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граль все ближе и ближе 5/19
Posted 4 Feb. by salamandra Ranking
Forex Strategy Profit

Зарабатывать не зависимо от
направления движения цены

Вступление.
Многие из нас знакомы с понятием волновой теории ценового движения рынка, а некоторые работают на рынке основываясь на эту теорию. Весомый вклад в развитие и наполнение этой теории внес ее основатель Ральф Нельсон Эллиотт.
Для моделей, выделенных Эллиоттом, характерна повторяемость по форме, но не обязательно по времени или амплитуде. Всего он обнаружил 13 подобных моделей (волн), постоянно возникающих в данных о рыночных ценах. Эллиотт назвал, определил и проиллюстрировал эти модели. Описал, как, связанные между собой, они формируют более крупные по размеру аналоги, которые, в свою очередь, формируют те же самые модели ещё большего размера и т. д. Эллиотт назвал это явление волновым принципом. Кому интересно даю ссылку на википедию: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Волновая_теория_Эллиотта
Эта теория ( и практика ) развивалась, дополнялась и на сегоднишний день продолжает оставаться одной из главных в анализе и прогнозировании ценового движения. Эта теория хорошо илюстрируемая историческими данными. Но даже между волновиками битует мнение, что если отдельно разместить по комнатам 10 человек и дать им одно и тож…
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5 Trader Psychological Pitfalls 7/19
Posted 4 Feb. by Alivio Ranking
Trader Psychological Pitfalls
Knowing yourself means understanding, as you most likely will behave under different circumstances. Over the past few decades, researchers have developed market behavior a clear understanding of the psychological pitfalls that traders fall.
The best way for you to avoid these pitfalls is to know about them, about the forms they take, and which ones you are likely to be exposed.
5 ordinary trader psychological pitfalls:
1. Arrogance
The researchers concluded that people consistently overestimate their ability, knowledge and experience, especially in areas outside their jurisdiction. Traders should try to objectively assess the results of their work and to remain within their competence.
2. Unsuitable conditions
Decisions affect traders as the problem itself, and a set of existing circumstances. The same problem, although it will be equivalent to the objective, in other circumstances, i.e. under other conditions, it can cause people to make different decisions. Therefore, the conditions which have to operate, also play a central role in the assessment of probabilities.
3. Justification past decisions
Traders tend to make decisions that would justify past decisions, even when circumst…
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Idea De Trading Semanal (semana 1ª Enero 2016) 3/19
Posted 4 Feb. by DominguezV Ranking
Forex Forecast Techncial Analysis Trading Idea
Introducción
Todos los días aparecen oportunidades en el mercado de divisas, curiosamente la oportunidades aparecen a toro pasado, son oportunidades desaprovechadas, esto genera frustración y provoca precipitación en la siguiente decisión. La consistencia se basa en la capacidad de caer en la cuenta todo el tiempo cuando las probabilidades están a favor y cuando hay que estar fuera del mercado, con la serie de artículos "Idea de Trading semanal", analizare el mejor momento para entrar en el mercado durante la semana minimizando el riesgo.
El Método
Cada semana mediante el análisis técnico estudiare la situación de varios horizontes temporales para tener un visión global sobre la fuerza dominante, estudiaré en primer lugar el horizonte temporal mayor e iré disminuyendo horizontes temporales menores quitando capas como si el mercado fuera una cebolla, me informaré de las noticias macro económicas con un gran impacto en la volatilidad y por ultimo concluiré con la oportunidad con más probabilidad de éxito según lo evaluado. El método para determinar el punto de entrada y salida en el mercado será: "La regla del 76,40%" , esta regla la explico en el artículo del 5 de octubre 2015.
H…
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рыночный обман 9/19
Posted 3 Feb. by Marinok Ranking
Forex Obama Psyhology
Как долго смогло бы продержаться в бизнесе казино, если бы большинство его посетителей не проигрывало, а выигрывало? То же самое и на рынке. Для того, чтобы продолжать существовать рынок должен действовать таким образом, чтобы участники проигрывали. В противном случае откуда брать деньги, чтобы платить победителям, если выигрывает большинство?
Казино имеет определенные преимущества по сравнению с рынком - оно может заранее установить такие правила игры, которые обеспечат хозяину математическое преимущество. Рынок же не может прямо контролировать то, как будет играть каждый индивидуальный игрок. Большинство трейдеров - это умные образованные люди. У них есть практически неограниченные источники с информацией о том, как торговать. У них стоят мощные компьютеры с умными программами, предназначенными для того, чтобы завоевать рынок. Почему же тогда так высок процент трейдеров, несущих убытки?
Хорошо известный ответ состоит в том, что трейдеры не могут в достаточной мере управлять своими эмоциями для достижения успеха. Это безусловно верно. Другая менее известная причина состоит в том, что рынок постоянно дезинформирует участников. Я не хочу сказать, что рынок обладает своей волей или с…
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Currency (fx) Weekly Analysis 01.02.2016 8/19
Posted 3 Feb. by cosma Ranking
Currency (Fx) Weekly Analysis 01.02.2016 #forex #article Contest #fxcox
Good Morning Users;
last week’s highlights included initial Q4 GDP estimates from both the UK and the US. Economic growth accelerated slightly in the UK to 0.5% but slowed in the US to 0.7% from 2.0%.
The Fed voted to maintain interest rates at more than 0.25% but less than 0.50%, as expected, while emphasising increased global risks. Key events this week include ECB President Draghi’s testimony on the ECB’s 2015 Annual Report, the Bank of England’s “Super Thursday” February monetary policy meeting, and the US’s January jobs report, out Friday.
GBP – The main release for the UK last week was Thursday’s preliminary Q4 GDP. As expected, growth accelerated slightly in the 4th quarter to 0.5% from 0.4% in Q3. Overall economic growth slowed to 2.2% in 2015. The release was enough to offer the pound some support on Thursday. MPC Member Shafik spoke about UK payments systems, not directly on monetary policy. The pound received support earlier in the week on the back of profit-taking as risk sentiment improved as BOE Governor Carney’s comments before the Treasury Select Committee during his testimony on the Financial Stability Report were no more dovish than expected.Manufacturing, Constru…
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Reducing Costs and Optimizing Your Strategy 2/19
Posted 2 Feb. by olga Ranking
Trends Statistics Spread Machine Learning
In this article are described some concepts that can be used to optimize automated strategies.
The topics covered are:
  1. Minimizing cost
  2. Finding an optimal entry/exit within a short time period
  3. Using Big Data to optimize strategies
  4. Statistically evaluating a strategy

