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Portfolio Analysis for Non-farm Payrolls (nfp) & Jobless Rate N/A/62
Posted yesterday at 16:18 GMT by MaziarE Ranking
Nfp Return Unemployment Rate Non Farm Payrolls USD Index Forex News Portfolio Analysis
Introduction,
On the first Friday after the month ends, two important news release by Bureau of Labor Statistics. One is unemployment rate and the other one (the more or perhaps the most important one) is non-farm payrolls (NFP). NFP accounts for a majority of overall economic activity and show changes in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Unemployment rate is an important signal of overall economic health and it is Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed. In this article, I try to show the influence of these indicator on USD index return based on portfolio analysis.
Portfolio analysis,
portfolio analysis means that NFP & unemployment rate data are sorted into 10 portfolios from lowest to highest separately and USD index returns of each portfolio are examined for evidence of anomaly;. Portfolio analysis intuitively, clearly reflects the picture of how returns vary with the characteristic variable; however, with this method it is difficult to conduct multivariate tests and difficult to test the functional form. In the picture below, basket is NFP or unemployment rate and eggs are USD index return.
In this researc…
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трейдинг в отпуске N/A/62
Posted yesterday at 12:15 GMT by mariailkiv Ranking
Article Contest Trader Advices Weekends Trading Idea Трейдинг

Привет форекс трейдеры!
Лето уже на подходе, остался какой-то месяц до жаркой пори года и многие из нас уедут в дальние края: погрется на солнышке где - небудь на островах или пляже , а возможно и улететь где-небудь заграницу , накупить кучу хламу на распродаже в Милане, или просто позагарять на пляже где-небудь в Эмиратах. А почему би и нет, согласитесь?))
А как же трейдинг? Ведь деньги, как мы помним по фильму WALL STREET ,не спят!
Моя статья будет о том , как торговать в условиях пятизвездочных отелей или в чудних домиках около пляжей, что взять с собой в поездку и что не забыть , а так же о том что би не забыть какие приложения нужно установить на свой телефони и многое другое.
Одним словом трейдинге в отпуске!


Что важно не забыть?

Ноутбук и мышь (если кому-то неудобно с тачпадом) самое важное. Хотя много маркетологов- трейдеров заставляют нас уверить в том что мобильний трейдинг заменить всьо , но думаю ви согласитесь с тим что полноценный компьютер им не заменить!))
Канешно я не отговарюю вас не брать свои смартфони и планшети, они могут здорово выручить в случае какой-то случайной поломки в коп'ютере, согласитесь бивают такие случие....печальние... и в очеть неподходящ…
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Snap Elections - a Gossip that Sold Absurdly Well... 28/62
Posted 20 Apr. by arjaq Ranking
News GBP Trader Contest Fundamental Analysis Politics And Economics Big Move Important Events Brexit Brexit2
What the market has priced in already...

As we see, we are around the level of post referendum, when Brexit, especially hard Brexit was not certain at all. This is quite an optimistic and strong reaction from the market. The market has priced in almost a reversal in British approach.
No hard Brexit is just a hope

What we have to remember as traders is that right now it is just hopes priced in, without generally any hard facts to support them yet.
As it is used to be said 'sell the gossip, buy the fact'. The facts are still to be seen and assesed while gossip sold pretty well, giving disconnected with reality 180 degree sentiment change in the market.
Why disconnected? Well, maybe polls are not trusted recently, but this time they show Conservative Party being 20% ahead. That is quite a decisive prediction. Lead by Theresa May and her party, British would have hard Brexit almost assured, that is unless the party itself had huge internal differences in Brexit approach.
It seems that market just might have gotten a bit too excited again, this time to the upside.
The most positive scenario
Even if hard Brexit was somehow forgotten by the government, there still would be Brexit on the…
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секреты Forex N/A/62
Posted 19 Apr. by SmErtNIK Ranking
Trading Forex Trade Trader Advices Форекс Совет Трейдинг

