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Gibson’s Paradox and Gold 19/67
Posted 24 Jul by ivanbgd Ranking
Gold Price Gold Gold Paradox
There is a myth prevalent today that the price of gold always fall when interest rates rise. The logic is that when interest rates rise is more expensive to hold gold, which is just not earning anything. And as markets discount the future expectations, gold will fall even when the expected rise in interest rates. With Open Market Committee Fed discusses time than one interest rate increase may take place in September, so it is not surprising that the market commentators that the price of gold continues its bear market. Only myth is just that: a myth denied the empirical evidence.The chart is a time when the opposite was obviously true. From March 1971 to December 1979 trends in both interest rates and the price of gold rose and fell at the same time. It is important to note that this occurred over more than one business cycle, so this is not a relationship that was cycle-dependent. The myth is therefore satisfactorily debunked. To understand why the relationship between interest rates and gold is not as easy as commonly thought, we need to take the argument further to the goods in general and visit the tricky subject of Gibson's paradox. This paradox is based exclusively on long t…
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Strategy Binary Options (part 3) 7/67
Posted 24 Jul by salamandra Ranking
Binary Options Strategies Graphic Strategy
Introduction. The first part (part 1) of the article, see the following link:
https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?Strategy-Binary-Options-Part&action=read&id=2447
The second part (part 2) a series of articles "Binary Options Strategy" look at:
https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?Strategy-Binary-Options-Part&action=read&id=2469
The first part examines the key advantages and disadvantages of binary options in comparison with other instruments of the financial markets. Made classification strategies. Given the general PRINCIPLE trade.
In the second part of the core group discussed strategies. This strategy of fundamental and technical areas. The approaches using fundamental data.
In this article, I talk about technical strategies using graphs (historical data for the past period of time). Such strategies I have outlined in the class "graphic binary options strategy."
Graphic binary options strategy

Of all the strategies for binary options strategy is graphic some of the most popular among traders. Such popularity is firstly due to the fact that they are based on work with the basic elements of technical analysis. Second technical an…
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A Trader's Musings 3/67
Posted 23 Jul by CD1V1 Ranking
Trading System Trader Contest Balance New Rules

The rules in the trader contest are forcing me to re-evaluate my entire participation in the contest. Some of the aims of the contest include encouraging traders to show long-term consistent trading results, and encourage traders to share their trading ideas with other traders. A standard is now being set; with a maximum acceptable drawdown of 60%, the Dukascopy Forex Community (DFC) administrators are now placing some focus on risk management.
The contest begins with each trader having a DEMO account containing $100,000. The account is to be traded for a period of one month, and is subject to several trading restrictions which form a part of the contest rules.
A trader’s objectives are very simple:
  1. Make maximum profit
  2. Keep Drawdown below 60%
It is necessary to note that having the highest account balance does not guarantee winning a cash prize, there are several other categories where points are awarded. Points are awarded for daily posting on the trader contest blog and the use of pending (conditional) orders for all trades opened.
Many of us know these rules, but there are still traders who trade well but lose points because they ignore the blog points and use of conditional …
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Canadian Dollar Rate Cut 14/67
Posted 23 Jul by fxigor Ranking
Usdcad Canadian Dollar Rate Cut
1.0 Introduction - Canada Economy
In terms of volume of trade it is among the top ten countries in the world. The economy in Canada is mixed. Since the early 1990s, the Canadian economy is growing fast, with low unemployment rates and surpluses at the federal level. Today, Canada resembles the US in market-oriented economic system, model production and a high standard of living.
In February 2009, the national unemployment rate was 7.77%. The provincial unemployment rate varies from a low of 3.6% in Alberta to a high of 14.6% in Newfoundland and Labrador.
In the past century, the growth of industry, mining, and service sectors has transformed the country mainly rural economy in a predominantly industrial and urban land. As in all wealthy countries, the Canadian economy dominated by the service sector, which employs about three quarters of Canadians. However, Canada is unusual among developed countries on the importance of the primary sector, as the wood and oil industry two the most important industry in Canada.
Canada is one of the few developed countries, which is an exporter of energy. Canada in the Atlantic Ocean has huge reserves of natural gas, and oil and gas deposits are con…
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Manage yourself and Be a Great Trader! 31/67
Posted 22 Jul by md1fk1 Ranking
Trader Physiological Management
Friends, You a Fundamental Trader or a technical trader and you have great strategies , I mean after years of experience you have got such amazing strategies to trade the market. But still you have to master 3 characteristics to be successful in Market. I Realised that if you master these then only you can be a successful Trader. As I see, managing is the way to trade. And faster you manage your self, earlier you can be successful in Trading. These are
1. Fear
2. Greed
3. Confidence
Manage Yourself and Manage Dollars

