1. Falling profitability
Investors are pursuing hot, profitable shares, funds, and strategies to find that they often enter the top when the growth has already been accumulated. If you see a share or strategy that has provided great profits, try to find out what has been done and whether this is a single case or a mere chance. You have to ask yourself whether the management, the strategy or the system is unique and will continue to produce similar results?
2. Forecasting short-term price movements (when you can’t hit 75%)
Trying to define short-term market movements and entering and leaving positions is almost impossible. You need to be accurate about 75% of the time to get a better score than someone just was on the market. Remember, leaving the market is only half of the battle - yo…