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In my previous article, I outlined the key themes overriding the FX markets for the beginning and covered a few currencies. In this piece I will look at the remaining currencies.
AUD outlook
The Aussie is possibly one of the most interesting currencies to watch throughout 2015. With so much going on, the AUD stands to have quite a volatile year.
Many of the key drivers of the AUD are expected to have sizeable shifts next year such as US interest rates, or Chinese growth and given so many variables it will be very difficult to have a prediction for the AUDUSD in 1 year time.
Negative factors for the year ahead are as such. Looking at the 5 year real yield, we can see a strong and tight fit to the AUDUSD
With higher US rates, and higher market risks (and volatility), the AUD's yield pick-up becomes less and less attractive.
Furthermore, Weak Chinese demand has led to far far lower demand in the construction sector in the domestic economy. This can be clearly reflected in the decline in Iron ore prices (below) which are down some 40% in 2014 and has a less than promising outlook for 2015.
However it's not all bad for the Aussie. Lets consider for a minute we are a large (non-US) real …
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Good Job

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26/53
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Cross trade for the upcoming weeks.In this article I am going to Look at some charts for the less popular Currency pairs, also known as the crosses. I am not focusing on the Majors as everyone looks at them and I will probably add nothing to these ideas.Therefore, firstly I am going to look at EUR/NOKEUR/NOK : Summary : This pair had been in a consolidation downward sloping channel since the beginning of 2012, This Pair has been coiling for a long time and could be due a breakout soon, It recently Broke underneath due to general EUR weakness but it quickly retraced to test the underside of that channel.Chart: As you can see we've stayed consistently below the 200DMA and are still respecting the Channel lines. Also you can see that EUR/NOK stalled at the 23% fib of the recent December Swing high. Trade: This pair is Bearish to flat,But I recommend a BUY STOP above the 23% fib at approx. 7.6000. From this I would set a tight SL which would respect the green trendline at around 7.58.My TP would be placed in the region of  7.700 where I would take 50% of the trade off and leave the rest to rise to 50% fib and upper channel trendline at 7.800 where I would Cover all trades.N.B. With cha…
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AdrianWS 28 Mar.

Too perfect not to comment on. AUDJPY is showing perfect signs of a H&S formation (my older articles have them in detail) but in short it targets a fall down to 82.50. Big moves ahead - http://tinypic.com/r/2dqlnnt/5

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AdrianWS 30 Mar.

EURNOK : it reached 1.6490 before reversing and trading at 1.6417. Still holding above trendline and Fib and looks good for some higher move up.

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AdrianWS 30 Mar.

GBPCAD : it has finally broken out above the key fib level and moved to 1.5985. Tp's now at 1.6 and moved stop to 1.5885. Looks good.

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AdrianWS 30 Mar.

USDSGD : Has moved down to the trendline before boucing 85 pips. Limit buy triggered and holding profitable position.

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AdrianWS 30 Mar.

CADCHF : This has fallen all the way down to the trendline where I've bought again. TP 0.9215 and 0.94.

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