragon


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Mon 10 Sep, 2012, 12:29 
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Linnux and JLongo, sorry to be making the commentary for your contributions to my article here in the forum, but it happens that I am not able to respond to comments made by other members, it gives me an error with the Internet connection?!?!?!?).
Yes it is true that the greater the distance between the price and Pivot much more effective this strategy can be. Also there is the issue of Time frame that is being used. As mean the article in TF is the ideal MN distance above 120 pips, when we speak of W1 above 75 pips already could be "good" trades in D1 I would say above 30 pips already worth risking. The trick then becomes the TPs and the SL or management thereof ... but this, save it for a future article if there is interest by other community members.
good trades


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 12 Sep, 2012, 12:25 
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Hi guys,
As you can see, the EURUSD in its Monthly Pivot formation for next month, already has about 130 pips, considering the levels of exhaustion purchases, even if we take into account the monthly pivot September, which has not yet been fulfilled (and can not really be), I think this area is great to place an order the first PIVOT October (still in formation) should, however, do so with little leverage and the possibility of reinforcements at higher levels.
Good Trades


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 13 Sep, 2012, 18:53 
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Higher you climb the greater the fall, this movement has improved a bit over our PIVOT.
Monthly Pivot at 150 pips (down)
Weekly Pivot at 70 pips (down)
Daily Pivot currently 35 pips (too down).
Right here we have a nice trigger to sell. I just put a sell order without SL and TP 50 pips pointing. We shall see.

good trades


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Fri 14 Sep, 2012, 13:13 
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Hello SpecialFX
I am in agreement with you, the TREND is actually our best friend, however the trend has inversions and reversals beyond also has corrections, we have a good example. There are 1 month ago were in downtrend, however it was not why not started a bullish move (initially seen as a simple correction, but with the passing of resistance, is now seen as a Bullish Trend ... the question is: it will last forever!? But like you, this is just a humble opinion ;) Good trades to you.

Sorry i put the answer here becaus i can't put it in comments of my article (it appears a error) :(


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 20 Sep, 2012, 09:42 
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As you all can see, in trends always reversal happen. And this is a prove of that. Pivot W1 was get it, now we continue moving down to MN Pivot... Pacience is our best friend...even more than trend ;) Good trades to all


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 20 Sep, 2012, 10:16 
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Bluedragon wrote:
Pacience is our best friend...even more than trend ;)

I would have to disagree with this, the trend is always your best friend, but that doesn't mean you'll win 100% of the time, of course :)
Imagine that you bought technology stocks in the internet bubble of the late 90s / early 2000s, you can have all the patience in the world that it won't make those stocks reach those levels ever again :)

Or if you want a forex example, imagine that you went long USD/JPY when the subprime crisis began, no amount of patience would save that trade either, because the trend has been constantly bearish.

Patience is a very good thing to have in trading, but the last thing you want is to have patience in a bad trade (which I'm not saying is the case here).

Good luck with your trades ;)


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 26 Sep, 2012, 15:47 
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Unfortunately not everyone shares the same opinion, so as I had mentioned at the beginning of the month, if hou: (vesse positive manifestation on the part of readers, I would continue in October explaining the strategy, as the result was below expectations, unfortunately I'll leave it at that :(


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Tue 09 Oct, 2012, 13:15 
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First wanted to thank everyone who gave me congratulations for having reached the TOP 10 with the 1st part of Article pivots, this month will continue the explanation of the strategy, that because I had committed to do so, if that was the aspiration of readers. Since the very Dukascopy acknowledged some quality in the article, I realized that there was nothing else to do but give continuity to this work. Unfortunately and personal issues, this month is not going as I wished, so the time and dedication may not have been the theme that / article really deserved (and I apologize for that) but I hope it is to your liking and that will contribute positively in your learning. good trades.
APinto - Bluedragon


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 10 Oct, 2012, 05:00 
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Now you could find the link to 2nd part of my article about Pivots Strategy, look for 1st post from this thread.
Votes of good trades.
Regards
APinto- Bluedragon


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 1   New post Posted: Wed 02 Jan, 2013, 15:27 
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Good afternoon, during this month of January, and following the article that I have at contest this month, I'll post here daily analysis, according to the system described in the article (https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-arti ... ad&id=1136).
Thus, i leave you the scenarios obtained from analysis of yesterday (01/01/2013), which by the way has already reached the TP3 bullish scenario.

Possible Scenarios

A) Above 1.32338 “suggest” purchases, with 40 pips of SL, as TPs, consider: TP1@ 1.32463; as TP2@ 1.32588 and TP3@ 1.32714/776. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.
B) In the range* from 1.31962 to 1.32338 is the scenario MARKET IN RIGHT SIDE (For more aggressive investors) suggest:
- Buying above 1.32338, SL with a maximum price of the entry of scenario C.
- Selling below 1.32025 with SL maximum of 20 pips (1.32225)
C) Below 1.31962 get Sell positions with SL of 40 pips, as TPs, consider: TP0@ 1.31712; TP1@ 1.31587; TP2@ 1.31462 and TP3@ 1.31274/336, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.


* – any position in this range is considered as a “higher position risk”.

Good trades to all
APinto - The Bluedragon


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 1   New post Posted: Wed 02 Jan, 2013, 16:47 
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According to the article, when it reached the TP3/SLIP, we must reassess the market, so here are the new scenarios at present
Possible Scenarios

A) Above 1.3299 “suggest” purchases, with 65 pips of SL, as TPs, consider: TP1@ 1.3320; as TP2@ 1.33422 and TP3@ 1.33637/745. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.
B) In the range* from 1.32346 to 1.3299 is the scenario MARKET IN RIGHT SIDE (For more aggressive investors) suggest:
- Buying above 1.32453, SL with a maximum price of the entry of scenario C.
- Selling below 1.32884 with SL maximum of 20 pips (1.33084)
C) Below 1.32346 get Sell positions with SL of 65 pips, as TPs, consider: TP0@ 1.31915; TP1@ 1.3170; TP2@ 1.31485 and TP3@ 1.31162/269, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.

