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35/53
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Greetings dear Dukascopy Community. Last week I was caught in an offline project and I was not able to update my weekly analysis for the major pair. I appologize for that. This week I will post the Weekly view Analysis for the 4 Hours Time Based charts and the 35/20 pips Constant Range Bars charts in this article and I will also update the Monthly View Analysis from Friday, conducted on the Daily Charts for the Major Pairs.(in the comments section).Before We start our analysis You should read my article from last month : Key-levels Explained for Range Bars+weekly Analysis for Major Pairs.(to help You understand better the analysis that We will conduct in this article)In any moment given, We have to remember always that no matter what probability we can calculate for the future movement of the price, there is also a chance that the price action could turn against the higher probability. That is why I consider that the probability is always 50-50% for the price to go bullish or bearish. It can only be safe to be prepared always for the both scenarios. If You toss a coin 10 times and You get heads 8 times, and tails 2 times, for the 11th roll, the probability will be 50-50%, unless th…
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doctortyby 20 Mar.

7) Nzd/Usd - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bullish Probability,if the price will find support at 0.822-0.820 Area(Key confluence between Monthly S1 Pivot, Weekly Main Pivot, and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and 50 and 30 SMAs cross), it will rise to 0.830-0.831 area (Key confluence between 200SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement), and move further to 0.834 (Key level, confluence between Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly R1 Pivot). The next resistence could be 0.841(Weekly R2 Pivot)

doctortyby 20 Mar.

7) Nzd/Usd - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bearish Probability,if the price breaks and confirms the breakout of 0.822-0.820 Key Area(confluence between 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement, Monthly S1 Pivot, Weekly Main Pivot and 30 and 50 SMAs cross),it could fall further to reach first 0.812(Weekly S1 Pivot, key confluence with the Downtrend Line, which is acting now as Dynamic support), and then 0.808(Monthly S2 Pivot and support)and 0.798-0.796 area (Monthly S3 Pivot and Weekly S2 Pivot confluence)

doctortyby 20 Mar.

6) Usd/Cad - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 20 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bullish Probability, if the price will find support around 0.988(Weekly S1 Pivot), and it will turn bullish above 0.991-0.993 Key area (Key confluence between Monthly Main Pivot , Weekly Main Pivot, and 30 and furture confluence with 100 SMA), it will move upside to 0.995(Weekly R1 Pivot, key confluence with 200 SMA on the 4 Hours chart), and continue further upside to reach 0.998(Weekly S2 Pivot) and finally 1.001(confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot and Weekly R3 Pivot)

doctortyby 20 Mar.

6) Usd/Cad - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 20 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bearish Probability, under 0.988(Weekly S1 Pivot), price could fall to reach first 0.984 (Weekly S2 Pivot) and then continue sideways for a few days between 0.984-0.988. There is a stronger bearish probability to break the Weekly S2 Pivot and reach the 0.980 area (Monthly S1 Pivot confluence with the Weekly S3 Pivot)

marius24 22 Mar.

what a nice analysis here..it must come from a good trader

31/53
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Greetings dear friends. I hope that You have managed to read my Monthly View Analysis from Friday, conducted on the Daily Charts for the Major Pairs. My last article could help to see a larger view of the market for March and could also help you to find better entries on the 4 Hours and 1 Hour Trigger Charts.This Week we will analyse the 4Hours Time frame Chart and the 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts for the Major Pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable), Aud/Usd (Aussie), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Nzd/Usd (Kiwi), Usd/Cad (Loonie) and Usd/Jpy (Yen).I use the same instruments for my analysis just like the ones that You can see in my last article, only that I will also post Today the 35 Pips Range Bars Charts from Dukascopy's J-forex Platform.>> 1) Eur/Usd - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.        Bearish Probability - We can clearly see an important Key Area between 1.317-1.320 (Key confluence between 200 SMA, Uptrend Line, and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Bearish).    If the price will break and confirm that breakout from that area, we could see a downside move to reach 1.308 (Weekly S1 Pivot), further a retracement back to …
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ELENA_M 7 Mar.

thanks for good analysis.

good article

marius24 22 Mar.