As a trader I have many fears. And it comes to fear of losses, fear of missing out the trade . And worst maybe fear to break free of your comfort zone and be on success path . Maybe fear to succeed, who knows (you?) . What if you are too successful? Yes at present fear of success is also in management books. To break free and achieve what you can without fearing yourself and people around you.
Do, You fear?
Fear creates indecision, lack of confidence . It is a powerful force ; not giving many traders gain from trade is what they seek . In most cases , the fear has psychological origin . We know the origin of the fear , but this knowledge is not able to deliver …
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The Power of Reward over Risk 2/67
Posted 22 Jul by P3tr4 Ranking
Design Risk Strategy Contest Trading Strategy Planning Roi

The Dukascopy Strategy Contest is definitely one of the most challenging contest in the contest group. In this contest, a contestant is expected to create a strategy that would trade the Forex market profitably, with a lot of emphasis on high profitability and low account drawdown. This means a contestant is expected to maximize profit, while employing as little risk s possible.
I have participated in the Strategy contest since June 2013, and I am happy to say I have been able to win $1,500 in cash prizes. These were gotten in the months of June and October 2014.
One of the things the Strategy contest tries to do is force a trader to gauge his or her risk exposure. A contestant gets more points if he or she has a lower drawdown during the contest month, while huge drawdowns are rewarded with less points.
An example of this occurred in the month of May 2015.
The trader Cocciolla finished with the third largest balance of 428.10k, yet he ended the month at the 8th place simply because he had a drawdown of 56% during the contest month.
A trader is basically a risk manager. This is because even though his or her job is to find and execute profitable transactions; trading has to be don…
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Comments : 20 | Likes : 21
Trading Forex Using Margins or Binary Options (3) 25/67
Posted 21 Jul by khalidamassi Ranking
Trading Forex Binary Options Central Banks Fundamental Analysis Profits And Losses Margins
Preface:

Please check my last article of the same topic before reading this new one,
Trading Forex using margins or binary options (1).

Trading Forex using margins or binary options (2).
Introduction:

In the last article, Situation 1, trading strong news was discussed in one part which is Non-Farm Employment Change, in this article, different impacts will be explained here from last central banks decisions.
How Central banks affect markets:

At most time, Central banks affect market by monetary policy which resulted often in interest rate decision which considered the most important and influential data affecting currencies, such data often have surprises which can send the currency strongly higher or strongly lower.
Sometimes, Central banks tend to intervene in not settled time, due to special event or to face surprised crisis.
So central banks often affect markets by:
[list][/list]…
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Comments : 3 | Likes : 3
The Case for Euro Driven Carry Trades 21/67
Posted 20 Jul by Jignesh Ranking
Ecb Euro Fundamentals Carry Trade Euraud Eurnzd Rbnz Technical Forecast Eurtry
Introduction

One year ago, the EUR looked bullish as ever as many expected EURUSD to reach 1.50's and beyond. It was in July of last year that it had started it's initial descent, which has continued right throughout the past year.
Last year I wrote an article titled A Comprehensive Fundamental & Technical Analysis on EURUSD (Please click the link to read). It outlined some of the reason we could see some downside in the pair.
Euro Outlook
In the previous article, we looked at fundamental factors, such as inflation. In fact, this graph was posted in that exact article.
Figure 1 - Euro Inflation as of July 2014 - hovering at 0.5%

