llolor's activity - Technical Analysis Contest - Dukascopy Community

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Activity

Oct. 1,2018 Oct. 1,2018

AUDUSD - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 2 Aug. as Analysis on AUD/USD, Target: 0.7165, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #AUD/USD

Fig 1:
Bollinger Bands on the daily chart continue declining.
Upper band - 0.75390,
Middle Band - 0.74024,
Lower Band - 0.72914.
The price range is narrowing down, reflecting recent high volatility and a correctional growth is possible. MACD is growing.
Support levels: 0.7250 - which and the current local low,
0.7200 - The last time this level was hit was in April 2009. Resistance levels: 0.7300 - which is the the nearest level, 0.7327, 0.7370, 0.7400, 0.7448 - which is the 21^st…

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Gold - 1 October 2015 Forecast

llolor Posted 14 Aug. as Analysis on XAU/USD, Target: 1106.848, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #XAU/USD

Fig 1

According to fig 1 there was a breakout in the price of Gold on the 19th of July 2015, the candle circled in Fig 1
The previous low of 1131 from November 2014 which acted a support for a long time was breached
Expecting the previous support (1131) to become resistance on the medium term

The high from May is at 1232 and the low from July is at 1070

…

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Silver - 1 October 2015 Forecast

llolor Posted 14 Aug. as Analysis on XAG/USD, Target: 15.045, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #XAG/USD

Fig 1
Fig 2

From Fig 1 the fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

100% - 18.46 January 2015 High
61.8% - 16.89.
50% - 16.40
38.2% - 15.91
23.6% - 15.32
0% - 14.38 July 2015 low

The bolinger bands in Fig 2 have the following levels:

Upper Band - 15.71
Middle Band - 15.06
Lower Band - 14.41

Expecting the bear run on the price of silver to continue
the price of silver to likely proceed by the path in blue, in fig 2
15-15.1 is my target range

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Brent Crude Oil - 1 October 2015 Forecast

llolor Posted 14 Aug. as Analysis on BRENT.CMD/USD, Target: 50.477, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #Brent CMD/USD

After the decline in the price from close to 70, to under 50, the bolinger bands are now straightening
The Upper band is at 57.36, the Middle band at 51.92 and the lower band at 46.47.
Expect the bolinger bands to narrow in the short term
The likely path of oil is in red

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EUR/PLN - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 14 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.1048, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/PLN

the weekly chart shows that the pair has been trading in a range
The upper Bound is at 4.4
The lower bound is at 4

The bolinger bands are as follows: Upper band - 4.22. Middle band - 4.16 and lower band - 4.10
Expecting the swing trading to continue
4.10 is the target

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EUR/GBP - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/GBP, Target: 0.7070, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/GBP

A lot of swings and the pair is range bound
the Fibonacci retracement points are as follows: 100% - 0.7482, 61.8% - 0.7274, 50% - 0.72099, 38.2% - 0.71455, 23.6% - 0.7065 and 0% - 0.6937
Expecting the pair to trade above the 0.7 mark and resistance should come at the 61.8% level and then 0.73

the bolinger bands are as follows: Upper band - 0.7175, Middle band - 0.7072 ans Lower band - 0.6970

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HKDJYPY - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on HKD/JPY, Target: 16.053, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #HKD/JPY

Low volatility in the pair as highlighted by the narrow bollinger bands
Key levels established in the trading are 15. 15.7 which is the support i the near term and 16.22 which is resistance in the short to medium term
upper band - 16.11, Middle band - 16.02 amd lower band - 15.90

Low volatility to persist in the pair
The likely path to be followed by the pair is highlighted in blue

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SGD/JPY - 1 OCTOBER 2015

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on SGD/JPY, Target: 90.5000, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #SGD/JPY

The pair has been trading in a bullish channel since 2012 as seen on the weekly chart above
The has only been a breakout once on the upside
The price is close to the lower boundary of the channel
I'm not expecting a breakout on the downside
The price is likely going to bounce and trade within the triangle region in the fig above