Minimizing costs

Costs arise from the spread and commission. Statistically, these costs are the only thing that will cause you to lose money from trades.
The spread is by smallest on the EUR/USD pair but even on this pair, it changes enormously throughout the day. A strategy should therefore follow the spread closely and only enter or exit positions when it’s at its smallest level.
The graph above shows how the average spread and its standard deviation evolves throughout the day. It is important to keep in mind that the spread may change between the moment when you place an order and the moment at which the position is really taken.
Finding an optimal entry/exit within a short time period
Trends are a central point to any strategy. If there were no trends, there would be no means to predict price movements.
It is hard to claim whether trends occur on larger time scales or not but is definitely the case for very s…
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Daily Amplification of the Pound 1/19
Posted 2 Feb. by fx_lmcap Ranking
GBP/USD GBP/JPY GBP/CAD Pound Daily Amplification

INTRODUCTION

The begin of 2016 has brought volatility back into markets, particularly alongside pound currency pairs. Low economic figures unveiling a decrease in construction sector, inflation underlying targeted values, and Philip Hammond, British Foreign Secretary saying that “no work has been done to prepare for possible” [1] Brexit, are among the main reasons for pound underperformance.
Reporting Lukanyo Mnyanda, Chiara Albanese and Stefania Spezzati [2]
The pound is quickly running out of friends. And its biggest enemies see the British currency falling to levels last seen during the reign of Margaret Thatcher.

Facing a high volatility in this first month of 2016, pound currency pairs we’re within trader’s best selection to keep a keen eye. In spite of a high volatility and a declared downward tendency against some of its major rivals, pound trading disengaged a lot of opportunities. Betting that this scenario was shared amid a huge part of the community, this article emerges as a second chapter of the first one released in the previous month, aiming to point out daily amplification reference values for pound trading – 3 currency pairs, GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and GBP/CAD in the year of [/2][/1]…
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De L'intérêt Du Trading En Range 6/19
Posted 2 Feb. by isomere Ranking
Forex Volatility Risk Trading Range
La très grande majorité des traders focalisent leur attention sur le momentum des cours, ils sont à la recherche d'une tendance qu'il tentent de capter. Cette stratégie peut se résumer de deux manières: soit ils attendent une cassure pour prendre la tendance à sa naissance, soit ils recherchent des retracements dans une tendance déjà en cours. A priori, cette stratégie est une excellente idée car les possibilités de gains d'un trade rondement mené sont importantes.
Cependant, focaliser son attention et son temps exclusivement sur les signaux de tendance est selon moi une erreur. En effet, un actif, quel qu'il soit, évolue la plupart du temps en trading range. On estime à 75% le temps passé par un cours à osciller entre deux bornes étroites. Ces bornes seront tantôt clairement définies, tantôt plus diffuses; on parle alors de zone, nous y reviendrons plus longuement dans cet article. Par conséquent, délaisser de telles opportunités de trading, revient en définitive à se priver de signaux autrement plus nombreux. Ajoutons par ailleurs qu'il va de soi que l'un ne va pas contre l'autre, bien du contraire ; une stratégie de trading range peut très bien laisser entrevoir des possibilités…
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Keep Trading in the Trend - Long Term Outlook for NZD 4/19
Posted 1 Feb. by tdbatinkov Ranking
Trading Trend Outlook Nzdusd
  • TREND IS YOUR FRIEND


