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31/54
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Good Morning DukascopyCommunity;
we'll see now my last Currency weekly analysis.
#EnjoyReading

EUR/USD

The pair ended the week in its highs at 1.1919 in what was mostly a gloomy week for the majority of the period and came into life on Friday as Yellen and Draghi took the stage. The consolidation and ranging in the pair dominated most of the week as the market looked ahead to the speeches at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Both Draghi and Yellen spoke on the sidelines, however, Yellen clearly avoided touching the monetary policy and her speech was seen as a dampener. There was nothing new from Draghi as well but he mentioned about the economic recovery in Europe which was enough of a signal for the market to buy even more euros and helped it cross at the highest level since 2015. The week ahead is likely to observe the end of the month currency flow together with CPI data from Euro to be announced on Thursday. In addition, US is expected to announce its ADP employment change data on Wednesday, consumption data on Thursday and employment data on Friday which is expected to bring in a lot of volatility during the week.
USDJPY started the week with downward pressure as the North-Korean t…
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JuliannaS avatar

So many pairs , so many work you did

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51/65
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Good Morning All;
we'll see now a new weekly analysis.


The Week Ahead
Much of last week’s economic data was overshadowed by political and military developments in the Middle East and this short week will again likely be dominated in this way again.
The AUD has dropped below 0.7500 USD in the aftermath of these deveopments and the mixed reactions to the latest US employment data released late last week. A softer than anticipated US Non-farm Payroll figure that showed less than 100k new jobs in March was then offset by an accompanying drop in the unemployment rate to 4.5% – the lowest level since 2007. US retail is continuing to struggle with numerous retailers either filing for or preparinig to file for bankruptcy and close their doors. Some measures suggest that around 10% of US retail space is under threat of closure, conversion or rent renegotiation in the next few years.
On the Australian front last week the RBA kept interest rates on hold again. The housing price situation in Sydney and Melbourne in particular remains a significant concern for the RBA whilst the declining AUD will have been received well. Coupled with the geopolitical developments and the strengthening USD, a…
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gargantua avatar
gargantua 21 Apr.

good article

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27/52
Ranking
Good Morning All we''ll see a new weekly analysis.

Headlines

Global equities edged up this week, as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) maintained its gradual approach to US monetary policy normalisation and the outcome of the Dutch elections saw the populist and anti-European Union Party for Freedom lose out to the relatively moderate incumbent ruling party.
At its March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Fed raised the target range of the federal funds rate by 25 bps to 0.75%-1.00%, in line with expectations. However, federal fund rate projections for 2017, 2018 and the longer-run terminal rate were left unchanged.
The UK unemployment rate fell to 4.7% in January, against expectations of no change. Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) left interest rates on hold, although the minutes and a dissenting vote for a rate increase indicated a more hawkish tone
In a relatively light coming week for data releases, UK CPI and retail sales prints for February should provide further clues on the post-Brexit-vote state of the economy.
US
In the coming week, February’s US existing home sales are expected to fall by 2.0% mom (5,580,000 annualised against 5,690,000 previously), reversi…
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TelisHellano avatar

nice article

wisdom_consultant avatar

great work!

brilliant avatar
brilliant 24 Mar.

helpful information

ForexAlyoum avatar

Good Luck

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29/52
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Headlines

Global equities rose this week amid upbeat economic data releases and a more conciliatory tone adopted by US President Donald Trump
A host of US Federal Reserve (Fed) members talked up the likelihood of a March rate hike, pulling global bond yields higher
Survey data in the US suggested consumer confidence and manufacturing activity levels are at multi-year highs
In the coming week, investors’ attention will turn to the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy meeting and the latest US labour market data
Market Moves
US and European equity markets edge higher amid upbeat global growth optimism
US equities rallied this week, as the latest survey data reinforced optimism over the health of the US economy. Particularly encouraging was a 16-year high in the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, and a stronger than expected ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI. President Donald Trump’s more conciliatory speech to the US Congress also helped allay fears of drastic policy measures by the current administration. The S&P 500 Index rose to a fresh record high on Wednesday, before paring gains to close up (+0.7%) for the sixth consecutive week.
Similarly, global g…
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FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 12 Mar.