1). Главный и неизменный из всех секретов торговли на рынке Форекс – размер прибыли зависит от длительности сделки. Чем меньше времени вы отводите на торговую операцию, тем выше вероятность, что много денег вы сделать не сможете. Для того чтобы прибыли выросли существенно, требуется определенное время.
Здесь действуют те же правила, что и в реальной жизни – осуществить большое количество дел за один день невозможно. Если вы изначально выстраиваете свою тактику на быстрых сделках во время незначительного колебания курса, вы сознательно ограничиваете возможности роста своего капитала. По большому счету, уровень убытка всегда можно задать при совершении сделки, при этом позиция закроется автоматически, и вы не потеряете больше, чем планируете.
2). Еще один из немаловажных секретов Forex – необходимость сочетать в своей работе рациональность и азарт. В погоне за прибылью вам может послужить и знание экономической теории и особенности теории вероятности. Недаром трейдеры Форекс называются еще и игроками. Подкованность в экономической теории и законах функционирования рынка, несомненно, является значимым преимуществом трейдера. Однако, чтоб распорядиться определенной суммой, нужен также…
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Live this Life in Dukascopy and you Will Enjoy N/A/62
Posted 18 Apr. by Hashimu Ranking
Miss Dukascopy Community Forecasts Jforex Binary Option Contest Trader'sblog
Hello, Everyone.
Today i would like to tell you some good stuffs about about Dukascopy. Trust me, it is amazing...
When you join this community, it is obviously fact that you look here and there to find somewhere that might suit you and that my friend will create these things;
1. Learn a lot about people and their activities.
2. Makes you comfortable and well get yourself into some one else ideas.
3. Learn communication, and that is very important (share ideas).
4. Not feel alone and bored because you have so much to enjoy and do as an assignment.
5. Meet new people.
THIS IS LIKE COLLEGE

This place is not only community for trading binary options, Forex trading and other trading and fundamental analysis. It is a place to understand how to live with others and sometimes asking someone for anything and some people get girlfriends/boyfriends here (is that not fun enough), trust this, i have been unhappy for sometime ago, never know what to do. What to make and since i joined the community of Dukascopy, i have got so much to do that i can never imagine.
CHANGING YOUR VISION AND MISSION
If i am mistaken it will be so much for me and that will never change. This place after one year or…
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How to Profit from the Fed Rate Hike Cycle 41/62
Posted 18 Apr. by Jignesh Ranking
Dollar Federal Reserve Fundamentals Monetary Policy Fomc Fundamental Analysis Fomc Meeting Federal Funds Rate Fomc Decision
We usually don't comment on other central bank decisions, but one has to say that the decision the Fed took was appropriate given the position of the U.S. economy... and it was perfectly communicated and flawlessly executed.
-ECB President Mario Draghi, January 2016
A technical trader once told me that fundamentals don't drive the markets and using it does not give traders an edge. He further stated that when the price moves in the opposite direction of what's expected, a fundamental analyst will say "it was priced in".
The fact remains that many, if not most new traders, will solely rely on technicals. Similar to all aspects of trading, fundamental analysis can be difficult to comprehend. As a result, it is also difficult to profit from it without a sound understanding.
While there are several aspects of fundamental analysis, the Federal Reserve made one thing very clear at their March meeting. I hope to convey this and how to profit during the Fed tightening cycle. This one piece of information should allow traders to profit that normally do not follow fundamental developments.
To provide a backdrop to the above quote from ECB's Draghi, it was made during a time where he had gre…
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Yen Is Stronger but how Long ? 42/62
Posted 18 Apr. by Beto Ranking
Analysis Fundamentals Technical Forex Market Investments
1.- Abstract
US Dollar was strong against the JEN until December 2016 touching a zone around 118, but from that time was going deep and deep.
Today the US Dollar has reached a zone around 108 and seems to be forming a correction and maybe that means to be even lower. So, the responsible for that could be the JEN and many people say the next month will gain more ground in the forex market.
2.- Development
The chart below is showing the actual status of pairs with YEN and the analysis of each of them.
2.1 USD-JPY
There is a strong area around 106.5 and the price action here could reach it these weeks.
The weekly chart has formed a big bearish candle and to see a big swing we need a reversal pattern.
2.2 GBP-JPY
The pound looks less affected here and seems to be going up to the nearest high at 147.5
But if the price action goes lower the next area comes to the support at 130.
2.3 AUD-JPY
The Aussie has affected as well as the US Dollar and the next level of interest are around 80.
If the price action closes below this area, the next level could be around 76.
2.4 NZD-JPY
The Kiwi has the same outlook and the next level of interest is around 74.…
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Relative Strengh Index N/A/62
Posted 17 Apr. by sayl Ranking
Rsi 14 Convergence Devergence
  • introduction
chaque trader a sa propre manier de trading . certains utulise le price behavior et autre utulise les candle et la plus part utulise les indicateur technique .. dans cette article je veux presente l un de ces indicateur et j utulise personnelment .