Trend is your friend
- every trader knows this golden rule for consistent profits . It simply means to trade in the direction of the present trend until it shows signals to be at its end .
No matter of the used Time Frame , every financial instrument is in one of this two modes : Range or Trend .
- Range - this is a congestion , no movement in a particular direction for long period of time .
- The opposite - a Trend is a big movement in any direction for relatively short time period .
The most simple and accurate method to identify those conditions are Lines of Support and Resistance , Trend Lines and the Price Channel .
  • SUPPORT , RESISTANCE AND TREND LINES
A trend starts with break out of the previous Trend Line ( or Support / Resistance Line ) .
At the present , for NZD / USD ( TF 1 W ) this is Previous Upward Support Trend Line (1) broken out in 2014 . Since that moment , the price have been in Downward Trend Mode .
The Price stays in its Downward Price Channel (2) , and its Momentum even gets stronger and stronger .
In this Downward Price Channel (2) , also there are moments of Impulsive Movements , followed by local Congestions . The Price makes To…
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секрет форекса 43/71
Posted 24 Jan. by alias1980 Ranking
Секреты Форекс Правило Форекс Залог Успеха
Очень часто задаю себе следующие вопросы:
- Почему на рынке Форекс выживает такой маленький процент трейдеров? (По статистике 1% из 99%).
- Почему многие спекулянты на валютных рынках сливают свои депозиты, имея при этом хорошую, проверенную рабочую систему?
- Почему когда у трейдера по статистике прибыльных сделок намного больше чем убыточных - но в итоге он все же теряет свои деньги?

Пришол к такому выводу, что проблема кроется в нарушении трейдером правил и секретов торговли на валютном рынке.
Главный секрет торговли на рынке Форекс следующий"размер прибыли зависит от длительности сделки".
Золотое правило Форекс - "режь убытки и давай прибыли течь!"
Многие же трейдеры делают к сожалению совершенно наоборот, они закрывают глаза на большие убытки, переносят с каждым движении цены против их позиции свои стопы, но очень быстро режут прибыльные сделки, боясь потерять кровно заработанные копейки.
Уважаемые трейдера запомните золотую истину, чем меньше времени вы тратите на торговую операцию, тем больше вероятность, что много денег вы никогда не заработаете! И наоборот, чем дольше вы будете находиться в прибыльной позиции, тем больше вероятность сорвать хороший куш при ударном дне!
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фундаментальный анализ – бинарные опционы ( часть 2 ) 14/71
Posted 23 Jan. by salamandra Ranking
Binary Options Fundamental Analysis Fundamental Contest Binary Option Contest

Вступление.
В первой части своей статьи я описал некоторые свои статистические наблюдения из фундаментального анализа и возможность их использования в бинарных опционах.
Статистический отбор возможен всегда и некоторые наблюдения за поведением участников и рынков дают возможность для эксперемента.
Фундаментальный анализ последнего конкурса. Часть таблицы лидеров на пятницю 22.01.16г.
Из украинцев в лидирующей пятерке двое. Это Sikman и Bombila. Вот по их прогнозам я и применил свой эксперемент. Почему они. Первое на что я обратил внимание это то, что в пятницу 22.01.16г в 9:45 AM ( 7:45 GMT ) будет выступление ECB President Draghi.
Учитывая это я предполагал, что новости по европейским валютам должны получить положительный фундаментальный фон и как прогноз отработку в бычьем направлении. Расматривая прогнозы моих соотечественников я увидел подтверждение моему видению бычьих прогнозов. Переходя на прогнозы с долларом я продолжил свой бычий настрой поддерживаемый этими участниками.
Основная часть.
Расстановку бычьих ордеров по бинарным опционам я использовал тот же подход, что и в первой статьи. Старт в конкурсе бинарных опционов на минуту позже чем в фундаментальном анализе…
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10 Factors Oil Price Decline 24/71
Posted 22 Jan. by Alivio Ranking
USA Oil Opec Decline Oil Price