Since then, we have seen the ECB Implement several measure including rate cuts and QE. The main argument for the July 2014 article was that the Eurozone was facing a period of disinflation. Let's see how it is doing today.
Figure 2 - Euro Inflation as of July 2015 - Down 0.3% from July 2014

How is it possible that after all of ECB's efforts, we are sitting at an even lower inflation rate? Well in all fairness, inflation is a global concern at the moment which has been fueled by a sharp drop in oil prices. At the same time, EUR is one of the few currenc…
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The next Stock Market Crash – China or U.s 4/67
Posted 20 Jul by pipx Ranking
Analysis Fundamentals Stock Market Market Forecast Economic Growth
The media is going ‘crazy’ over the Chinese stock market shaving off trillions in a couple of weeks. The Chinese government meddling in the markets to save it is being compared to burning a ‘holy book’ - in that it shouldn’t have done it.
What were those communists thinking? No one ever intervenes in a free market, not even the president of the land of the free in 2008 on an interview with CNN. (Irony Intended)
Here is a video.
Listen carefully for the following:
Look. I obviously have made a decision to make sure the economy doesn't collapse. I have abandoned free market principles to save the free-market system.

This is what happened to the market after “abandoning free market principles in order to save the free market” – in the US and China.
From the above it is clear China is simply replicating what the United States did to its stock market.
The Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges are not of great interest to me. My real interest lies in the dinosaurs that lived through the 1929 stock market crash. These dinosaurs are doing great right now! Or are they?
While history repeats itself, only a few are attuned to signs of it repeating itself – the rest of us live in the moment and trus…
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GBP Outlook- a Follow up 16/67
Posted 19 Jul by WallStreet6 Ranking
GBP UK Forex Boe GBP/USD Currency Monetary Policy Economics EUR/GBP Macroeconomics
I have decided to write a follow up to my previous article about GBP due to the fact that last week there was important news coming from the UK which gives insight into the upcoming monetary policy of the Bank of England.
The week in review
On the 14th of July we saw the release of the Consumer Price Index for June which disappointed as it retreated to 0.0% YoY and MoM from 0.1% growth in May. Although the reading was better than in April which saw a drop of -0.1% which was the lowest level in over 50 years, the retreat comes in as a hindrance to the plan of the BoE of embarking on a rate hike schedule. The core CPI, which measures price changes among energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, has slowed to0.8% from 0.9% in May.
These data releases gave a bearish perspective for the GBP. However, afterwards the governor of Bank of England MarkCarney said in his statement that the BoE expects inflation to pick up later this year when the effects of lower oil and food prices subside. Thus, the time for interest rate hikes, which are going to be gradual, is coming closer, however he did not specify when. He said, "the point at which interest rates may begin to rise is moving closer with the p…
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Divergence 34/67
Posted 19 Jul by prectical Ranking
Pips Forex Strategy Bearish Bullish Profit Divergence Hidden Normal
Many traders that are using technical analysis for their forex strategies are focusing primarily on singles they are giving. But there are also hidden signals in some indicators such as: MACD, RSI, Stochastic, Momentum, and other oscillators. These hidden signals are called divergences. Divergence is one of the most impressive techniques in technical analysis. In forecasting currency movements the more advanced traders are paying much attention to it. Amazing results can be achieved trough to it. The divergence is characterized by the gap between the chart and the indicators, or more precisely the direction of movement of the price and the indicator.
In the last years, more and more traders are paying attention to the divergence. In combination with other techniques can be achieved amazing results and profits.
Divergence Itself gives us clarity of an impending change in the trend or a continuation of the trend. There are two main types of divergences: normal (bullish or bearish) and hidden (bullish or bearish)Normal (negative) divergence:
Bullish divergence - in this type of divergence as it is seen from the chart. Price draws two bottoms, the second is lower than the first, b…
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Strategy Binary Options (part 2) 15/67
Posted 19 Jul by salamandra Ranking
Strategy Trader Contest Binary Options
Introduction. The first part (part 1) of the article, see the following link:
https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?Strategy-Binary-Options-Part&action=read&id=2447
In it I discussed the advantages and disadvantages of binary options in comparison with other instruments of the financial markets. Also classified strategy of working with them in several groups. He maps the first group of "financial strategy". In this article, I will continue considering the group of "key strategies of binary options".
Key strategies of binary options.