  • A- RELATIVE STRENGH INDEX
1- DEFINITION
Proposé par J. Welles Wilder1 en 1978, le RSI (Relative Strength Index) est un indicateur avancé d'analyse technique. Utilisé conjointement à l'analyse de la tendance, il a vocation à :
  • repérer la puissance d'un mouvement (indiquer si le mouvement s'essouffle);
  • indiquer si l'on est en situation de sur-achat ou de sur-vente.
2 - Formule de calcul du RSI
La formule de rsi s ecrit : RSI = (H/(H+B))*100
avec :
[list][/list]…
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Automated Strategy and Historical Tester! 37/62
Posted 16 Apr. by md1fk1 Ranking
Visual Jforex Backtest Historical Tester Best Practices

What is it all About?

I have been trying to develop strategies in visual jforex – a visual platform to develop strategies. You can develop a strategy in less than 30 minutes but only after you play with the platform functionalities and know how to utilize the strategies. I will provide the basic functionalities (“Hello World” type) to get anyone started and then to see the output (back test) of the strategy. And off course some tips, tricks best practices which I found useful while working with strategies.
The main theme I will cover in this article is- How to back test your strategies so as to save time and not wait for real market if your strategy will work or not. Although there are functional document provided by Dukascopy but I missed to notice back test features anywhere in the documents. I will provide one simple strategy - if RSI above 70, sell or if RSI below 30 buy and then test this strategy on beautiful back testing (called Historical Tester) feature at jforex 3.0 trading platform.
Create Simple Strategy in Visual Jforex
The above very simple strategy (Just for illustration purpose) to get you started. It has simple logic:
[list][/list]…
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France Presidential Elections and its Impact on European Union N/A/62
Posted 16 Apr. by Avnish26 Ranking
France European Union Presidential Candidates

France is one of the founding member of EU and it have most significant impact of economic policies of Eropean Union. France strongly influence the euro regions economic and social policy decisions. As it have significant impact, so the country's Presidential poll will have strong impact on the euro, influencing whether it continues its long running weakening trend or even in euro's reversal towards greater strength in the upcoming time.
France economy approximately represents 15% of total GDP of European Union. Politically, France is important decision maker in Europe. The nation elects 74 of 751 seats in the European Parliament, or close to 10%. Some parliamentary decisions require a simple majority and others require an absolute majority. France has 29 of the 352 votes on the EU Council of Ministers and 260 votes are needed on the council for a majority. The council of ministers, whose members are appointed by the respective EU governments, shares legislative responsibility with members of parliament, who are elected directly by EU citizens.
Main issues in France's next elections are varied, which includes how to tackle the France's high unemployment rate as well as the nation…
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Relative Streng Indice 34/62
Posted 13 Apr. by sayl Ranking
Rsi Convergence Devergence
  • introduction
chaque trader a sa propre manier de trading . certains utulise le price behavior et autre utulise les candle et la plus part utulise les indicateur technique .. dans cette article je veux presente l un de ces indicateur et j utulise personnelment .

