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How the Banks Trade Forex 17/77
Posted 24 Jun by Armands Ranking
Article Contest Banks Manipulation
In this article I will show you the way I look at the market now. At the very beginning when I started trading I was excited about all different kind of indicators and strategies. Time went by and I still could not figure out what am I doing wrong as I had read lot of text books and watched hundreds of videos. I studied candle sticks, price action , then combined everything together and still could not figure out what am I doing wrong. I have always wanted to know a reason behind everything what happens, including the forex. I started to ask myself what is really moving the price. Not having much trust in many things in this world, I also started to question all the information regarding financial markets and trading that is so easily available to everyone. Basically I started to think outside the box and sure enough, I started to see things the way I never did before.
Forex and any other markets are manipulated 24/7. You can see the same patterns over and over.Only few major banks control almost 80% of all Forex market. These banks have even admitted rigging markets and have been fined for that with billions of $, but all that is quickly forgotten and practically not covered by …
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Trading the News: Federal Open Market Committee Meeting 18/77
Posted 23 Jun by fxigor Ranking
Fomc Fomc Minutes Trading The News Fomc Statement
1.0 Introduction
USD Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Rate Decision was at June 17. This huge forex event is excellent for trading because it creates strong volatility and market direction. Trading the news is very difficult. Traders need to be nimble and prepared to close the position if price action went against them and on the other side they must calculate stop loss on right way and avoid to be "washed up" (lose position for few pips because volatility).
Trader need to be concentrated during post event speech because some important information can turn market down or up. Sometimes , FOMC rate move market 50-100 pips in one direction and then during the speech we get some new information which move market in opposite direction.
In this article I will try to describe whole process of trading.
2. Fundamental analysis before FOMC
May and June were one of the best months in fundamental view for dollar. Non-farm Payrolls were 280K with positive Retail Sales and several excellent reports. Employment stats are amazing and economy overview is in excellent shape. Personal consumption and industrial production are little bit below expected. Only industry in USA which is not in good sh…
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Automating Catch a Trend Strategy in Visual Jforex 10/77
Posted 22 Jun by pipx Ranking
Moving Averages Forex Robot Visual Jforex Atr Jforex Strategies
In the spirit of learning and sharing, I am going to convert my Catch a Trend Strategy into a JForex trading robot. I did not find it challenging implementing on Visual JForex compared to automating the Day Scalper strategy, which utilizes moving average envelopes and complex entry methods.
As I always state when sharing my trading strategies, there is no holy grail in forex trading. Every strategy will lose at a point no matter how advanced it is. What carries the day is proper risk management.
Multiple Bots Lowers Risk
With automated strategies, I have learned that spreading the risk across multiple robots with different entry methods and trade management systems greatly lowers my losses even if it is on the same pair. I risk 10% of my live account and run 10 to 15 bots concurrently on a VPS.
As seen from the following image on a demo account with Dukascopy, multiple bots were able to cover losses and end the period in profit. If I was running only 1 bot, the chances of profit or loss would have been 50%.
The next image shows the performance of many bots over a period of 30 days, but not on Dukascopy.
Note: I count pips made not the money.
As you can see, one bot trading GBPUSD …
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هل أنت مؤهل نفسيا للمتاجرة ... ادخل لتعرف 19/77
Posted 22 Jun by khalidamassi Ranking
الفوركس النفسية تجارة العملات ربح خسارة