The triangle on the daily chart
Resistance to come at 92 and 93 in the short to medium term
High volatility in the pair

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EURSEK - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.3154, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/SEK

The pair is in a bullish channel
the price has not been able to close above 9.6 on a weekly basis
Huge spikes in the chart
Trading in the pair should revert to the shaded region in the medium term
The forecast range is 9.3-9.35

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EUR/NOK - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 8.9263, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/NOK

There was a spike in the price to 9.9 in December 2014
The price has not closed above 9.31 on the daily chart
I expect 9.31 to be a strong resistance in the short term
If 9.31 is breached by the current momentum the level will turn to be a strong support

The Fibonacci retracement levels are shown in the chart above
I expect the price to be close to the 61.8% retracement level

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EURHKD - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/HKD, Target: 8.6901, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/HKD

The pair is trading in a range in 2015
The top of the range is at 8.93
The bottom of the range is at 8.12
High volatility in the pair
The support in the recent past has been at 8.37

The bolinger bands have straightened
Expecting range bound trading in the month ahead
The Upper band - 8.6843, Middle band 8.54 and lower band 8.41
Expecting the price to be close to the upper band

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NZDJPY - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 15 Aug. as Analysis on NZD/JPY, Target: 85.2300, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD/JPY

on the weekly chat the price has been trapped between 80 and 90 for the majority of the trading weeks over the past 2 years
The highest rate for the pair was just under 94
I'm not expecting the price to breakout of the range

High volatility in the pair
Expecting the pair to bounce of the 80 level
The projected path shown in the daily chart above

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AUD/JPY - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 16 Aug. as Analysis on AUD/JPY, Target: 93.0890, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #AUD/JPY

The weekly chart of the pair is shown above
The price is trading within a range from 86 to 104
The bolinger bands are as follows: Upper band - 96.835, Middle band - 93.079 and lower band - 89.323
Expecting the pair to be tradings within this range

Descending triangle formation on the daily chart
the base of the triangle is at 89.17
Price likely to be within the shaded region

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EURAUD - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 16 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/AUD, Target: 1.4532, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/AUD

the daily chart above shows that the pair has been range bound in 2015
The upper bound of the range is 1.53360 and the lower bound is 1.3671
Not expecting a breakout on either side of the boundaries which are acting as support and resistance

A look at the Fibonacci retracement points is in the chart above
I expect the rate for the EURAUD to be closer to the 50% Fibonacci retracement point at 1.45

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EURJPY - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 16 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 136.8590, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY

the daily chart for the pair is shown above
The Fibonacci retracement points are as follows on the chart:

100% - 149.78 - Dec 2014 High
61.8% - 140.73
50% - 137.83 - Closer to the current trading levels
38.2% - 135.13
23.6% - 131.67
0% - 126.07 - April 2015 Low

The bolinger bands are as follows:

Upper band - 139.09, Middle band - 136.86, Lower Band - 134.62

I expect trading in the pair to be range bound within the shaded region of the graph

200 SMA at 136.90

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AUDCHF - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 16 Aug. as Analysis on AUD/CHF, Target: 0.7338, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #AUD/CHF

The 200 SMA is at 0.7497
The bolinger bands are as follows : Upper band - 0.7333, Middle band - 0.71558, Lower Band - 0.6978

The likely path for the pair is shown in the fig above

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EURNZD - 1 OCTOBER 2015 FORECAST

llolor Posted 16 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/NZD, Target: 1.6764, Date: 1^st of October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #EUR/NZD

The pair is on a strong bull run
the current high is at 1.71
The bollinger bands are as follows : Upper band - 1.6986. Middle band - 1.6691 and lower band - 1.638
I now expect the bollinger bands to straighten and narrow as volatility reduces

The next level of support should come at 1.67
Expecting the price to be above this level of support

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