  • A- RELATIVE STRENGH INDEX
1- DEFINITION
Proposé par J. Welles Wilder1 en 1978, le RSI (Relative Strength Index) est un indicateur avancé d'analyse technique. Utilisé conjointement à l'analyse de la tendance, il a vocation à :
  • repérer la puissance d'un mouvement (indiquer si le mouvement s'essouffle);
  • indiquer si l'on est en situation de sur-achat ou de sur-vente.
2 - Formule de calcul du RSI
La formule de rsi s ecrit : RSI = (H/(H+B))*100
avec :
[list][/list]…
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Forex Market Analysis (12-04-2017) 44/62
Posted 13 Apr. by FXNOAD Ranking
Forex Analysis Market
Forex Market Analysis
This morning, the greenback is trading lower against most of the major currencies, ahead of the US monthly budget statement, MBA mortgage applications along with the import and export price index, slated to release in a few hours.
The GBP is trading higher against the USD. Earlier in the session, data revealed that UK’s ILO unemployment rate remained steady at an 11-year low level in the three month to February, in line with market expectations. Moreover, the number of people in work came in weaker than anticipated in the same period. Meanwhile, the nation’s wages excluding bonus grew at its weakest pace in 7 months for the three months ended in February, suggesting that soaring inflation in the economy is taking a bite out of consumer spending.
The AUD nudged higher against the USD. On the data front, Australia’s Westpac consumer confidence index declined in April. Earlier today, in China, Australia’s largest trading partner, the consumer price inflation edged higher on an annual basis in March. Moreover, the nation’s annual producer prices advanced better-than-expected in the same month.
Yesterday, the greenback traded mixed in the New York session, against …
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Benefits of Trading 24/62
Posted 10 Apr. by Yonggi7 Ranking
Trading Forex Market Patience Traders Intelligence Success Benefits
Benefits of trading
For some years now, the success that forex brings remains amazing.
If we see things in an impartial way, the currency market makes good to traders.
Whether we had a bad experience or not in that matter, this science remains very attracting!
What are the benefits of trading? And how to reach them?

1- Although the market is never paused, the traders can always negotiate whenever he wants!
That way, we can bind our trading activities to our professional life.
2- It's a market that needs no fees and that contributes to play for the sake of traders and brokers.
So everyone can be a winner! The point is just to do the right choice.
Will the price go up or down?
3- Naturally, this market is difficult to master. Indeed, setting apart world banks, curves follow their way to the point they are supposed to get. So it's not a matter for us to discuss.
Therefore, traders can't plead or accuse any firm.
4- Good predictions and good bets are possible for everyone!
Whether you are rich or poor, the chance to win is for all.
And yes. There is some time ago, most brokers offer us opportunities of gold.
You can open an account with 10 dollars as a minimum amount of investment.
Th…
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Fx Weekly Preview: April 10 – 16 43/62
Posted 10 Apr. by cosma Ranking
Article Contest Weekly Analysis Fxblog

Good Morning All;
we'll see now a new weekly analysis.


The Week Ahead
Much of last week’s economic data was overshadowed by political and military developments in the Middle East and this short week will again likely be dominated in this way again.
The AUD has dropped below 0.7500 USD in the aftermath of these deveopments and the mixed reactions to the latest US employment data released late last week. A softer than anticipated US Non-farm Payroll figure that showed less than 100k new jobs in March was then offset by an accompanying drop in the unemployment rate to 4.5% – the lowest level since 2007. US retail is continuing to struggle with numerous retailers either filing for or preparinig to file for bankruptcy and close their doors. Some measures suggest that around 10% of US retail space is under threat of closure, conversion or rent renegotiation in the next few years.
On the Australian front last week the RBA kept interest rates on hold again. The housing price situation in Sydney and Melbourne in particular remains a significant concern for the RBA whilst the declining AUD will have been received well. Coupled with the geopolitical developments and the strengthening USD, a…
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My Trade List (april 2017) 26/62
Posted 10 Apr. by Beto Ranking
Analysis Forecast Technical Forex Risk
1. Abstract
This week seems to be very interesting because the price action is making changes because of the strong US DOLLAR.
So, is very important to have a watch list and follow it and today I will share it.
The information suggested here is not an investment advice and must check it before to take any trade decision.
2. Development
2.1 AUDUSD
This pair was loosing ground since March 20th who reach a price of 0.775 but at the moment has reach a zone around 0.75
The price at this level was touched by first time on March 8th and seems to be forming a resistance level.
I am waiting for a pattern formation about reversal or trend continuation to make a move.
If the price action can close below this zone, we could see a move lower around 0.73
But if don't a move like correction to the recent lower high to reach the 0.762 zone maybe is the second option.
2.2 BRENT
The recent issues on Siria was the boost to this commotidy and maybe could be around 58$ or more.
This began on March 23th when brent touched the 50$ and since that day was climbing till today around 56$.
A strong resistance is around 57.5$ and a close above this level could send prices even higher.
For now I am waiting for …
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