هل أنت مؤهل نفسيا للمتاجرة ... ادخل لتعرف
مقدمة
هذا مقال رائع وهام جدا عن دور النفسية في المتاجرة... لقد أقسم أحدهم أنه لو استطعت أن تهزم شياطين النفسية فانك لا محالة ستصبح تاجر عملات ناجح ومحترف ... يقول نابليون بونابرت "الجزء الروحي المعنوي إلى المادي يكون بنسبة 1:3 أي أن تأثير النفسية أعظم وأقوى.
ما قصده نابليون هو أن العوامل النفسية تشكل 75% من أسباب النصر بالمعركة أعتقد أننا نستطيع أن نوسع ذلك المفهوم لكي يشمل أمور كثيرة من ضمنها المتاجرة . يبدو لي انه لا يجب علينا أن نبحث عن نظام المتاجرة الكامل لأنه –ببساطة – غير موجودة ولكن علينا أن نحاول الوصول لدرجة كافية من السيطرة على نفسيتنا بما يسمح لنا بالمتاجرة بنجاح وزيادة تراكم الأرباح مع مرور الوقت .
المهندسون دائما ما يقولون "الأفضل عدو الجيد الكافي " بمعنى آخر انك تحتاج إلى شيء يعمل معك بشكل مقبول لديك لأن محاولة عمل شيء مثالي هو مضيعة للمال والوقت والجهد .
وعي وإدراك المخاطر :
نفسية التداول تنطوي على مخاطر لا تقتصر على المادية منها فأجسامنا أنشئت على تعزيز الأحاسيس السارة وتجنب الأحاسيس غير السارة . التداول يمكن أن ينتج كلا النوعين من الأحاسيس لذا يكون التكيف مع التداول ذات طبيعة خطرة ... أنا أتحدث هنا بشكل خاص حول إدمان القمار فتجارة العملات تحفز النظام العصبي بطرق يمكن أن تؤدي إلى السلوك الإدماني.
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Leverage Assessment for a Live Account on Dukascopy 25/77
Posted 20 Jun by aslamhammad Ranking
Trading Leverage Fx Trading Risk Currency Exchange
Knowing how much to risk per trade is important in forex career. Managing risk is a very important concept to understand in this business . So, to make money with money you have to understand the logic of leverage. Where it can be in our favor, and when and where it is not in our favor to use high leverage for trading.
Scalpers are traders who like to close trades for 2, 5, 10, 20, 30, 50pips they are usually using high risk or medium risks, as they use tight stops for their scalp trades. The long term traders however use lower risk, who don't have time to site in front of pc 24/7, they are known as investors who like using long time frames h4-daily-weekly. Short term investors or scalpers and intraday traders like to refer small time frames like 30min, 1hour and h4.
So, now let's understand now what leverage is?
.
Leverage is investing with borrowed money as a way to amplify potential gains (at the risk of greater losses).
Many brokers offer investors 1:100 leverage for foreign exchange trading or forex trading. What does that mean, it means if you invest 100$, you'll have the ability to use 100$x100times leverage=10000$ borrowed capital for amplifying your gains. This mone…
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June Chronicles 3 16/77
Posted 19 Jun by fr33m4n Ranking
Technical analysis Eurusd Gbpusd Gbpjpy Technical Indicators

It is very funny how some trends “sneak” past us simply because we are not looking at the right thing, or too engrossed in the wrong thing.
But there are so many markets to trade!!
So many opportunities to make money!!
While the above statements are true, in this business it is not effective to be a Jack-of-all and a master of none. Focus is essential for success during trading. Many trading blogs advise new traders to specialize in few particular pairs, because every pair is different and unique.
The Gbpjpy market does not move in the same way as the Eurgbp market. If we were to compare the volatility of both markets, we would discover that they are miles apart. So it is good to focus on the right pairs and the right trading tools; to get the most out of trading the forex market. This is the first lesson I learnt as a forex trader. The pairs I watch are the Eurusd, Gbpjpy, Eurjpy and Gbpusd.
For charting analysis, I have found that the four-hourly chart has the best representation of price movement, and that good entries can be taken off the hourly charts. You can trade off the four-hourly charts directly, but it is good to try and fine-tune trading entries.
My methodology in…
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The Fall and Rise of the Russian Rouble (RUB) 8/77
Posted 19 Jun by llolor Ranking
Technical analysis RUB Article Contest Russia Ruble Rouble Econonic Analysis

Introduction

The past two years have been a roller-coaster ride for the USDRUB. The Rouble (RUB) was the worst performing currency in 2014 but it has had a remarkable turnaround and is now on of the best performing currencies in 2015 to date. This article looks at the state of the Russian economy and currency.

