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My View on German Federal Election 2017

Beto Posted 23 Sep. in #Trader's blog #Forecast #Strategy #Risk #Management

10/54

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1. Abstract:
The financial markets will move after the federal elections this week.
This could be a nice opportunity for seasonal traders and experienced people who likes the big risk.
I want to explain my opinion and suggested directions to trade after this event, knowing that this analysis is made on Saturday and maybe
the release of this information can be available on Thursday or even Wednesday next week.
Most important is to get involved or trade with low risk because the high volatility could happen. The bad thing with that is any stop may
support it and a big loss could carry out or even pending orders could not been filled.
2. Development:
What to trade and why ? well, based on my research could be YEN pairs because the DAX is the correlated security for this currency Forex pair and because this kind of event and EUR/USD because high liquidity.
I will use an SMA(200) and key levels of Fibonacci retracement and the daily chart.
2.1 GBP/JPY Analisys:
As you can see the big picture of this pair, is making higher highs and higher lows. Also seems to be in a channel up.
I did create a projection using Fibonacci levels taking the key numbers.
With this I will create a forecast to…

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Révélation Sur La Gestion Des Fonds Dans Le Trading

Yonggi7 Posted 4 Sep. in #Trading #Capital #Success #Risk #Management #Revelation #Gestion #Fonds

12/54

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De nature générale, il existe certaines vérités et certains mythes autour du thème de la gestion de votre capital au sein du trading. En effet, il y a des informations qui peuvent être pertinentes sur la gestion de l'argent, mais d’autres sont complètement inutiles et ne fonctionneront pas bien au trading.
La raison est simple: C'est que chaque montant d'investissement dans les comptes de traders sera différent. De même chaque engagement pour le risque variera selon la personne. Cette variation est liée à la valeur nette, et au niveau de compétence selon les traders.
Qu'est-ce qui nous permet d'avoir une bonne gestion de nos fonds au trading?
Tout le monde sait que la gestion de l'argent est un aspect nécessaire pour réussir au trading. Cependant, la plupart des traders ne consacrent pas assez de temps pour se concentrer sur l'élaboration ou la mise en œuvre d'un plan de gestion d'argent.
Dans cet article, vous verrez quelle serait la meilleure perspective professionnelle sur la gestion de l'argent au sein du trading; et on citera aussi les idées qui peuvent s'y attachées.
Après avoir acquéri un peu d'expérience là-dessus, on finit par retenir que la majorité des traders doivent …

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I Am Ready to Lose in Forex!

md1fk1 Posted 16 July in #Trading #Strategy #Risk Management #Risk #Forex Trading Strategies #Risk And Reward #Profit Taking

4/44

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Introduction

Yes, you heard it right. I am ready to lose in forex trading. To put it in perspective I have to have big heart to accept losses in forex trading. I have accepted that I cannot be correct all the time with my trades. And if I have to select between risk and reward, I will select risk first. That is how much I will lose if my trade goes in not the way I would have liked. So I am ready to lose a little and want to limit my risk on every trade. I think it is first and foremost thing to know the risk on my trades beforehand.
I cannot move price of any pair even by 1 pips. I simply don’t have that moving power. So what do I do? I also want to make money. So I will do what others are doing and making money. The good news is that I can see what others are doing. And I can see that on my charts in terms of technical analysis and price action. Others are also seeing the same chart and taking positions and collectively they move the price. So if I can do what others are doing, I will make money as others are making.

An Example

I will trade what I see on my chart. The recent example I will give of 12-14th 2017 July AUD/USD charts. I could see AUD/USD broke above 0.7630 convinc…

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Using Martingale Méthode on Binary Option, Good or Bad Idea

PrinceChoco Posted 8 July in #Binary #Double #Option #Good #Risk #Bad #Martingale

23/44

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What is Martingale method ?

A martingale is any of a class of betting strategies that originated from and were popular in 18th century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins his stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double his bet after every loss, so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. The martingale strategy has been applied to roulette as well, as the probability of hitting either red or black is close to 50%.
(source : Wikipedia)

…

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пятьсот долларов из ста долларов сша? легко! мой опыт.