Good article!

wisdom_consultant avatar

very well

brilliant avatar
brilliant 24 Mar.

useful information

vugarali avatar
vugarali 25 Mar.

good article

Beto avatar
Beto 28 Mar.

interesting view point.

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26/59
Ranking
Good Morning All;
we'll see a new forex weekly analysis.

Headlines
Global equity indices edged higher last week on upbeat corporate earnings and Trump stimulus hopes, offsetting US and European
political uncertainty.
US President Donald Trump promised a "phenomenal" tax plan within a few weeks’ time.
Defying expectations of a 25bps rate cut, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its policy repo rate unchanged at 6.25%, in order to further assess the transitory effects of the government’s demonetisation efforts on inflation and growth.
In the coming week, US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s monetary policy testimony to both the Senate Banking and House Financial Services Committees will be closely scrutinised for any clues on the likely trajectory of US interest rates
US
In the coming week, the US economy’s health and whether it is sufficiently strong to warrant a near-term rise in interest rates will be the dominant question for financial markets. More light on this matter will be shed on 14 February by Fed Chair Janet Yellen when she delivers her monetary policy testimony to the Senate Banking Committee. The testimony will be repeated, but with an additional Q&A session, in fr…
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zarina avatar
zarina 19 Feb.

спасибо за информацию !

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

well done!

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 12 Mar.

Good job!

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31/59
Ranking
Good Morning All Community!

Headlines

Global equities fell this week as US foreign policy concerns weighed on risk appetite. A weaker US dollar also hit non-US exportsensitive bourses
All G4 central banks, apart from the European Central Bank (ECB), held their respective February meetings with policy outcomes largely in line with expectations
January’s US employment report was mixed. Although the economy added more jobs than expected (227,000 compared to a consensus of 180,000 and 157,000 previously), average hourly earnings growth dipped to 2.5% yoy from December’s downwardly revised 2.8%
In the coming week, investor focus will shift to central bank meetings in Australia, India and Mexico as well as China trade data
Macro Data fand Key Events


US

February’s preliminary release of the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentimentis expected to tick-down by 1.2 points to 97.5, retreating marginally from its highest level since January 2004. Continued strength in both the current conditions and future expectations are yet to be reflected in a further consumer spending acceleration. A further firming of longer-term consumer inflation expectations (5-10 years) away from the De…
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antoniogreenblue avatar

Good weekly analysis ;)

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

great article!

Beto avatar
Beto 12 Feb.

Very nice summary of whole market. Good job.

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 12 Mar.

Well written!

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32/59
Ranking

Headlines
Global equities were boosted this week by a reigniting of the Trump "reflation trade," as the US President pushed ahead with a raft of executive orders, supporting optimism over the US economic outlook
The first estimate of US Q4 GDP showed growth of 1.9% qoq annualised, down from 3.5% in Q3 and below expectations of 2.2%
In the coming week, central bank meetings in the US, UK and Japan will be in focus.
USIn a heavy US data week, the highlight will be the first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of 2017. The FOMC is expected to keep the Fed funds target range unchanged at 0.50%-0.75%. It will be interesting to see if the statement reflects the increase in hawkish Fedspeak of late, in particular Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s more balanced labour market outlook, where she highlighted that cyclical labour market weakness has largely disappeared. Meanwhile, there has been little real change in activity data since the last statement in December, but market and consumer inflation expectations have rebounded. Any dissents would also be of interest and may help set the tone for the March meeting. January’s employment report is forecast to show nonfarm payroll growth at 170…
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varda avatar
varda 3 Feb.

well done.

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 12 Mar.

Well written!