Russia’s economic indicators

  • Gross Domestic Product
With a population of more than 143 million people, Russia ranks in the top 10 of the global economies by GDP. According to IMF statistics the GDP in Russia stood at USD 2,709.13 billion in 2013 before shedding 31% to USD 1,857.46 billion in 2014. The GDP is expected to fall further in 2015 as the oil prices remain depressed, economic sanctions likely to remain in place and the geopolitical tensions least likely to ease in 2015. Fig 1 shows the GDP statistics for 2013 and 2014 as well as projections to 2020 (in white).
Fig 1: Russia’s GDP and GDP estimates
  • Inflation
Annual inflation rate in Russia slowed to 15.8 percent in May of 2015 from 16.4 percent in the previous month as increase in cost of food and housing eased. Fig 2 below shows the inflation developments in 2014 and 2015.
Fig 2: Russia’s Inflatio
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Creating Day Scalper Strategy in Visual Jf – Part 2 21/77
Posted 19 Jun by pipx Ranking
Day Trading Trend Trading Visual Forex Jforex Strategies Jforexrobot Trend Strategy
This is a continuation of my last article on creating the Day Scalper strategy on Visual JForex. To familiarize with what I will be covering read, Day Scalper strategy and automating Day Scalper in VJF Part 1.
In the last article, I developed the strategy up to the separation point of buy and sell signals and so, this article will cover buy and sell entry and trade management.
The image below shows where I stopped in the last article. To the left is the sell side and the right is the buy side.
Getting the Spread
Since there is no function of getting the spread in Visual JForex, I had to create it. Getting the spread is relatively easy; it is the difference between the Ask and the Bid price. To debug the value in pips divide the output by pipsSize. A ‘Calculation Expression’ block is used for this.
Buy Pending Position Rules
  1. Place buy at setup day high + defaultSlippage + spread (candleHigh).
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Fractal Breakout Strategy 23/77
Posted 18 Jun by prectical Ranking
Forex Strategy Breakout Scalping Fractal Fractal Breakout Strategy Scalping Strategy
First let have a look at what are the fractals. This is an indicator developed by Bill Williams which let us know when the market has reached its peak or bottom and should reverse the trend. The fractal shows that we have reached the peak when the average candle (5 candles) is located at highest. The fractal shows that we have reached the bottom when the average candle is placed at lowest.There are numerous strategies that include fractals but in this article and the forthcoming ones we will focus only on the most basic ones. The one we are going to have a look on today is extremely effective if it is used correctly and I would recommend it for advanced traders.Strategy: Scalping This strategy that I will show you in this article is based on fractals and Alligator. Both indicators were developed by Bill Williams. The strategy aims through multiple deals to secure stable income. Its main idea is to make deals with profit of 9 pips at risk 15 or 25. For this reason it is not recommended for beginner traders
Rules for trading:The first point of the strategy that must be discussed is the time frame. It should be 1 hour. This strategy works well also in larger time frames such as 4 hour…
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The Qe Solution!! 7/77
Posted 17 Jun by CD1V1 Ranking
Fundamental Analysis European Union Long-Term View