you are good my friend..hope you will aply all this knowledge on real

7/53
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Greetings dear friends. Thank You for your support in the last months. I feel motivated me to write even more elaborated analysis and explanation for the Constant Range Bars Charts, the Key Levels and the Timing Solutions (Entry and Exit from the Market).    In this first article from March I would like to post the monthly view analysis, on the daily charts, for the Major Pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable), Aud/Usd (Aussie), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Nzd/Usd (Kiwi), Usd/Cad (Loonie) and Usd/Jpy (Yen).   As You know I conduct a weekly analysis for the major pairs, based on the 4 Hours time based charts and 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts. Because Today it is Friday and I do not have yet the weekly Pivots from next week, I will have to post another article on Monday with the weekly view.   That is why We will only analyse the Daily charts in this first article from March.   Our Daily chart analysis contains the following instruments:- Monthly Pivots (Main, 3 Supports, 3 Resistences),- SMA - 30,50,100 and 200,- Trendlines and Channels,- Supports and Resistences,- Fibonacci Retracements,- Volume analysis,- Andrew's Pitchfork (new from this month),- Fractals (5 Candles setup, ne…
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Nicco 6 Mar.

Interesting...like the others from the same author! +1

Thanks for hard working!

nfx 12 Mar.

Great market structure analysis! Thanks!

marius24 22 Mar.

so far i like the most your article compared with the others

ELENA_M 31 Mar.

pleasure to see you in top-10 again, good luck in final evaluation :)

25/58
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Welcome back to a new Trading week my Friends from the Dukascopy Community. As you probably know my Weekly Articles contain Analysis Explanation for the time-based Charts and the Constant Range Bars Charts, and the Analysis for the Current Week for the Major Pairs on the 4Hours Charts in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts. I try to update the analysis at least once more during the week through the daily view on the 1Hour charts. Sometimes I even post Analysis for other important pairs. My analysis has had 85% Success ratio so far. I make my analysis on both bulish and bearish scenarios, because in any moment the price action has 50-50% of going Bullish or Bearish.This month I have introduced the Timing Solution and the Explanation of the Key-Levels that I use in my Analysis with the Classification depending on the Importance and Impact on the Market.In my analysis I use the following instruments:- Pivot Points (Daily, Weekly and Monthly - Main Pivots, 3 Supports and 3 Resistences),- Fibonacci Retracements (during a Trend),- Simple Moving Averages (30,50,100 and 200 SMA - also effective during an Uptrend or a Downtrend),- Trendlines and Channel Trendlines (During trends and C…
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doctortyby 28 Feb.

Gbp/Usd-1Hour chart-28.02-Update-Bearish Probability,if 1.581(Weekly Main Pivot,confluence with 200 and 100SMA and Uptrend Line)will be broken and confirmed price could reach first 1.575(confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot and Daily S2 Pivot from Tuesday),and further to 1.572(Key Confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Uptrend Main Dynamic Support Line).This would be a good level for a Bullish continuation of the Uptrend on 1Hour and 4Hours charts.

doctortyby 28 Feb.

Eur/Usd-1Hour chart-28.02-Update-Bullis Probability,if 1.342(Key Level,confluence between Daily Main Pivot from Tuesday and Uptrend Line,30 and 50SMA cross)will hold as support,price could rise to 1.353(Daily R2 Pivot from Tuesday)and 1.357(Weekly R1 Pivot,confluence with the Uptrend Dynamic Resistence Channel Line).From this level price could retrace bearish to the 1.346(Daily R1 Pivot from Tuesday,becomes then Support),and then continue the upside move to reach 1.368(Weekly R2 Pivot).

doctortyby 28 Feb.

Eur/Usd-1Hour chart-28.02-Update-Bearish Probability,under 1.342(Key confluence between Daily Pivot,30,50SMA and Uptrend Line)price will have to break a key support, the 1.338Level(Key Level,confluence between Weekly Pivot and 100SMA),and finally 1.327(Key Level confluence between 200SMA and Weekly S1 Pivot line),to break the uptrend on the 1Hour Chart.The next support will be 1.312(Monthly Main Pivot,and confluence between two Main Downtrend and Uptrend Line from the Higher Time Frames).

