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12/40
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مقدمة :
في البداية ومثل جميع المتداولين تم تجربة العديد من الاستراتيجيات وابتكار بعض منها وعلى مدار أكثر من خمس سنوات كانت محصلة الخسائر تتعدى مجموع الارباح ، إلى أن توصلت لبعض الاستراتيجيات استطعت من خلال الدمج بينها أن أحقق ارباح مرضية من التداول .
وفي هذا المقال سوف أقوم بشرح واحدة من أهم الاستراتيجيات التي أتبعها وهي من ابتكار الاستاذ أحمد معطي وهو من أشهر المحللين في سوق المال بمصر والوطن العربي .
أطلق على الاستراتيجية اسم التداول الذكي Smart Trading وبالفعل بعد تجربة الاستراتيجية لعدة شهور أثبتت نسبة نجاح عالية تخطت أرباحها نسبة 70% .
أدوات الاستراتيجية :
(1) المتوسط المتحرك LWMA لعدد 50 شمعة بالاعتماد على أعلى سعر وملون بالاحمر .
(2) المتوسط المتحرك LWMA لعدد 50 شمعة بالاعتماد على أقل سعر وملون بالاحمر .
(3) المتوسط المتحرك LWMA لعدد 100 شمعة بالاعتماد على أعلى سعر وملون بالازرق .
(4) المتوسط المتحرك LWMA لعدد 100 شمعة بالاعتماد على أقل سعر وملون بالازرق .
(5) المتوسط المتحرك SMA لعدد 150 شمعة بالاعتماد على سعر الاغلاق وملون بالاخضر .
(6) مؤشر Stochastic بإعدادات 22 – 5 – 5 وبمستويات 20 – 50 – 80
آلية عمل الاستراتيجية :
من المعلوم أن المتوسطات المتحركة تعمل كدعوم ومقاومات متحركة للسعر ، لذا اعتمدت الاستراتيجية على عدد من هذه المتوسطات وتحديد الدخول بواسطة السلوك
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anvifx avatar
anvifx 7 July

good analysis !! great work

Sasha_spicy avatar

Well done job!

Dominos avatar
Dominos 21 July

good article

hrustiashka avatar

Good job

seymur_valizade avatar

good

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10/46
Ranking
Inspiration for this article comes from my last month of participation in trader contest. My P&L during the whole contest month was full of up and downs and I haven’t reached my target of 400k USD. Worst thing is that I lost 300k + few times and I have finished with almost same balance as I start at beginning of the month. Do you want to see reason? Check this article.
I would like to share main idea of my previous article “Social trading - Fake or Future”. I have mentioned that ”We have to change our behavior“. This word “We” means all of us (traders, Investors and social trading provider). I don’t want just talk about it. Important thing is to make this change real because I believe that idea of social trading is one of the best ideas in financial industry ever. Let me explain how we can improve this environment and make things work.
First of all, we need to take some dose of criticism and face the reality. Let’s start with question. Do you know at least one person in our social trading environment who brought good results in long term? In this case I don’t want to criticize or analyze anybody else so I will do analysis of my own results. Let’s see my track record from past 45 m…
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Ticker avatar
Ticker 18 Mar.

good job!

fxigor avatar
fxigor 23 Mar.

Nice trading plant - excellent article !

CD1V1 avatar
CD1V1 24 Mar.

good job. Most players in the trader contest are looking for cash prizes, no one really cares much about establishing a track record. The subscriber points are supposed to help players think long term, most most people still subscribe to the players at the top of the table after first week or based on their previous month's performance.
it is not a perfect system, but everyone has to choose their own path. Nice stats, but i think you have gotten too cautious))
you can save that for live account.)

Airmike avatar
Airmike 24 Mar.

key idea of my article is how to improve social trading environment. problem is that system must be a perfect to achieve  target to be a best social trading platform. If this target is not a priority then I don't know what the goal is. :)

Metal_Mind avatar

megajorko ,,even the most successful traders one day lose-them-all''.  You are right here. It is all about timming & risk calculation. You have to plan your exit at some point and here i mean your exit from trading. Everyone has a number in mind when they start. You can roll the dices until is jackpot or go bust in the process. At the end, you can say you at least had the guts to try. Cheers.

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2/45
Ranking
I wrote this article as a reaction to discussion below the community support blog with topic Prize fund increase and turnover changes for 2015“.