An economic recession is a situation that occurs when general consumer spending is low; it is marked by an increase in unemployment rate and a noticeable decrease in economic activity.
Unfortunately, most large economies like the United States of America, United Kingdom, Europe and Japan are prone to periods of recession; so it is the duty of the Central banks of these nations to put policies in place to protect their economies. Recessions are cyclic in nature and cannot be all together avoided; this is because every period of economic boom is followed by a recession.
EUROPE
Europe’s unemployment rate has been on the increase since 2008.
Among its member states, Germany has been the only one able to check the rise of unemployment.
The Euro zone inflation level has been gradually on the decline, after it peaked briefly in 2011.
The problem with low inflation is that it has a direct impact on workers’ pay. When prices are not going up, there is no expansion in company profits, and hence no inclination on the part of the company to increase salaries or make more purchases. Stagnant income makes servicing of debts and loans a burden, and generally reduces consumer spending.
Major …
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Account Management 4/77
Posted 16 Jun by Illya Ranking
Forex Money Management Management Account Account Protection
This article is about the deposit management. About methods, that could use to manage,protect and multiply your capital. It could be applicable not only for novice, but also for profitable traders.
So, how to manage within account, when you have a few strategies, that have a different profit and loss?
Let’s take a look on a several variants, that've been tested on a historical tester on Jforex platform:
  1. Multiple Strategies. This method of managing, when you have one account and one or more strategies that trades the percentage of the deposit. The formula for calculating the lot size for trading percentage in my case, is calculated as
    amount=((((equity*leverage)/100)*lots)/1000000) .
    [i]Example: amount= ((((150 000 * 100)/100)* 5)/1 000 000 = 0.75 lot.
    (The formula does not claim to originality, I had seen either in Dukas Wiki, or in the forum of Dukascopy. The reasons for the revision of it, did not arise.)
    [/i]

According to this formula, volumes of trades will be calculated throughout the article.
To check the profitability of strategies I used Multiple_strategies. We connect our strategy to it. Start
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كيف نتغلب على الخوف في تجارة العملات 20/77
Posted 15 Jun by khalidamassi Ranking
النفسية الربح الخسارة الخوف الاحتراف
التغلب على الخوف من الخسارة في الفوركس

ما هو الخوف ؟
قاموس أكسفورد يعرف الخوف بمشاعر غير سارة ناجمة عن توقع خطر مما يؤدي إلى شعور بالقلق والرهبة والخوف. الخوف يتعلق بتوقع شيء ضار سوف يحدث ويؤدي ذلك إلى حدوث آلية نفسية ومعرفية حاسمة توظف لمساعدتنا على البقاء وذلك من خلال إما توقع وتجنب المخاطر المحتملة أو –إذا لم نختر الخيار الأول- لمواجهة والتصدي لتلك المخاطر بحالة ومن اليقظة والتركيز. من ناحية تطورية الخوف يؤدي غريزيا إلى نوعين من الاستجابة إما المواجهة أو الهروب. الأدرينالين ينهمر في أجسامنا ونحن نكون مستعدين إما للمواجهة أو للهروب.لذلك جميع التجار يشعرون بالخوف ولكن بمستويات مختلفة لان بيئة الفوركس وحركة السوق لا يمكن التنبؤ فيها دائما واحتمالية الخسارة واردة في أي وقت.
الخوف وتجارة العملات
الخوف لا يكون دائما صديق لنا ... تجار العملات الناجحين يتحكمون بشعور الخوف والآخرين تتحكم بهم مشاعر الخوف لدرجة أن الخوف والقلق يسيطر عليهم ويجعلهم غير قادرين على اتخاذ القرار ... الدخول والخروج من الصفقات يصبح كأنه كابوس ...للتجار الناجحين والمحترفين تكون الحالة الناتجة عن الخوف هي تركيز ووعي عالي قبل دخول الصفقة لكن بالنسبة لأولئك الذين أصبحوا أسرى للخوف فان سريان الأدرينالين في أجسامهم تسبب لهم الشعور بالذعر وأحيانا الانهيار وتضعف إمكانية اتخاذهم للقرار. لتصبح تاجرا ناجحا ,يجب أن تجعل ال
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What Do you Need to Know about Binary Options Trading 15/77
Posted 13 Jun by Fecha Ranking
Binary Options Profit Strategy Conditions