One of the main strategies of binary options is trading on fundamental news.
Trading on the fundamental news

To navigate in the fluid state of fundamental data necessary to analyze the economic situation in the country, the region, Union countries for a certain period. The period is desirable to select at least the quarter. Analyze all the economic indicators are quite expensive, but basic, which is particularly high volatility of currency is necessary. Generally, all the main indicators of fundamental analysis are totally give some general result that briefly expressed Forex rule - "the price includes all". Although this rule is the f…
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Will the USD Surpass the EUR? 27/67
Posted 18 Jul by setinin Ranking
EUR USD Forecast

INTRODUCTION
As the eurozone economy weakens and the U.S. economy strengthens, the regions’ respective currencies have reacted in an expected manner. This has led to many currency-related problems for U.S.-based companies with large operations in Europe. But will these problems continue? That depends on how the two economies proceed from this point.
Euro weakness
It isn’t just Greece that’s driving down the value of the euro. Quantitative easing is another force currently exerting significant influence on the currency.European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi announced the program, which is worth up to €1.1 trillion, in January. The subsequent influx of new liquidity in the bond market sent already anemic sovereign debt yields tumbling. The stimulus, implemented in March, has increased the value of euro-denominated bonds so much that many shorter term notes are actually offering negative yields. Switzerland recently auctioned off 10-year treasury notes with a negative yield as well, and even Spain has witnessed some of its near-maturity bonds falling into negative yield territory. This is a far cry from the nation’s 2011 near default.
European investors who aren’t happy w…
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Looking for the Trend? 32/67
Posted 16 Jul by fr33m4n Ranking
Technical analysis Trend Moving Averages Macd Time Frame

The principle behind most trading systems is to trade in the direction of the trend. This is because trend following systems tend to be more profitable than counter-trend trading. As long as the markets are trending in a particular direction, trend following systems can be very rewarding.
“A market trend is defined as a tendency of financial market(s) to move in a particular direction over time”. That is the definition according to Wikipedia.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_trend
Investopedia describes a market trend as “the general direction of a market or of the price of an asset.”
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp
From the above descriptions, there are two main attributes of a trend. It must have a given direction, and it must have moved in that direction for a certain period of time. There are essentially two types of market trends; a bullish trend is when the market prices are steadily going upwards, while a bearish trend represents a steady drop in market prices.
Bull Market
Bear Market
The problem with determining the trend is that there are many time frames to choose from, so what could look like a bullish trend on a 1-hour chart could be part of a bear…
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How Did I Trade Greece Debt Deal ? 5/67
Posted 16 Jul by fxigor Ranking
Trade Setup Trade Plan Greece Deal Debt Deal
1.0 Greece Debt
Sunday, 12 July 2015 is important day for Europe, Euro and traders. Economy and political crisis created by the problem of the Greek public debt will certainly fundamentally change Europe and future course of European integration. According to some estimates, the bankruptcy of Greece is a certain thing,It is still unknown under what will happen to the technical name: as the "participation of the private sector" or complete suspension of debt servicing, such as Argentina in 2002. Can this crisis shake up the entire eurozone and political union on our continent? The euro zone is designed under the assumption that no member would go bankrupt, so that no mechanism for financial support for such a case is not envisaged. Otherwise, never in the history of any member of a monetary union is not declared bankruptcy, especially it is not expected of the state that shares a common currency with the Germany. The irony of fate is that it is Germany and France are most often violated rules on fiscal responsibility, which were first pillar of the euro. The second pillar was to be an economic union, which, however, never took place. Last several weeks were a lot of Greece debt dea…
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