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25/59
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Dear Valuable Reader,
Have you ever wondered which currencies receive the most trading action? The data for the following chart comes from a survey done every three years by the Bank of International Settlements (BIS).
Note that trading volume adds up to 200%, because each currency trade has a pairing.
The Chinese Yuan is now the 8th most traded currency in the world, for a total share of 4.0%.
That means its share has doubled since the 2013 BIS report:
But what is bitcoin’s trading volume like, relative to other currencies?
Bitcoin: In the last 30 days, about $3 billion of bitcoin has been traded, which averages out to $100 million per day.

Other Currencies:
The total amount of forex transactions per day is $5.1 trillion. The estimated daily turnover of just the Chinese yuan is $202 billion per day.
That means that the yuan has approximately 2,000x the volume traded of bitcoin, while total forex is 51,000x the size. In other words, bitcoin has a way to go to become one of the world’s most traded currencies.
Almost the traders in the world are trading now EUR/USD , which came in the 1st rank in 2016 for the most traded pair, by which reflects that it is the most volume of money fl…
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Illya avatar
Illya 31 Mar.

Good!

Vlad73 avatar
Vlad73 31 Mar.

good job

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 31 Mar.

Well written!

Verona888 avatar
Verona888 31 Mar.

Useful information!

SikmaN avatar
SikmaN 31 Mar.

Успехов!!!

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26/69
Ranking
Fundamentals still supportive!
Lira versus Yen did not go quite the way I had expected for November, mainly due to suprise US elections outcome. As it was not a fundamental reason for TRY or JPY, the general reaction just occured later - during the current week. 7th and 8th of december were when both lines I sketched previous month (resistance and downtrend) were succefully broken. I believed more and more that it had to happen as the situation evolved. There were no real fundamentally bad news from Turkey, except the President being against Central Bank's decisions. Finally, the negative terrorism and coup-like streak of news from Turkey seem to have ceased for a while, or even for a longer time.
We had Current Account deficit tightening to -1.68B (11 Nov), Budget Balance ameliorating to -0.1B (15 Nov, from -16.9B), most of rates in Turkey hiked on 24 Nov together with steady Manufacturing Confidence (103.7 24 Nov) and Capacity Utilization (staying 76.4% 24 Nov). On 29 Nov we have seen foreign arrivals decline stopped a little (-25.8% from -32.84%) signalling maybe a start of reversal of tourism stagnation. Trade balance also improved (-4.16B from -4.36B, 30 Nov), exports rose to …
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ak10 avatar
ak10 10 Dec.

Useful knowledge for trading.

Beto avatar
Beto 13 Dec.

Very technical and fundamental bias, really good job.
Only I think you could put at the end a very short conclusion about your theory to make it easy to all that people how do not like more even the technical analysis.
Best regards.

arjaq avatar
arjaq 13 Dec.

Beto  , what exactly do you mean? TRYJPY is not a very technical (still technicals do work here to a certain extent) pair in general, it moves basically driven by fundamentals or risk sentiment. What should a conclusion consist of here?

VictoriaVika avatar

Good luck in article contest, nice job.

k_morocco avatar
k_morocco 16 Dec.

great analysis , liked your fundamental point of view

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20/57
Ranking
Dear friends! In this article I want to discuss such important question as trading JPY by beginners of Forex.
From own experience: we read the recommendations in blogs, forums, books or heard from someone else, know that JPY is better not to touch when you're just starting to learn Forex market. Especially they recommend avoiding trading USDJPY sure if you don’t want to catch stop loss orders as well as Japanese fish.
Looking back, I see, understand, and realize that it is not true. This is just another illusion in the market - an illusion in our minds. The yen is much faster than the other pair, it can teach a beginner one of the most important things of the market - understanding the product with which you are dealing. In this case, the currency.

Just move on to the case and will be brief. Yes, the yen is very volatile and a little predictable, but these deficiencies overlap easily, if at all, do not turn to the pros, as should look at everything from a different angle to look at what can be used and what kind of opportunities. Here are main characteristics of the JPY:
1.) The yen is quite strong currency. Its movements are often stronger than that of other currencies.
2.) …
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anna_n avatar
anna_n 19 Aug.

nice

Mariya_Suhina avatar

intersting

HOME avatar
HOME 28 Aug.

交叉货币  我一般数据行情行情 会挂单多空进行操作。赌

HOME avatar
HOME 28 Aug.

日元,英镑,走势波动长期都最突出活跃。

HOME avatar
HOME 28 Aug.