McWallt Posted 20 June in #Forex #Article Contest #Trends #Trader #Risk #Правила #Советы #Mcwallt #Опыт

21/44

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Кто из вас задавался вопросом: «Что я тут делаю?..». Друзья, если вы об этом подумали, все – закрывайте вкладку, удаляйте историю браузера, выходите из браузера и выключайте компьютер. Вы безнадежны… (автор смеётся).
Трейдинг в целом, охватывая всевозможные торговые инструменты, любит упорных и безжалостных к себе людей. Просто невозможно представить себе человека, который смахивает прибыль с «волны на волну» надеясь только на удачу. Мотив, стремление и упорство – три, по моему мнению, важные составляющие настроя успешного трейдера. Да, вы конечно можете не вставать в 5 утра или ложиться спать глубоко за полночь, следя за движениями рынка, но быть в рынке в моменты сильного тренда - просто обязаны.
На своем личном примере, испытал, что невозможно просидеть за терминалом пять суток, а потом двое суток спать и снова (тут наверное, стоит не скрывать улыбки, самокритика это все же весело - «смайл». Такое сильное рвение к торговле, не проходящая жажда к знаниям и безграничное воображение в котором воочию предстаёт торговая площадка Нью-Йоркской Фондовой (не спрашивайте откуда знаю - воображение (автор смеётся), интернет дает нам такую возможность), с её громко выкрикивающими «трейде…

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показатели билла уильямса | теория хаоса

wind87 Posted 16 June in #Forex #Trade #Market #Trends #Jforex #Indicator #Risk

9/44

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Данные индикаторы возникли по стратегии, предложенной легендарным трейдером Биллом Уильямсом. Благодаря хорошему пониманию в психологии рынка, он разработал свой собственный метод торговли, который основан, тем временем, на рациональном подходе к анализу рынка и иррациональной логике хаоса. Хаос - это более высокая степень порядка, где организационная система основана на случайных и хаотических событиях. В своей теории Хаоса он отвергает линейный метод торговли, согласно которому будущие цены прогнозируются в зависимости от анализа прошлого. В результате своих исследований Уильямс пришел к выводу, что стандартные показатели имеют ограниченные возможности из-за их линейности. Чтобы понять общую структуру рынка, Б. Уильямс рекомендовал проанализировать рынок в следующих пяти измерениях:
1. Фрактальное (фазовое пространство)
2. Движущая сила (энергетическая фаза)
3. Ускорение / замедление (фаза мощности)
4. Зона (комбинация силовой / силовой фазы)
5. Линия баланса.

Для понимания и анализа этих измерений был установлен ряд индикаторов.

1) Определение осциллятора ускорителя Технический индикатор Acceleration / Deceleration (AC) измеряет ускорение или замедление текущей движущей силы ры…

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Simple Ways to Measure Our Risk plus Benchmarking

arjaq Posted 10 Apr. in #Trader Contest #Indicators #Risk #Benchmark #Investment Theory

37/65

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Goal

The main goal of our investments will always to be at a higher profitability than the best possible risk-free option of investing. As we risk with our investments and have to involve our knowledge and time it is logical that we expect a better return than we get just for giving money to a financial institution. To assess our investment we could use various benchmarks, for example:

Best free of risk possibility - this is the final benchmark for any investment, we cannot go lower than that.
The average return on associated index (if we invest in shares).
The average return on stocks from the same market sector (for shares).
Average interest on government bonds across the world (for bonds, but could also be considered as a more ambitious alternative for free of risk investment bench). For forex, we can benchmark against best interest on governmental bonds available to reflect risk.
Average profit on assets with similar risk.
Fund/hedge fund based on the same assets. Best fund's result for the similar assets.

…

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Do you Trade Gap's on Forex Market ?