* – any position in this range is considered as a “higher position risk”.

https://screencast.com/t/cbKNgeqa

Good trades to all, with lots of blue pips ;)


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 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Jan, 2013, 17:28 
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Cool. TP0 in down scenario reached ;).


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Jan, 2013, 18:30 
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;) TP1, Now the SL is moved to TP0. Keep going done i hope ;)


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 1   New post Posted: Wed 02 Jan, 2013, 20:34 
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The intraday analysis posted to the middle of the afternoon, this time already have a guaranteed SL in TP0@ 1,31715, thus representing +43.1 pips. :D
As explained in the article, the ideal time to perform the analyzes is at about 18:00 GMT, serving it, then let the analysis to the next 24hours.

A) Above 1.3422 “suggest” purchases, with 85 pips of SL, as TPs, consider: TP0@ 1.32989; TP1@ 1.33273; as TP2@ 1.33556 and TP3@ 1.3384/98. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.
B) In the range* from 1.31572 to 1.32422 is the scenario MARKET IN RIGHT SIDE (For more aggressive investors) suggest:
- Buying above 1.31713, SL with a maximum price of the entry of scenario C.
- Selling below 1.3228 with SL maximum of 20 pips (1.3248)
C) Below 1.3157 get Sell positions with SL of 85 pips, as TPs, consider: TP1@ 1.31288; TP2@ 1.31005 and TP3@ 1.30758/71, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.

* – any position in this range is considered as a “higher position risk”.

See the chart here: https://screencast.com/t/9Mbm3Ly8UE

Good trades to all, with lots of blue pips ;)


Attachments:
DA-02012013.png [135.21 KiB]
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DISCLAIMER: Dukascopy Bank SA's waiver of responsability - Documents, data or information available on this webpage may be posted by third parties without Dukascopy Bank SA being obliged to make any control on their content. Anyone accessing this webpage and downloading or otherwise making use of any document, data or information found on this webpage shall do it on his/her own risks without any recourse against Dukascopy Bank SA in relation thereto or for any consequences arising to him/her or any third party from the use and/or reliance on any document, data or information found on this webpage.
 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Wed 02 Jan, 2013, 22:04 
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Bluedragon wrote:
...
C) Below 1.31962 get Sell positions with SL of 40 pips, as TPs, consider: TP0@ 1.31712; TP1@ 1.31587; TP2@ 1.31462 and TP3@ 1.31274/336, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.[/color]...


Get Stopped with a profit of +43.1 pips ;)


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Thu 03 Jan, 2013, 08:17 
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Bluedragon wrote:
...C) Below 1.3157 get Sell positions with SL of 85 pips, as TPs, consider: TP1@ 1.31288; TP2@ 1.31005 and TP3@ 1.30758/71, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.[/color]...


TP1 reached during the Asian session. 50% of volume closed and Sl moved to BE. + 28.2pips ;)


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 1   New post Posted: Thu 03 Jan, 2013, 19:16 
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In the last analysis after a partial closure of 50% TP1 (+28.2 PIPS), the remainder was StopLoss in BE.
For the next hour analysis (scenarios is the following):

A) Above 1.31462 “suggest” purchases, with 65 pips of SL, as TPs, consider: TP0@ 1.31889; TP1@ 1.32102; as TP2@ 1.32315 and TP3@ 1.32528/635. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.
B) In the range* from 1.30823 to 1.31462 is the scenario MARKET IN RIGHT SIDE (For more aggressive investors) suggest:
- Buying above 1.30823, SL with a maximum price of the entry of scenario C.
- Selling below 1.31356 with SL maximum of 20 pips (1.31556)
C) Below 1.30823 get Sell positions with SL of 65 pips, as TPs, consider: TP1@ 1.30609; TP2@ 1.30396 and TP3@ 1.30076/183, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP.
* – any position in this range is considered as a “higher position risk”.


See the chart here: https://screencast.com/t/WMjuzSbBf

Good trades to all, with lots of blue pips ;)


Attachments:
DA-03012013.png [131.56 KiB]
Downloaded 632 times
DISCLAIMER: Dukascopy Bank SA's waiver of responsability - Documents, data or information available on this webpage may be posted by third parties without Dukascopy Bank SA being obliged to make any control on their content. Anyone accessing this webpage and downloading or otherwise making use of any document, data or information found on this webpage shall do it on his/her own risks without any recourse against Dukascopy Bank SA in relation thereto or for any consequences arising to him/her or any third party from the use and/or reliance on any document, data or information found on this webpage.
 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 1   New post Posted: Thu 03 Jan, 2013, 21:33 
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Bluedragon wrote:
...C) Below 1.30823 get Sell positions with SL of 65 pips, as TPs, consider: TP1@ 1.30609; TP2@ 1.30396 and TP3@ 1.30076/183, the “Breakout”. Hint: use of BE after reaching the 1st TP...”.[/color]


- TP1 Reached and close 50% of volume order (+21.4PIPS). SL put in BE@ 1.30823
- TP2 Reached and close 25% of volume order (+42.7PIPS). SL put in TP1@ 1.30609 - (22h44 GMT)


 
 Post subject: Re: Trading and the simplicity! Post rating: 0   New post Posted: Tue 08 Jan, 2013, 17:41 
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Greetings Bluedragon,

Thank you for sharing this strategy.
Pls continue. :)
What is the success ratio for this system in backtesting?


 

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