祝你取得好成绩,继续保持

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16/47
Ranking
On Friday are published Nonfarm, the forecast for which has not matched on whole + 107K of workplaces, the dollar reacted respectively. Next week the Bank of England will hold the first after a referendum on Brexit meetings on which it can lower an interest rate which so I protected all these seven years …

The bank of England can lower a rate next week
Monday for pound was heavy again: data of the Construction PMI index this day have shown essential reducing business activity: upon the 46th basis point against 50,7 expected and 51,2 previous. On Tuesday Services PMI also left below the forecast: 52.3 against 53.1. Dynamics of industrial production has also specified recession, but is not as sharp as that was expected by analysts:-0,5% upon against forecast-1%.
In general on a weekend, the markets have finally pledged probability of interest rate reduction by Bank of England in the prices, and have practically finished to pledge its possible "zero" condition in the prices. Such talk (about a zero rate) even more often sounded on the leaving week.
Next week the markets will puzzle: whether there will be actions of Bank of England instant whether it will lower an interest rate now, o…
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samymahrous avatar

you did a great job

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

great article!

tangell avatar
tangell 29 July

все доступно и интересно

Klaudia25 avatar
Klaudia25 29 July

great article! thank you!

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 31 July

nice article

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30/59
Ranking
Today’s session is expected to be uneventful with bank holidays in France, Germany and Switzerland and no significant economic data due until Empire State Manufacturing Index during the NY session. As always on Mondays I prepared the currency update so you can familiarize with the situation in the markets.
Currency Update
USD: NFP for April missed on the headline figure at 160k vs 202k expected. However, Average Hourly Earnings came in as expected at a solid 0.3% rise for the month, which bodes well for the inflation picture and prompted some upside in the USD post release. The Fed’s April 27 statement failed to provide any further clarity on when the Bank may raise rates. There was no indication in the statement that a rate hike is likely in June, with Fed fund futures pricing a less than 20% chance of a hike at that meeting. CPI for March slightly missed estimates with Core dropping to 2.2% y/y from a prior of 2.3% and for the month, missing estimates at 0.1% versus 0.2% expected.
EUR: Flash GDP for Q1 missed expectations at 0.5% q/q versus expectations of 0.6%, and at 1.5% y/y versus expectations of 1.6%. Inflation data for April has pushed the Eurozone back into deflation. CPI …
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Sennna88 avatar
Sennna88 20 May

Was it helpful in the end ?

hrustiashka avatar

Good analysis

s_amira avatar
s_amira 23 May

Interesting article

yaritza2 avatar
yaritza2 24 May

thank you!!!

klintons avatar
klintons 26 May

Good Job

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7/46
Ranking
Introduction:The unmissable Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting on Thursday the 4th of April has put in place a huge "shock and awe" level of QE, they have promised to purchase Japanese Government Bonds (JGB), ETF's and REIT's in order to increase the monetary base and help raise inflation.A breakdown of what the BoJ is actually doing is listed below;BoJ to buy 7 Trillion Yen of JGB's per month, all maturities up to 40 year bonds. Thus extending the average maturity to 7 years from 3 currently.BoJ to purchase "low risk" ETF's at a pace of 1 Trillion yen per year and REIT's at 30 Billion yen per year.2 year time zone to achieve 2% CPI Y/Y target.The overall aim of these measures is to double the monetary base, and hopefully, they believe, because of this they will start to see inflation. The current CPI Y/Y currently stands at 0.7% and has been almost stagnant for the past 18-20 years.Japan CPI Y/Y. Thomson ReutersAs you can see, they are aiming to target 2% (the yellow line) in a relatively short time frame, even though there is a 2 year target, if there is no improvement in the next 6-9 months there will be politcal pressure mounting._______________________________________________________…
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alifari avatar
alifari 28 Apr.

Excellent Article +1

valentine avatar
valentine 29 Apr.

Finally i get the chance to read a truly in-detail article, not only crap "hmm x is going down, its good to sell". More articles like this please! Thanks!

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 29 Apr.

cheers for the positive feedback guys :) not sure if I'll write these detailed articles much more, dukascopy don't seem to like them and they require a lot of effort, they seem to prefer trading strategies or coding, so depending on how this does I might write an article on potential housing bubble in singapore / new zealand as per request from a webinar but we'll see!

Thanks anyway.

xau avatar
xau 30 Apr.

Very professional i may say, hope to be at this level some day. All strategies dies at some point, but such analysis is everlasting. Thanks for your effort.

valentine avatar
valentine 30 Apr.

This article has to get in top 3, after dukascopy rating! I hope at last their rating will sort the actual quality of articles posted this month.