Beto Posted 5 Apr. in #Tactics #Strategies #Risk #Setups #Forex Market

29/65

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1. Abstract
Some people likes to trade gaps because of this there are big probabilities of collect few amount of pips.
But the risk to approach it must be strategic and could be different to each situation.
Gaps often signal continuation with the direction of the open and close of that trading day.
But sometimes could be a sing of weakness if the GAP is filled in less that two trading sessions.
I found a particular situation on DAI, a Germany stock and I decided to go short on it.
In this article, I will tell you how the trade goes and the way as a suggestion to approach it.
2. Development
2.1 Open trade on DAI
I found this on my daily monitor, what I am looking is pattern formation such as Doji candles, inside bars, engulfing and so on.
This stock did some gaps the previous daily sessions and formed a bearish pin bar. At this level did few touches and
At this same level around 73$ per contract, the stock did few touches in the past and for me, this was a confirmation of a strong resistance.
this was a confirmation of a strong resistance.
The most incredible thing was to look an open GAP about of 240 pips.
That is crazy, I never saw a gap like this.
The next. was create a range to …

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Fanfare and Finding a New Equilibirum

pshan Posted 4 Feb. in #EU #Article Contest #Interest Rates #Jobs #Risk #Margin Call #Power Play #Full Employment #Retail Traders

45/59

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This article is in response to some developments reported as of the end of the first week of February.. The article covers some of this thesis and brings it to light in what is a more dramatic revolving trend.
THE THING IS…
In light of the most recent U.S. jobs report, I think the fact that tame jobs data leaving the central banks pat on interest rates is a moot point. If you are serious about market plays, I don’t think interest rates are the thing at this rate… what should be obvious is that markets are imbalanced, and they could remain that way, violently so. Although equity markets are a glorious pinnacle, it’s the equivalent of staring at a shiny iceberg, in my opinion. In other words, it should be appreciated as a guide for direction, and not be an attraction.
CULMINATING FACTOR
The concession being made by retail crowds for what will be a volatile market, offers little discount for investment returns. The idea that interest rates are low, and therefore the stock market should spur itself on is a dangerous premise. Also, the idea that markets are due for a correction, giving rise to short bets is only marginally profitable. Not a good investment thesis to have…
Any de-leveri…

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Risk and Our Self

chebyrashka Posted 5 Jan. in #Money #Risk #Management #Psychology Of Trading #Binves

10/68

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Мы часто ищем самоутверждения на рынке, а это одно из самых гиблых мест на земле для самоутверждения. Это очень важный момент и я советую многим новичкам и старичкам подумать на эту тему. Зачем? Конкретная цель (например машина, пенсия, учеба, дом или стиль жизни (в случае дейтрейдинга) или просто рост капитала в разумных пределах) необычайно важна. Она определит для вас срок ваших вложений, начальную сумму, и главное риск который вы готовы(или не готовы) взять на себя.

Можно сказать что человек, работающий на рынке, должен четко давать себе отчет в том, что его мотивирует для достижения целей в торговле. И чем он готов рискнуть. Дискуссии по поводу мотивации не определили единой мотивации, но они показали, что она у каждого есть (у каждого своя)...
Единственное что Мне хотелось бы добавить насчёт мотивации, это то, что не следует путать мотивацию и цель. Цель у всех одна - прибыль, но мотивации достижения цели могут быть разными.
Risk
Момент риска, на Мой взгляд, остался за кадром, не смотря на его важность. На Мой взгляд большинство людей оперирующих на рынке до конца не отдают себе отчет, в чем заключается риск и как они должны принимать его. Кроме того, частенько в наши пост…

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Nature of Risk

Alivio Posted 8 Mar. in #Money #Risk #Calculated

36/66

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Drinking coffee risky and out of the door of his house carries hidden dangers. This was demonstrated when a man died from his mug of coffee, according to the newspaper "Washington Post". He went out for the morning paper, stumbled and fell. Mug broke under his weight in the fall, fatally wounding him with shrapnel. This story shows not to raise your attention when drinking coffee or demonstrate the danger of walking with a drink. More likely is an illustration of the fact that our life is associated with risk. And you never know where the danger lies. Life is a game of chance. We risk our lives every day, no matter whether we travel the expanses of ocean or never come out of his house.
Money can not be distinguished
Our money and are in constant risk. For thousands of years, until the government coexisted and money, the government stole from their citizens a lot of money in the form of inflation. Due to the constant increase in the supply of money without an adequate increase in their costs, all currency is slowly but surely lose their value after a while. If you put your money in the bank, then after a while you realize that some of the money lost due to inflation, while the ris…