I would like to share my personal view of social trading business model with all advantages and disadvantages. I will try to explain what problems we have to face it and I will offer a solution. As traders who are involved in this type of business we should have right outlook what is all about and what necessary components of social trading environment are. Key idea is very simple. Social trading is an exchange. The exchange where talented traders can bring their skills and sell them same way as a public company brings ideas for investors. Social trading provider creates environment as an exchange. He deserves revenue in the form of commission for offering this service.
The question is, why is this idea is so unique? Answer is efficiency. Costs you have to pay as an investor for over-performing assets are extremely low. If you compare social trading platform with similar investments as Pamm schemes or hedgefunds, then you can see huge difference. Investors receive 100% of performance with no high required investment. For traders is this …
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 22 Feb.

Makes perfect sense. Prizes could even have fixed and variable part, with latter linked to P/L or DE ratio or both. Very well written.

fxigor avatar
fxigor 24 Feb.

I like your solution for social trading. Safe accounts are important. Excellent article.

Airmike avatar
Airmike 26 Feb.

many thanks all of you guys for likes and support. Article Contest is almost at the end but I would be happy to see your comments and suggestions also after contest period. This article was written for reason. I want to make people discuss about their opinions.

jaroslav80 avatar
jaroslav80 26 Feb.

Good articel.

Frank_ avatar
Frank_ 27 Feb.

Hi, very interesting article.
I think that the new parameter ED as the ratio between the sum of P/L (E) and the max drawdown (D) should be very useful for valuation of trader's performance. Only a little note: the max drawdown (DD) of trader in second graph is not 140, but is about 60, so the ED ratio of second trader should be even better.
Regards.

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16/34
Ranking
Make room people,there is a new star on the block. Maybe you have heard of the Dukascopy Social Trading Contest already ,but for those who didn't and don't know exactly what is going on i wrote this article presenting the general idea of the contest, rules, prizes, tips and some secrets that will come in handy when you will deal with the same situations like I did in my first month attending contest.Social Trading is a brand new contest running for 2 months now and even though is a great contest with considerable prizes the number of participants is reduced compared to other contests ,although this one does not require trading skills or programming skills at all. Here it's all about signal trading. The only thing that needs done here is register the contest, chose your signal providers and at the end of the month you can be one of the 10 lucky winners The prizes are as follows: 1st - 500 $; 2nd -400 $; 3rd - 300$ ; 4th - 200$ ; 5,6...10th - 100 $ . Sounds appealing ,doesn't it?. "To good to true...hmm of course there is a catch,there is always one,i will explain that a bit later."Now ,first things first: Step 1: REGISTRATIONYou need to register to the contest and after you rece…
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Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 20 Oct.

Dear jezz i am glad to see that you liked my article and read .
This article needs an update , but i will tell you some new things that i found out. Regarding providers there is one thing that i didn't wrote about and it is important.

You can check the dukascopy grand prix page to subscribe to providers but there you won't find the top ones which are trading for a long time. You should now that many of these traders have real accounts now and they may not have the time to have a very good performance and check their demo trading accounts. So you should also check traders contest page .

Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 20 Oct.

There you will find all traders from the month you are attending and you can see their performance. The key to succes is to chose your providers by the criteria of pips expert and not chose by looking at their balance.

You should aim to be subscribed to some traders that are medium or long term traders. I say this because these traders usualy don't trade large volumes, you can subscribe with a biiger share of your account to each one of them , and of course you won't see very high fulctutions of your equity at every 10 pips for you /or against you.

Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 20 Oct.

So how to chose these traders if it is at the begining of the month??? Well wait 1 day , and you will see there will be some which will distinguish themselvs. There are traders who make 100% return of their account in the first day. You my friend don't want to be subscribed to them .They may outperform but at first mistake they may lose all and so do you. You should check traders by pips expert and chose those with the more pips won in that day and cross that by checking their trading history. Doing all this you will have filtered the majority of you future loses.!!!!!!

Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 20 Oct.

The rest is active managment & control of your subscribed share and providers as explained very well in my article.

Good Luck , Hope this help , and if you have any questions regarding social or any other i will be glad to help.!!!!!!

jezz avatar
jezz 20 Oct.

just add another text with this text you wrote and name it 'part 2' :). thank you for this elaborated response

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