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14/67
Ranking
Overview:The past few weeks have seen a total and utter capitulation across the financial markets, the recent elections from France and Greece has lead to the "risk-off" environment that is evidentially being seen. The USD and JPY have been well bid over the past few weeks as investors seek safe haven's where their money will be relatively safe.For example US 10 Yr Government Bonds have risen in price dramatically, and a cause of this has seen the yield fall from well over 2% to 1.72% (at time of composition). Alongside this the VIX - The measure of volatility and predicted Rate of Change of the S&P500 on an annualized basis has risen dramatically.Overall the past few weeks have been very interesting and have provided much opportunity to trade effectively across the asset classes. EUR:Seen worldwide as one of the most liquid, highest volume securities, the EUR has come under tremendous pressure against the USD and JPY. The fall started with a "gap" down after Hollande was elected as president of France sparking fears of political discord between Merkel and Hollande. This fall was exacerbated by increasing fears from Greece.On a technical basis, It seems that a short cover rally is …
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AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 18 May

For any Technical traders out there - EURJPY is forming a huge Inverse Weekly H&S formation, Potential target of 1.25 on break of 1.10 - This isn't necessarily a bullish EUR idea just Bearish JPY trade - JPY is way overvalued and Japan are hurting bad and want to do something about it - Most people look at USDJPY but export volume is greater to Eurozone and that may be what BoJ is looking at. Trade well.

RobertBric avatar

The problem with EUR is that everyone expects it to drop based on fundamentals. As not everyone can be short EURUSD, the pair will soon “surprise” everyone (but not the commercial traders) and will go up. The crowd is always wrong at reversals when commercial traders benefit as they have been setting up the trap all along. Of course, only time will tell who is right. It is always a 50:50 proposition (up/down) and 100% correct in hindsight :-) All the very best with your EURUSD trading.

alifari avatar
alifari 19 May

nice overview of multiple markets

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 19 May

Thanks - Robert, I agree entirely, we need a move upwards just to reassert the bearishness, as people already short can't get more short so they need to close those trades out and then re short to gain momentum on their bearish trades. Either way, I'm staying away from the EUR at the moment as if a "grexit" comes about I really couldn't tell you what happens to the EUR, some think down hard, some think up. Who knows. Either way the next few weeks should be interesting.

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27/68
Ranking
I am going to cover some medium term Technical Analysis for some of the Major pairs in this article. Please remember that these ideas are not 100% sure and that there are inherent risks in Forex.EUR/USD:The Euro - Dollar Exchange rate has been stuck in a range of 1.30 to 1.35 since January. The Daily chart has formed a neat Head & Shoulders formation as seen in the chart below. It has a height of nearly 500 pips, and a break below 1.300 could expose 1.25 via the H&S. At the moment EURUSD is trading pretty much at its 100DMA and a breakout is expected.In the Short term 1.3000/30 is strong support which will need a big, volume carried move to break. Not only is it the neckline of the large H&S it is the 23.6% Fib from the 1.4250 October 11 High to 1.2620 Jan 12 Low.On the daily, I recommend a "sell limit" at 1.2999 with a Take profit order around the previous swing low at 1.2650. A stop loss order around 1.3150 gives you nearly a 1:2 risk:reward ratio.The 4 Hour Chart shows more bearish potential with the formation of a bear flag. the flag pole is around 340 pips long showing a break of 1.3030 could expose the 100% Fibonacci expansion at 1.2861.With both of these charts, the aforemen…
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AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 23 Apr.

All of the calls from friday have worked with risk/jpy pairs off 100+ pips. AUDUSD down hard and USD bounced of the trendline. Perfect!

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 25 Apr.

EURUSD - 25/04/12 - EURUSD has been affected by many risk events today from poor German bond issuance and core durable goods undershooting, while technically we are 20 pips higher than yesterday's close but in essence today has been neutral espeically after Ben hints a more dovish tone and that was USD negative.

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 25 Apr.

USDCHF - 25/04/12 - I hoped by now that the EURCHF pair would have moved but as it hasn't the USDCHF is inversly correlated to EURUSD in todays moves.

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 25 Apr.

AUDUSD - 25/04/12 - Aussie has been quite strong today up 50 pips in a day with range of 57 pips. Far short of ATR but crucially, thanks to beat $AAPL beat on earnings, it broke above an hourly downtrend line.

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 25 Apr.

USDJPY - 25/04/12 - Ending broadly the same as open but experience some volatility once FOMC data and Ben spoke, Mainly driven by US credit risk, but is resting on a daily down trend and hasn't shown enough power to break above and may sink towards 81.00 again.