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Use of Stop Loss Orders

Alivio Posted 2 Mar. in #Profit #Stop Loss #Risk #Stop Orders #Trend Your Friend

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There is one immutable rule in trade, which is: "Always stick to your stop orders." Before entering each transaction, you should know your risk tolerance threshold. This is - the best way to make sure that your losses are controlled, and you do not get too emotional in their trade.
Trading is a tough business. According to statistics, more traders unsuccessful than successful. But most traders fail not because their market valuations are wrong, but because they are too emotional in the trading process. Their failures are due to the fact that it is too early to close their profitable trades, or allow losses to go too far. Risk should be predetermined. The best time to consider your risk before you place a trade when your market assessments regarding the objective, and your trading decisions free from the price action. On the other hand, if you have already made a deal and want to keep it, until it becomes the winning, it unfortunately does not always happen. You must determine the worst-case scenario for your transaction, and place a stop order on the basis of the calculated risk value or technical level. We emphasize once again that the risk should be predetermined before you ente…

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De L'intérêt Du Trading En Range

isomere Posted 2 Feb. in #Forex #Volatility #Risk #Trading Range

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La très grande majorité des traders focalisent leur attention sur le momentum des cours, ils sont à la recherche d'une tendance qu'il tentent de capter. Cette stratégie peut se résumer de deux manières: soit ils attendent une cassure pour prendre la tendance à sa naissance, soit ils recherchent des retracements dans une tendance déjà en cours. A priori, cette stratégie est une excellente idée car les possibilités de gains d'un trade rondement mené sont importantes.
Cependant, focaliser son attention et son temps exclusivement sur les signaux de tendance est selon moi une erreur. En effet, un actif, quel qu'il soit, évolue la plupart du temps en trading range. On estime à 75% le temps passé par un cours à osciller entre deux bornes étroites. Ces bornes seront tantôt clairement définies, tantôt plus diffuses; on parle alors de zone, nous y reviendrons plus longuement dans cet article. Par conséquent, délaisser de telles opportunités de trading, revient en définitive à se priver de signaux autrement plus nombreux. Ajoutons par ailleurs qu'il va de soi que l'un ne va pas contre l'autre, bien du contraire ; une stratégie de trading range peut très bien laisser entrevoir des possibilités…

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Capter Une Nouvelle Tendance.

isomere Posted 19 Jan. in #Forex #Trendline #Risk #Pullback

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Capter une nouvelle tendance qui se dessine est à priori un exercice périlleux en ce sens que la volatilité est la plus forte en ce moment particulier. Il reste en effet sur la valeur beaucoup de traders positionnés sur la tendance précédente, de nouveaux intervenants vont entrer à contre tendance activant ainsi le stop loss de ceux restés sur le trend précédent. La volatilité baissera au fur et à mesure qu'un plus grand nombre de traders entreront dans le sens de la nouvelle tendance.
Le point de retournement de tendance – zone similaire à une large bande de congestion - va générer des pertes importantes pour les deux parties, plus encore pour ceux positionnés sur la tendance précédente. La difficulté de l'exercice consiste alors à combiner risque et profit. D'un seul point de vue statistique, les chances de réussite augmentent et les profits potentiels diminuent pour toute entrée tardive et inversement dans le cas contraire. L'objet de cet article est de proposer au mieux de bons points d'entrée.
Par opposition au cours dit en « trading range », un cours en tendance se définit par des plus hauts et des plus bas de plus en plus hauts dans le cadre d'une tendance haussière, des p…

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Money Management

SikmaN Posted 13 Dec. in #Forex #Trade #Trading Psychology #Risk #Money Management

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Application of the rules of money management in the market is one of the most important and yet often neglected principles of successful trading. You can often uslishat and see more trading strategies, many of which are really effective, but neither one of them is not a word about money management. In this article I will try to tell why money management is so important.
Profitable trading - it is much more than one or two good deals. Talking about the lucrative trade is possible only if these profits will be consistent and regular. This art capital management creates a difference between a successful professional trader and a loser, with the fear of launching the platform in the morning, because he never knows what might see there.
Enough to have only six transactions per month, three of which will be profitable, and three unprofitable and eventually stay in the black. At the same time, you can have 5 trades and only one loss-making, but is this a bad deal will bring you the loss to make up for that you get only in the next few months of successful trading.
What also plays a significant role in the results of the tenders? The answer is simple - money management. The purpose of this…

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