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41/68
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Markets Headline
Global equity markets fell this week, despite generally robust data, amid investor caution ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration as President of the United States. The UK’s FTSE 100 Index underperformed as sterling strengthened.
In a long-awaited speech, British Prime Minister Theresa May confirmed the UK would seek to exit the European Single Market and that “a new, comprehensive, bold and ambitious Free Trade Agreement” would be sought with the European Union
The January European Central Bank (ECB) meeting saw policy left on hold, as expected. ECB President Mario Draghi struck a dovish tone at the press conference, stating that “there are no signs yet of a convincing upward trend in underlying inflation”
The UK and US’s advance releases of Q4 GDP data are the highlight of next week’s calendar. Central banks in Turkey and South Africa also hold their January policy meetings

US

December’s existing home sales are expected to fall by 1.4% mom (5,530,000 annualised against 5,610,000 previously). This release has been quite volatile over the last couple of years, but the general trend is one of improvement. The prior release took the series to its strongest level si…
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brilliant avatar
brilliant 25 Jan.

Fundamentals !

sonjatrader avatar

Well done!!!

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37/68
Ranking
Good Morning All;
Global equities rose marginally last week, although many major markets dipped, with risk appetite hit by US President-Elect Donald Trump’s first press conference since the election, which provided little clarity around the US policy outlookUS retail sales were weaker than expected, despite continued robust consumer sentiment data
In the US, December’s headline retail sales rose 0.6% mom, marginally less than the 0.7% expected. December’s details are quite disappointing, with vehicles and parts contributing 0.51 ppts and gasoline stations adding 0.15 ppts. Outside of these components, only non-store retailers saw a noteworthy addition of just 0.14 ppts. The control group (excluding autos, gas and building materials) also disappointed at 0.2% mom against 0.4% expected, with the prior month revised down to 0.0% mom from 0.1%. This data appears at odds with the continued rise in consumer sentiment, but it still translates into a firm core group yoy rate of 3.4% despite disappointing November and December releases. January’s University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment preliminary release showed little change, dipping very slightly to 98.1 from 98.2. The current…
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TInna avatar
TInna 19 Jan.

GOOD!

Napoli avatar
Napoli 19 Jan.

test

sonjatrader avatar

Thanksss

brilliant avatar
brilliant 25 Jan.

nice information

ghfran avatar
ghfran 2 Feb.

good ^^

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39/69
Ranking
Good Morning All Community;
we'll see now the Macro Data and Key Events
for this week.
(5-9 Dec. 2016)

Headlines
Despite broadly positive macro data, most global equity indices dipped this week on soft investor risk appetite; however, energy and financial stocks gained amid higher oil prices
OPEC finalised a deal to cut output to 32.5 million barrels per day (bpd) from the current 33.64 million bpd
The US November employment report showed nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000, slightly weaker than the expected 180,000
In the coming week, the outcome of the Italian constitutional referendum will be in focus, along with the European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting.
US
In the coming week, November’s ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is expected to tick marginally higher (55.2 from 54.8). While October saw broad slowing, business activity (57.7 versus 60.3) and new orders (57.7 versus 60.0) remained strong; however, employment (53.1 against 57.2 prior) was less encouraging. Since this release comes after the November employment report, this subcomponent will receive less attention than usual.
December’s preliminary release of the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is expected to in…
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ak10 avatar
ak10 7 Dec.

Helpful knowledge

VictoriaVika avatar

Good article!

hrustiashka avatar

Nice work

IRUNYA avatar
IRUNYA 8 Dec.

отлично все напсиано

Beto avatar
Beto 13 Dec.

Good macro view point.

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35/65
Ranking
The EURUSD looks determined to retest trend line resistance that extends from the current 2016 high at 1.1615. Friday’s close above the 1.1122 handle appears to be significant and could lead to at least another 40 to 50 pips of upside in the week ahead.
With that said, the May trend line will likely put up a better fight than the 1.1122 level did last week. Considering this level extends from the current high for the year and rejected all four previous advances, chances are sellers will be keeping a close eye on the 1.1170/80 area. While the 1.1122 handle will likely attract bids on a move lower this week.
Be sure to take extra precaution this week given the US elections. In fact, taking a seat on the sidelines wouldn’t be a bad idea given the expected volatility and widening spreads.
At 340 pips from open to close, last week’s GBPUSD rally was the largest since late February. The pair first managed to climb above the 1.2325 area on Thursday and finished off the week with a close above the 1.2500 handle.
So does this mean that the British pound is in the clear?
Not quite. It’s important to remember that as impressive as last week’s rally was and could continue to be, the pair is st…
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s_amira avatar
s_amira 9 Nov.

