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27/32
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Hints and Ideas about FX Majors

Ideas from last week :

  • USD enjoyed a ride against most currencies as US data helped a lot, ADP and NFP employment data were better, Wages growth at 2.9% VS 2.6% expected and all of this helped expectation of higher interest rate at (FED) March meeting.
  • Euro still hold last month gains VS majors as EU data still helpful, also most of (ECB) speakers agreed that next normalization step should be soon and some hint that QE may end at September meeting and all of this helpful for Euro bulls.
  • Aussie got a hit last week as most AUD data disappointed, Mean CPI Q/Q 0.6% VS 0.7 expected, Building approvals -20% VS -7% expected and all of this put heavy weight on Aussie.
  • Kiwi moved in mixed VS majors as no significant Kiwi data last week but Kiwi mostly affected by drop of Aussie which in most time move in same direction VS majors.
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33/66
Classificação
Introduction
In this article NZDUSD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the NZDUSD.
What is affected the move of NZDUSD nowadays:

Fundamental analysis:
NZDUSD is affected now by two different policies by both Reserve bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by commodity prices especially diary milk which strongly hit Kiwi in the last year, finally Kiwi and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
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WallStreet6 avatar

Interesting

fx211pips avatar

good analysis of the kiwi

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 31 Mar

useful information!

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37/66
Classificação
Introduction
In this article AUDUSD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the AUDUSD.
What is affected the move of AUDUSD nowadays:
Fundamental analysis:
AUDUSD is affected now by two different policies by both Reserve bank of Australia (RBA) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by commodity prices which strongly hit Aussie in the last year, finally Aussie and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
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WallStreet6 avatar

Interesting

VALTRAD avatar
VALTRAD 24 Mar

Первый сценарий тоже считаю наиболее вероятным.

khalidamassi avatar

Thanks everyone for support

khalidamassi avatar

Scenario 1 still preferred for me as 0.7400 holds.

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

very good article!

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27/66
Classificação
Introduction
In this article USDCHF will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the USDCHF.
What is affected the move of USDCHF nowadays:
Fundamental analysis:
USDCHF is affected now by two different policies by both The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by The Swiss National Bank (SNB) intervention in Forex market which strongly hit CHF, finally CHF and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
  • Different policies by SNB and FED:

SNB intervened in Forex market several times, every time, it said that it will intervene if necessary to avoid any strong gains for CHF against currencies especially against EUR.
In different, US FED has just raised interest rate for the first time from ten years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampen US growth, this time rate hike is very near but if something horrible hit markets again, more rate hike may be delayed more.
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alias1980 avatar

khalidamassi you can work the analyst )

isomere avatar
isomere 10 Mar

useful analysis, thank you.

Nihad avatar
Nihad 11 Mar

Nice analysis Khaled, FED and SNB are apparently on policy divergence, but the actual state of the US economy will force the FED to policy converge not only with the SNB, but mainly with the ECB, BOJ and PBoC. Therefore, my humble opinion is that testing the 1030 is unlikely. However, it was nice reading your fundamental analysis for this pair. Good luck Bro

khalidamassi avatar

Thanks Nihad, I am very proud of your opinion, analysis for the near time, often changes takes much time to happen, may FED follow ECB and BOJ but when ???

WallStreet6 avatar

Interesting

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44/76
Classificação
Introduction
In this article EURUSD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the EURUSD.
What is affected the move of EUR/USD nowadays:
Fundamental analysis:
EURUSD is affected now by two different policies by both European Center Bank (ECB) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by ECB quantitative easing which strongly hit Euro, finally Euro and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
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wisdom_consultant avatar

nice article

zarina avatar
zarina 27 Fev

I read your article! worked hard !

Nihad avatar
Nihad 27 Fev

بالتوفيق اخى الكريم

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16/61
Classificação
Introduction
In this article USDJPY will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the USDJPY.
What is affected the move of USD/JPY nowadays:
Fundamental analysis:
USD/JPY is affected now by two different policies by both Bank of Japan (BOJ) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by BOJ quantitative easing which strongly hit Japanese Yen, finally Yen and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
Different policies by BOJ and FED:
In last Octeber,2014 BOJ Bank of Japan to inject 80 trillion yen into its economy “In a week when In a week when the US Federal Reserve announced it was calling time on bond buying program, the Bank of Japan moved in the opposite direction by increasing stimulus through an expansion of its quantitative easing (QE) program” (Source: theguardian).
In different, US FED is ready to raise interest rate for the first time from years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampen …
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9jakas avatar
9jakas 23 Set

Useful article.

Olga18375 avatar

Yes. Useful!

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22/61
Classificação
Introduction
In this article, GBP/USD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex, so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the GBP /USD.
What is affected the move of GBP/USD nowadays:
Fundamental Analysis:
GBP/USD is affected now by two different policies by both Bank of England (BOE) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected sometimes by UK internal issues like last Scotland independence vote which spread fears about UK unity, finally pound and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
  • Different policies by BOE and FED:

One year ago, BOE hinted about possible rate hike after improvement of employment and inflation which hit 2%, but after strong fall of inflation to below 0, BOE still not able to talk about possible rate hike before next midyear.
In different, US FED is ready to raise interest rate for the first time from years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampen US growth, this time rate hike is very near but if something horrible hit …
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Durden avatar
Durden 22 Set


Great article, well written and useful

A bearish opinion on Pound ; )

Airmike avatar
Airmike 23 Set

nice article

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23/61
Classificação
Introduction
In this article EUR/USD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the EUR/USD.
What is affected the move of EUR/USD nowadays:
First/ Fundamentally:
EUR/USD is affected now by two different and opposite policies by both European Central bank (ECB) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected by special crisis of each country of the EU which is affected –sometimes- the unity of EU and finally Euro and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
  • Different policies by ECB and FED:

ECB was injecting EU area by quantitative easing (QE) in order to support growth and raise inflation, simply (QE) means that ECB printed more Euros and the natural reaction for this is to weaken Euro against other pairs, in last meeting, ECB still ready to inject more QE is market conditions required.
In different, US FED is ready to raise interest rate for the first time from years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampe…
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Airmike avatar
Airmike 23 Set

nice

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