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26/53
Ranking
Cross trade for the upcoming weeks.In this article I am going to Look at some charts for the less popular Currency pairs, also known as the crosses. I am not focusing on the Majors as everyone looks at them and I will probably add nothing to these ideas.Therefore, firstly I am going to look at EUR/NOKEUR/NOK : Summary : This pair had been in a consolidation downward sloping channel since the beginning of 2012, This Pair has been coiling for a long time and could be due a breakout soon, It recently Broke underneath due to general EUR weakness but it quickly retraced to test the underside of that channel.Chart: As you can see we've stayed consistently below the 200DMA and are still respecting the Channel lines. Also you can see that EUR/NOK stalled at the 23% fib of the recent December Swing high. Trade: This pair is Bearish to flat,But I recommend a BUY STOP above the 23% fib at approx. 7.6000. From this I would set a tight SL which would respect the green trendline at around 7.58.My TP would be placed in the region of  7.700 where I would take 50% of the trade off and leave the rest to rise to 50% fib and upper channel trendline at 7.800 where I would Cover all trades.N.B. With cha…
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AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 28 Mar.

Too perfect not to comment on. AUDJPY is showing perfect signs of a H&S formation (my older articles have them in detail) but in short it targets a fall down to 82.50. Big moves ahead - http://tinypic.com/r/2dqlnnt/5

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 30 Mar.

EURNOK : it reached 1.6490 before reversing and trading at 1.6417. Still holding above trendline and Fib and looks good for some higher move up.

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 30 Mar.

GBPCAD : it has finally broken out above the key fib level and moved to 1.5985. Tp's now at 1.6 and moved stop to 1.5885. Looks good.

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 30 Mar.

USDSGD : Has moved down to the trendline before boucing 85 pips. Limit buy triggered and holding profitable position.

AdrianWS avatar
AdrianWS 30 Mar.

CADCHF : This has fallen all the way down to the trendline where I've bought again. TP 0.9215 and 0.94.

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46/94
Ranking
Attention to JPY ... Yesterday in the U.S. and Canada celebrate Labor Day, but because - did not work. As a conclusion yesterday on the motion of a thin market might be inadequate. Hence - the risks. Traditionally, Labor Day speech occur prominent men and women. Acted and Barack Obama. Exactly after a scoring problem in the labor market on Friday. Was made in Detroit, on the border with Canada. Why? Symbolic. Broadcast, one might say, into two states. Remember the story of the miraculous resurrection and the bankruptcy of the American automobile industry in the early years of Barack Obama after the peak of the crisis? Headquarters U.S. largest automaker (General Motors, Ford Motor Company, Chrysler) are still in Detroit and its suburbs. A number of areas, encircling the center of Detroit, is a decadent ghetto, populated predominantly by blacks. What say? In a speech in Detroit, the U.S. president promised that the plan to revive the labor market will be indicated in the report of the U.S. Congress on September 8. Quote: "We in Congress will open a new path for economic development." Called for "tune in" for the best. Outlined the main project of the "labor…
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ritesh avatar
ritesh 6 Sep.

Nice article buddy, keep more coming +1

doctortyby avatar

Good Luck

Livornese avatar
Livornese 11 Sep.

Nice analysis. In my humble hopinion if the EUR/USD goes to 1.4030 it will blow the 1.40 barrier as there are so many stop loss down there. Oh Yeah!!!

doctortyby avatar
doctortyby 25 Sep.

BOJ intervention still not Here...it must come as a surprise right?... +1 and keep writing good articles my friend

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61/94
Ranking
CENTRAL BANKS & BIG PLAYERS (ZERO STOP LOSS)   Introduction   The year was 2005, the place, New York, big city of dreams. I began trading the USD because it started to devalue too much. 5 years of extreme and intensive trading lead to an equivalent of about 8 years of experience in forex trading. I spent an average of 12 hours per day in front of a tick chart and the 5 seconds chart. Analyzing, thinking, thousands of trials and errors, billions of seconds invested for no return or gain at all in the first years. It was all worth it. Compound interest growth of a well managed and well invested bank account could not compare to any business wealth on this earth. We can build skyscrapers with this. The sky is the limit. Enough history, let’s look at the present and get this money because you will soon realize that seconds are more precious than pips, no matter how much you win or how much your pip weighs. Let’s get this $$$, together in the same direction.   Conclusion   Central banks and “Big players” with big money manipulate the stock market and the currencies market. The best way to see it is through the seconds chart. Big 8 to 10 plus pip candles on the seconds chart …
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Livornese avatar
Livornese 11 Sep.

Hej! Keep waiting you!

LinnuxFX avatar
LinnuxFX 19 Sep.

Do you really trade with 2 pips stop loss? Have you this system on your live account? Good for you...

quantum_fx avatar
quantum_fx 19 Sep.

Interesting article! I also think on such strategy but never succeed in real time, because you have to be patient to win

doctortyby avatar
doctortyby 25 Sep.

couldn't agree with you more on the market conditions... but you have to have iron nerves for this strategy to succeed... +1 for your article ... I wonder what win/loss ratio you have with this strategy??

ritesh avatar
ritesh 27 Sep.

Great article and last week of competition, so best of luck buddy +1

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