01-05-2015 - Afternoon01-05-2015 - Morning30-04-2015 - Afternoon30-04-2015 - Morning29-04-2015 - Morning28-04-2015 - Afternoon28-04-2015 - Morning27-04-2015 - Afternoon27-04-2015 - Morning24-04-2015 - Afternoon24-04-2015 - Morning23-04-2015 - Afternoon23-04-2015 - Morning22-04-2015 - Afternoon

Dukascopy Forex Overview: 01-05-2015 - Afternoon

Dukascopy Bank analytic desk report
Published: 01/05/2015 16:20
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
Euro zone inflation records zero growth in April, Spain—EZ star performer
After four consecutive months in the red, the Euro bloc’s consumer inflation recorded zero growth in April, adding to signs that deflationary fears have been easing.
 
Dukascopy Technical Analysis

EUR/JPY rises for nine days in a row
“The euro could remain supported even if the rise in bund yields eases as the currency had been sold in excess of actual economic fundamentals." 
- Mizuho Bank (based on Reuters)
The EUR/JPY currency pair overperformed on Thursday, as it went over the 133 level. 
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Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
BoJ cuts its growth and inflation outlook, delaying timeline for hitting 2% inflation goal
The Bank of Japan lowered its growth and inflation forecasts, as a slew of soft data highlighted weakness in the world’s third largest economy.
Expert Commentary
"Silver prices continue to face pressure from the strength of the U.S Dollar, and I certainly do not think those fundamentals will change in Q2 of 2015."
- Nik Kalsi, Head of Investment Analysis at The Gold&Silver Club of London, on silver
In the near term the silver performance will be influenced by the precious metals seasonal cycle. From a seasonality perspective we are moving into a very bearish period for the precious metals in general. >>
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Press Review
Business Insider
Grexit could cause a recession 'of unprecedented magnitude' and a 50% currency devaluation
What happens if Greece has to quit the euro?.
Market Research
Currency Index & Volatility: EUR
The Euro’s significance measure spent a notable part of the period on subdued levels, with most downward pressure coming from the Swiss franc’s components.
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Dukascopy Bank Sentiment Index
March release
Although February is the shortest month of the year, it was full of economics and politics related news from all over the world. Given such a slew of data, it barely had a significant impact on global short and long term economic outlook of academia experts.

Global Stock Market Review
American stock market advanced on good corporate earnings
US share market continued its positive tendency despite the fact, that the economic reports were weak, with manufacturing growth slowing and durable goods orders falling.
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Commodity Overview
China May Be A Key to Platinum Rally
Platinum prices will be likely moved by demand in China, according to Capital Economics in a recent report. Platinum prices may reach $1,400 by the end of 2015, supported by Chinese demand. July platinum closed Thursday at $1,136.70 on Comex.
Trade Pattern Idea
USD/RUB 1H Chart: Triangle
After forming a triangle pattern on a 4H chart a week ago, the USD/RUB pair has now created the same high-quality and magnitude pattern on the one-hour time frame chart. >>

USD/JPY 1D Chart: Ascending Triangle
Starting from July 2014, the US Dollar surged considerably against the Japanese Yen. >>
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Economic Research

Forecasting Models for Exchange Rate
The science of prognostics has been going through a rapid and fruitful development in the past decades, with various forecasting methods, procedures and approaches flooding the economic world. It is estimated that there are more than 100 prediction methods, and sometimes the diversity makes it difficult to choose the one that would do the trick.
Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator
Dukascopy Bank presents a new research product - the aggregate technical indicator. The new tool will indicate the strongest signals on major currency pairs. Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator for 30 min and 1H time frame charts for major pairs for the last 144 periods till 16:30 GMT.
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Disclaimer:
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy Bank SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.

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