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February began in the financial markets very wild. Important assets are showing unprecedented or even historically record moves. We observe the sharp drops of brutally growing cryptocurrencies, strong declines in stock indices, bonds and oil, or a swing US dollar strengthening.
For stock indices, it is not yet possible to talk about the final expected turnover, but the drops in the past 6 days are really significant and fast. Daily candles on the US Dow Jones index of over 500 but more than 1000 points are stunning.
The definitive turnover of equity indices does not confirm the intraday development, where the continuing efforts of important Market Movers are still to reverse or at least significantly correct the intraday downturns.
On the other hand, the market's reaction to news in the last days suggests a possible turn of the mines or their proximity. The data is very recent in the US, the results of the companies also, the revolutionary tax reform actually realized, yet the indices started a significant weakening.
The first and one of the major drops in the decline was the 2.70% surplus for US 10-year bond yields in the first week of February. Instead, the analysts now add t…
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Sebine avatar
Sebine 14 Feb.

Interesting article!

thedoctor avatar
thedoctor 16 Feb.

well done

hrustiashka avatar

Good one

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Le prix du baril de pétrole ne cesse de baisser, Le WTI Crude oil est actuellement côté à 36,40 USD, un plus bas de sept ans. Nous évoquerons ici les raisons de ce recul, les conséquences et les perspectives pour l'année en cours.
Commençons par analyser l'évolution graphique du prix du baril en données mensuelles.
  1. Fin 2008, le cours rebondit avec force sur la résistance devenue support vers 36,30 et sur la droite de tendance, en vert dans le graphique.
  2. Début 2015, une tentative avortée d'un rebond sur la droite de tendance ramène le cours dans la zone du support vers 36,30.
  3. Le cours se retrouve actuellement sur le dit support et ne montre aucune force propice à un renversement de tendance

Les causes
Les raisons d'une telle dégringolade sont multiples, citons: la récession mondiale, un dollar fort mais aussi et surtout une offre excédentaire. C'est sur ce dernier facteur, responsable en grande partie de la chute des cours, que nous allons nous attarder.
1. L'OPEP.
Lors de la réunion de décembre 2015, l'OPEP a renoncé à fixer un plafond de production. Cette « non-décision » tient aux incertitudes quant au retour de l'Iran sur les marchés qui n'envisage pas de limiter sa producti…
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fx_lmcap avatar
fx_lmcap 21 Jan.

Isomere, several OPEC member countries like Angola, are requiring a BRENT/CRUDE OIL price increase, in order to achieve the expected revenues targets to support domestic budget. Otherwise investments already committed with european companies will have to be cancelled, or stay on hold until it's reached budget conditions to restart operations!

isomere avatar
isomere 21 Jan.

@fx_Imcap: This article is not the minutes of the last OPEC meeting. Furthermore, I have mentionned the disagreements within the Council. What matters are the reasons and consequences of the OPEC's decision.

miriam1313 avatar
miriam1313 21 Jan.

can fall more the Price?

miriam1313 avatar
miriam1313 21 Jan.

which is the limit?

miriam1313 avatar
miriam1313 21 Jan.


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