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Инвестиции в золото уже давно являются одним из самых популярных способов диверсификации инвестиционного портфеля коммерческих банков и крупных инвестиционных компаний. Помимо всего прочего золото является защитным активом. Во время инфляции реальная доходность по денежным средствам значительно снижается, что ведет к увеличению степени риска. Следовательно, спрос на деньги снижается по мере того, как инвесторы переключаются на более защищенные активы, такие как золото, товары длительного пользования и недвижимость.
До недавнего времени главным активом официального резерва центральных банков являлось золото, однако на сегодняшний день официальные резервы центральных банков все чаще включают в себя государственные обязательства развитых стран и депозиты иностранных банков.
Таким образом, удельный вес золота в золотовалютных резервах банков постепенно снижается. Так как цена золота определяется преимущественно соотношением спроса и предложения, то чем меньше спрос, тем дешевле золото.
Корреляция золота с валютными парами.

Так как золото котируется в американской валюте, то основная корреляция наблюдается с долларовыми парами.
Рисунок 1 - Корреляция NZD/USD и XAU/USD
Как показано на р…
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Alina_V avatar
Alina_V 27 July


Sasha_spicy avatar

Nice job!

Aibek5424 avatar
Aibek5424 30 July

так хорошо

bogos avatar
bogos 3 Aug.

good one

thedoctor avatar
thedoctor 17 Aug.


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The Double Top and Double Bottom are reversal patterns. Both patterns are very popular as investors are looking for a new trend, since the current trend is showing signs of a reversal. These chart patterns often create a chart what looks like a "W" (for a double bottom) or an "M" (double top).
The Double Top:
Characteristics of this pattern are that we have an attempt to break above the previous high, but the horizontal resistance holds the price and a new trend begins. As a result, we have two consecutive peaks, which are more or less equal. Recently, we had a very good example of double top pattern in NZD/USD (Picture 1). As you can see, the first element of the Double Top is that the price creates a first top. Then, it falls down and starts creating another move up. The point where the prices reverses to support after the first fall and starts ascending to create another top. The support is important for the final stage where we can measure the TP level.
In the second part, the price starts to move back up towards the resistance. IF the price stalls at the previous resistance and sells off, we have only two elements of the Double Top pattern in place and we still need a confirm…
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amerfx86 avatar
amerfx86 7 June

Very good chance to catch good price on double top or bottom

Sennna88 avatar
Sennna88 7 June


P22498 avatar
P22498 9 June


FX90 avatar
FX90 9 June

good article

Sennna88 avatar
Sennna88 9 June

Thanks guys!

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I find it useful to look at the big picture from time to time. In technical analysis terms, that usually means inspection of weekly and/or monthly charts. However, I rarely get to see analysis of "ultra-high" timeframe charts, so I decided to make a couple of attempts of my own. Previously, I analysed long term charts of the Euro, the Yen, the Cable, the Swissie, the Loonie and the Aussie.
Today I'll have a look at yearly and quarterly Kiwi (NZD/USD) charts that are covering the period from 1971 to 2015. While the yearly may be of some use for a quick overview of price action, the quarterly chart offers more detail and makes trends, ranges and patterns more clearly visible. I will be focusing on the latter for my analysis.
Yearly Chart
Quarterly Chart
The Peg
A keen observer would have noted something very unusual about price action in the first couple of years. Volatility jumps from near zero level in one quarter to the level of ten or twenty cents in the next quarter and vice versa, several times. That's something that just doesn't happen in …
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Nadin5794 avatar
Nadin5794 13 Dec.

я торгую эти пары и полностью с вами согласна

WallStreet6 avatar

Interesting, thanks for the recommendation

lelipuzik avatar
lelipuzik 31 Dec.

good job!)

al_dcdemo avatar

WallStreet6 All disclaimers apply :)

al_dcdemo avatar

Thanks to all for your great comments!

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This article contains a set of rules about one of the most profitable tested strategies when the Non Farm Payroll is released.The U.S. Non-Farm payroll (NFP) is one of the most notable macro-economic releases in the US. The NFP measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, not considering the farming industry, government employees, private household and non-profit organizations employees. Job creation is correlated with the consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity. The NFP influence is usually notably larger than that caused by any other economic print in the Foreign exchange market. The release of the NFP generally occurs on the first Friday of every month at 8:30 a.m. EST.An higher than expected reading should be considered as positive/bullish for the USD, and a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish. As a result, many speculators, scalpers, traders, fund investors try to anticipate the NFP print and consequently could become very relevant the variance of the pair. The variance measures how far a set of numbers is spread out. A small variance indicates that the data points (pri…
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foreignexchange avatar

La strategia viene testata su 20 Pips a release. 4.5 x  20 Pips = 900  USD se intendi questo hai ragione avrei dovuto cambiare i volumi che ho utilizzato quelli con i quali lavoro ... grazie

foreignexchange avatar

isomere  Thanks for the revision, the trading volume is 4.5 x and not 3 x . The mistakes is that for job I traded at 4.5  volume. Sorry again.
It could be considered that the relevant things of the strategy is the 20 Pips of profit in 10 NFP/10 NFP and the volume is related to the personal money management.
Thanks a lot @isomere 

jbmaverick avatar

I'm surprised to see virtually no spike at all in the opposite direction from the direction the market takes off substantially in after the announcement, and I wonder how accurate that is.  I'd be worried about - when the move is up, for example - having my sell-stop filled on a momentary drop in the offer price.

Jasjas avatar
Jasjas 16 Mar.


Jasjas avatar
Jasjas 16 Mar.

Hello Foreignexchange!
Are you still using this strategy?
If yes, how are the results?

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