ELENA_M 28 Feb.

as always very informative and with good presentation :)

Bluedragon 29 Feb.

good article ;) +1

1/58
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Greetings dear Dukascopy Traders Community. I hope my Analysis from last Week which contained also the Monthly view (Daily Charts) for the Major Pairs, has helped You to get "another view of the Market" (with the Help of My Timing Solution through Range Bars Charts Article). This Week my article will contain two parts: 1) the usual Analysis with the Weekly View (13-17 th of February) by using the 4Hours Charts in Analogy with the 35/15 Pips Range Bars Charts; and 2) an explanation for the Key-Levels that I use in my Analysis both in times Based charts and in Range Bars Charts. Actually There is also a third "view of the Market" next to Time/Price Action and Price Movement Action, a >Different Market Perception< that I will Expose to You in my next Articles.>>> 1) The >> Key-Levels << that  I watch in My Technical Analysis are strictly correlated with the Trading tools and Instruments that I use. What I haven't posted until now is the fact that I use >>2 Time-Frames (4 Hours and 1 Hour, or Daily and 4 Hours) and 2 Constant Range Bars charts setups (35 Pips and 15 Pips)<< to enter the Market.The Bigger Time Frame or Range Bars Charts Setup is called the SETUP Chart.The Entry/Timing, smaller time-frame or Range Bars Charts setup is called the TRIGGER Chart.Key-Levels for the Setup Charts:- Pivot Points (Daily, Weekly and Monthly - Main Pivots, 3 Supports and 3 Resistences),- Fibonacci Retracements (during a Trend),- Simple Moving Averages (30,50,100 and 200 SMA - also effective during an Uptrend or a Downtrend),- Trendlines and Channel Trendlines (During trends and Congestion areas),- Support and ResistencesKey-Levels for the Trigger Charts, besides the ones from the Setup Chart:- Different SMA's (the same setups 30,50,100 and 200SMA) - signal confirmation,- 5 and 13 EMA cross - signal confirmation,- RSI - Trendline Break-out, False Break-out - entry/exit confirmation,- ABCD or 123 Patterns - entry/exit confirmation,- sometimes MACD (convergence, divergence, trendline break-outs) - confirmation.I correlate the Instruments Above with Volumes Analysis and Candlestick/Bars Formations.To enter the Market the Trend on the Setup Chart has to be Correlated with the Trend on the Trigger Chart (correlation of the Signals).>>IMPORTANT<< : I use Different instruments according to the Market Conditions. I use some of the Instruments - all the Time, Some of the Tools for some of the Time, All of the Instruments for a period of time, Sometimes No Key-Level if I trade "Naked" (Based only on price action and Volumes), but I think to Cannot Trade all the time without using these Tools .(after a Quote from Abraham Lincoln).>>So, Key-Levels are Market Points that give the Price/Time Movement a certain order for the traders to see the Levels where there could be important changes in the Price Action.<>CODE RED Key-Levels<<. The Most Important Key-Levels on the Setup Chart are the 2nd Level Key-Levels that are confirmed by the Volumes Analysis / Candlestick/Bar Formations on both charts SETUP and TRIGGER CHARTS.(as shown in the two images above frm the J-forex Dukascopy Platform).For Example, right now as I write this Article I see a CODE RED KEY-LEVEL tested on the 4Hours Chart on the Eur/Usd at the first our of the New York Trading Session (in the Two images above):>> SETUP CHART (4 Hours Time Based Chart):Confluence between Weekly R1 Pivot / 61,8% Fibonacci Retracement from the Daily Chart and 30SMA, confirmed by the last candle (bearish pin-bar) and Volumes (as shown in the Chart).>> TRIGGER CHART (1 Hour Time Based Chart):Confirmation of the Bearish Signal, more than that 50 and 100SMA cross, False Bullish Break-Out above Daily R1 Pivot Candlestick Fromation and high Volume on the Last Bearish Candle (last Hour).This is a great Bearish Signal to Enter Short on the Market.Of Course You will enter the Market with the Exit (Stop Loss and Take Profit) already established.But to analyse the Stop Loss and Take Profit for this Trade I would Need another Two articles and it seems that I run out of Words for this Article (1500 Words Limitation).And one other Secret... The Entry signal has to be also confirmed by the Range Bars Charts in analogy with the time Based charts. For the Example Above this would mean that You have to look also into the analysis on 35 Pips and 15 Pips Range Bars Charts.>>> 2) Let get to our Weekly Analysis (13th - 17th of February):I will post the Charts for the Major Pairs in the Article with the Explanation in the comments because I do not have enough words remaining in the Article.>1) >>> Eur/Usd <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:    >2) >>> Gbp/Usd <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:
>3) >>> AUD/Usd <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:   4) >>> Nzd/Usd <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:
5)>>> USD/CHF <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:
6) >>> Usd/Jpy <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the (15) Pips Range Bars Chart:
7) >>> Usd/Cad <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:      Thank You for Your Patience to Read My Article and My Analysis.I will post the Written Explanations for the charts in the Comments Section of the Article, as soon as it will be posted. Disclaimer: Please Take responsability for Your own Trading Decisions.To Your success,Doctortyby - Tiberiu
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doctortyby 16 Feb.