By coping a full article from other website you will not get far in this contest!!!

sharpsense avatar

"By coping a full article from other website you will not get far in this contest!!!"

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 10 Nov.

By coping a full article from other website you will not get far in this contest!!!

Chaudhry77 avatar
Chaudhry77 11 Nov.


By coping a full article from other website you will not get far in this contest!!!

brilliant avatar
brilliant 24 Nov.

nice article and charts

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39/56
Ranking
Good Morning All;
we'll see now a new forex weekly analysis.
#EnjoyReading

Last Week's Highlights
Q2 GDP revised up to 1.4% in US, 0.7% in UK
Deutsche Bank concerns weigh on euro
Fed speakers remain divided on when to raise rates
This Week's Highlights
Article 50 trigger date deadline weighs on pound
US September jobs report
Manufacturing and Services data from US, UK, Eurozone
GBP

Sterling fell further against both the euro and the dollar last week, bringing into focus its post-Referendum lows, in part due to renewed attention on remaining Brexit uncertainties. Sterling fell to 1.1472 against the euro, just shy of its three-year low of 1.1459, and to 1.2915 against the dollar, not quite hitting its August low of 1.2866. The pound weakened around comments from MPC Member Shafik on Wednesday as Shafik indicated likely support for additional stimulus measures “at some point”. Of the week’s data, the UK’s Q2 Current Account deficit was narrower than expected at £28.7 billion. Consumer Confidence and Business Investment both rose, the former returning to pre-Referendum levels with a reading of -1, up from -12 in July. UK Q2 was revised up to 0.7% and to 2.1% on an annualised basis. Th…
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PipPoint avatar
PipPoint 5 Oct.

Nice

VictoriaVika avatar

Good work, go ahead

zarina avatar
zarina 6 Oct.

Очень хороший анализ !

OneGoodTrade avatar

Most banks align themselves with the fundamental conditions, if you master it, trading should be easy on longer term.

priceaction113 avatar

good work

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7/67
Ranking

    "When market conditions change, I change my mind" (J. M. Keynes)      Greetings dear traders. Today we are going to make our usual analysis for 5 of the major pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable/Pound), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Usd/Jpy (Jap. Yen) and Aud/Usd (Aussie). We will also try to cover some of the commonly market conditions for a trend.   To better understand a trend we have to start from the definition: The general direction of the market price for a certain trading instrument (currency pair, commodity, bond, stock).   If we want to identify a trend we have to look at the charts and see if we can find some simple signs:Higher Swing Lows and Higher Swing Highs for an Uptrend,Lower Swing Lows and Lower Swing Highs for a Downtrend.   Trends Classification:Major Trends (Primary Trends) - are ascending or descending trends, interrupted by corrections (Sell-offs in Uptrends and Rallies in Downtrends), last from several months to several years. Intermediate Trends - can develop in the direction of the Major Trend or in the opposite direction (in this case it is considered a correction), last from several weeks to several months.Minor Trends (Sell-Off or Rallies) …
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kkforex avatar
kkforex 22 May

I feel Aussie has broken the weekly trendline last week and this week it will test it at 0.9980 and then continue down till 0.9650 Also Euro and GBPJPY might test broken neckline on dailies this week. Nice analysis 1+

LinnuxFX avatar
LinnuxFX 22 May

Nice article, do you used it in webinar? Good Luck...

belman avatar
belman 25 May

Great rank and analisis, good and nice weekend to you +1

MyiDEA avatar
MyiDEA 28 May

good article....

egidijus avatar
egidijus 28 May

Interesting article. Good luck! +1

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