1. Fast-growing oil reserves
US commercial oil reserves have broken all records in the past year. The volume of oil storages in the United States reached a 80-year-old top-level of 490 million barrels. They then declined slightly in the middle of summer, but the end of the year and increased again in December, has already exceeded the figure of 490 million barrels per day. And now, the oil reserves of the United States remains the highest in the world.
2. All of increasing OPEC production
The cartel began to exceed its own quota in November 2014. Since then, OPEC production rose by more than 1 million barrels a day. Production growth was recorded mainly in Iraq (plus 900 thousand. - 1 million barrels per day) and Saudi Arabia (plus 600 thousand barrels per day). The December meeting of OPEC caused a new fall in oil prices. And with the return on Iranian oil market, OPEC production in 2016 will rise further.
3. Slow down the Chinese economy
China has been the main driver of growth in oil demand last decade. But in 2015, China's economy is cracking, GDP growth slowed down, and across Asia began to spread fears of global instability. And then on the stage appeared quietly India. In t…
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Chinese Economic Data for Year 2014 20/71
Posted 21 Jan. by fx211pips Ranking
China Aussie Commodities Stock Market Fundamental Analysis Kiwi

Introduction

The beginning of this year was remarkable in a way that never before have stock exchanges around the world, commodities, and currencies like the NZD and AUD taken such a dive in the first weeks of January.
All of this happened due to the growing concerns on the Chinese economy and its impact on global economic growth, demand for commodities, and the transactions carried out with its largest trading partners.
In this article I will explain the interdependencies between China and the rest of the world, be it in commodities or currencies. The data is for the year 2014 as we still do not have official annual data for year 2015. There are a lot of numbers in this article, but this is the only way to communicate the importance of this country to the global economy.

Gross Domestic Product

It is the most populated country in the world with a population of 1.37 billion (further “B", which makes up 19% of the total world population. Therefore, every one out of five people on this planet is Chinese!
China is the second largest economy in the world (the first one is USA) with a GDP for 2014 standing at USD 10.3 trillion (USD further as “$” and trillion further as “T". You c…
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Lets Talk about China 8/71
Posted 20 Jan. by CD1V1 Ranking
Australia Stock Markets World Economies Trade Relations Global Worry

When the year 2016 began, one of the first major news items to hit the airwaves was the sudden decline that was noticed in the Chinese stock markets. Stock market circuit breakers were put in place to prevent the Chinese stock market from declining more than 7% in a single trading day; within the first two weeks of the year, these circuit breakers were triggered several times. This stock market decline rapidly spread to other global markets, creating bearish stock markets worldwide.
In the summer of 2015, the Chinese stock market experienced a major stock market crash.
Within three weeks, the Chinese stock markets went down by approximately 30%.
All the major Chinese stock market indexes nose-dived, and yet it took several weeks of selling in the Chinese stock markets before the selloff spread to other global markets. So what was different about this particular 2016 selloff?
Why the panic? The answer is relatively simple, investors were dumping their Chinese shares because there was evidence of the Chinese economy was contracting, and that it’s Government was weakening its currency through its severe interest rate cuts. That is an investor’s answer, the other answer is the fact t…
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Capter Une Nouvelle Tendance. 41/71
Posted 19 Jan. by isomere Ranking
Forex Trendline Risk Pullback
Capter une nouvelle tendance qui se dessine est à priori un exercice périlleux en ce sens que la volatilité est la plus forte en ce moment particulier. Il reste en effet sur la valeur beaucoup de traders positionnés sur la tendance précédente, de nouveaux intervenants vont entrer à contre tendance activant ainsi le stop loss de ceux restés sur le trend précédent. La volatilité baissera au fur et à mesure qu'un plus grand nombre de traders entreront dans le sens de la nouvelle tendance.
Le point de retournement de tendance – zone similaire à une large bande de congestion - va générer des pertes importantes pour les deux parties, plus encore pour ceux positionnés sur la tendance précédente. La difficulté de l'exercice consiste alors à combiner risque et profit. D'un seul point de vue statistique, les chances de réussite augmentent et les profits potentiels diminuent pour toute entrée tardive et inversement dans le cas contraire. L'objet de cet article est de proposer au mieux de bons points d'entrée.
Par opposition au cours dit en « trading range », un cours en tendance se définit par des plus hauts et des plus bas de plus en plus hauts dans le cadre d'une tendance haussière, des p…
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