INTRODUCTION

The binary options trading becomes more and more popular last time. Now you can try to trade binary options in the DukasCopy. But can you use your FX pairs strategy for the binary trading? Let’s see what minimum requirements are necessary for the profitable trading.
The advantage of the binary options trading is that we get fixed profit if we guess the direction of the price change. So, our strategy purpose is to guess the direction of the price change.
MODELLING OF THE PROFIT
Let’s imagine that we have the strategy with 50% probability of winning. The parameters of such strategy trading are:
  • Win: 50.0%
  • CAR/MDD: 0.0
  • Net profit: 0.0$
  • Profit Factor: 1.0
But binary options trading has its own feature that if we guess the direction we have only a fixed percent of our bet. That’s why we will lose our money with this strategy.
So, if we want to get the profit from the binary options trading, what probability of winning do we need?
I did several simulations with the help of simple python script where each simulation has 100 trades. The parameters of the simulation were:
  • Winning probability – 50%
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Creating Day Scalper Strategy in Visual Jf – Part 1 12/77
Posted 12 Jun by pipx Ranking
Day Trading Trend Trading Visual Forex Jforex Strategies Jforexrobot Trend Strategy
In May 2015, I covered the Day Scalper strategy, which I used in the same month to rank 25 in trader contest. I promised to turn it into a Visual JForex strategy and that is what this article is about. To better understand what I will be covering, take a look at the Day Scalper article. The strategy utilizes simple moving averages and moving average envelopes. Let’s get started.
Start Point
While Day Scalper runs on bar charts, I will be using daily candles in VisualJF. I start all my strategies by separating signal evaluation with trade management. To avoid nuisances, check if:-
  • Default instrument is equal to candle instrument,
  • “candleTime” variable is 1min and equal to candle period,
  • Open or all positions amount are greater than 1, then flow to trade management. If less than 1, flow to signal evaluation,
  • Last trade event is long or short.
Refer to the image below
Time Blocks
Day Scalper evaluates markets at New York close (17:00EST or 21:00 GMT), so we have to prevent signal evaluation until the market closes. To do this, we use 'getTimeUnit' blocks using last bid candle time. If it is 21:01 GMT, then continue.
Debugging Time
Simply drag the hour and minute variables…
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مرن نفسك على تغيرات السوق 22/77
Posted 10 Jun by khalidamassi Ranking
أنواع المتداولين استراتيجية فوركس عملات نفسية ربح خسارة
مقدمة

بعض مضاربين العملات لديهم نظامهم الفور كسي المفضل الذي يعطيهم معدل ربحية عالية ولكن هذا النظام لا يعطي فرص تداولية كثيرة, مثل هذا النظام مناسب لمضاربين العملات الهواة الذين يرغبون بمتاجرة العملات بين حين وآخر وبمخاطرة قليلة, لا يوجد أمر خاطئ في هذا الأمر أو في هذا النوع من التداول, ولكن لتصبح متاجر عملات محترف ,امتلاك نظام أو إستراتيجية جيدة للتداول لا يعتبر أمر كافي .
إستراتيجية التداول لا تعمل
أي نظام له فترة محدودة للحياة وإذا كان النظام لا يتوقف فانه قد يتوقف عن إعطاء إشارات دخول أو حتى صفقات ناجحة.
المتاجر العنيد قد يتمسك بنظامه ويحاول إخضاعه له وذلك بسبب رغبته القوية في التداول ,مما يؤدي إلى عمل صفقات كان يجب أن لا تعمل ,الصفقات الغير ضرورية أو الزائدة عن اللزوم تؤدي إلى خسائر غير مبررة والى ارتكاب كل الأخطاء.
تجريب ومحاولة شيء لا يعمل مرارا وتكرارا ليس من الحكمة في شيء.
كونك متاجر محترف فهذا يعني عمل صفقات تجارية كافية لعمل أرباح مناسبة, ولكن دون عمل صفقات خاطئة التي تؤدي إلى خسارة أموالك بسرعة مما يؤدي إلى الإفلاس وهذا أسهل طريق يمكن أن تمر فيه وتنتهي إليه.
ما هو الحل ؟
في البداية يجب أن يكون لديك أكثر من نظام للمتاجرة...امتلاكك أكثر من نظام للمتاجرة يعني فرص أكثر واحتمال الربح أكبر ولكن يجب الحذر فان امتلاك نظم متعددة للتداول قد تسبب تشويش وتخبط في رؤيتك
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