Usd/Cad,Daily view,1Hour chart(16.02);Bearish probability if price breaks and confirms 0.998(confluence between Weekly and Daily Pivot and 200Sma),it could drop further to 0.995(Daily S1) and 0.938(Weekly S1 Pivot).Bullish probability,if 0.998(Key Level explained earlier)will hold as support,price could turn bac upside to reach 1.002(Daily r1 Pivot)and 1.005(Key Level, confluence between Weekly R1 and Daily r2 Pivots)

ELENA_M 18 Feb.

again you were right in analysis, will waiting for another. Thanks :)

Schaolin 22 Feb.

Good luck in Contest! +1

corneliu 22 Feb.

good luck +1 :) interesting :))

WyMe 22 Feb.

Well Done +1

20/58
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This is the beginning of a new trading month, a new succsessful trading week and our new Constant Range Bars Charts Technical Analysis (35
Pips Bars/Candles) in Analogy with 4 hours Time Based Charts for This Week, for
the Major Pairs (Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Aud/Usd, Usd/Chf, Usd/Jpy, Usd/Cad and
Nzd/Usd). So far, my Analysis has had 85 % Success, because it is based on
Price Action. In this First Analysis in February I will also Post the Monthly
View through the Daily Charts.
You can see examples for my Analysis in My Article Series from December and
January.I recommend You to read my Timing Solution Article, with the help of the Range Bars Charts, because it can help You to find a better use for this Analysis in your trading Plan. As You may know from my previous analysis my Technical instruments are: - Pivot Points (Daily, Weekly, Monthly), supports and resistences,- Simple Moving Averages (30,50,100 and 200),- Fibonacci Retracements,- Trendlines and Channels,- Candlestick Formations,- Volumes Analysis.My analysis contains the 4 Hours Time-Based Charts in Analogy with the 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts for the Weekly View. This analysis also contains the Daily Chart for the Mon…
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ELENA_M 11 Feb.

as always very informative and with good presentation :) trading is really yours

Forsmin 12 Feb.

Good luck. I wish you the first step

ovidiu_gnt 12 Feb.

Hard work, high satisfaction .

mauyama 13 Feb.

nice work

Schaolin 22 Feb.

good article

16/58
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I will post some Chart examples to Better understand the Theory.
First, let's see an example of the signals provided by the Volumes
combined with Candle Formations in both Types of Charts (Time Based and Range
Bars Charts - 10 Pips).
In analogy with the Time-Based Chart - 15 Minutes Time Frame:
Next You can see two examples of How you can combine different instruments in
Constant Range Bars Charts.
Example 1:
Example 2:

Thank you for reading my article. I hope you can use the Information to build a
Remember to take a Look at my Constant Range Bars Charts Technical Analysis (35
Pips Bars/Candles) in Analogy with 4 hours Time Based Charts for This Week, for
the Major Pairs (Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Aud/Usd, Usd/Chf, Usd/Jpy, Usd/Cad and
Nzd/Usd). So far, my Analysis has had 85 % Success, because it is based on
Price Action. In the First Analysis in February I will also Post the Monthly
View through the Daily Charts.
You can see examples for my Analysis in My Article Series from December and
January.
Thank You,
Tiberiu - Doctortyby
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doctortyby 15 Feb.

In trader's Contest I am testing a strategy based on the Currency correlation. It does not follow that successful analysis(85%) from my Weekly Articles (with Updates)as I use Different pairs to trade and different correlations between the currencies.

Schaolin 22 Feb.

good article +1

ante777 25 Feb.

Great articles and analysis. Thank you.

forastero 28 Feb.

good article

Bluedragon 28 Feb.

nice article +1