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Good Morning DukascopyCommunity;
we'll see now my last Currency weekly analysis.


The pair ended the week in its highs at 1.1919 in what was mostly a gloomy week for the majority of the period and came into life on Friday as Yellen and Draghi took the stage. The consolidation and ranging in the pair dominated most of the week as the market looked ahead to the speeches at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Both Draghi and Yellen spoke on the sidelines, however, Yellen clearly avoided touching the monetary policy and her speech was seen as a dampener. There was nothing new from Draghi as well but he mentioned about the economic recovery in Europe which was enough of a signal for the market to buy even more euros and helped it cross at the highest level since 2015. The week ahead is likely to observe the end of the month currency flow together with CPI data from Euro to be announced on Thursday. In addition, US is expected to announce its ADP employment change data on Wednesday, consumption data on Thursday and employment data on Friday which is expected to bring in a lot of volatility during the week.
USDJPY started the week with downward pressure as the North-Korean t…
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JuliannaS avatar

So many pairs , so many work you did

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I thought to write this article with a general misconception about forex trading people have in humorous way while comparing unrelated businesses Cab driving and Financial Investments . It is reference to normal people who want to invest their money and want to hire traders to grow their account exponentially. Although it is directed towards investors but other traders can also take some hint from it.
Traders are entrepreneurs and they will need investors. And it is often said Entrepreneurs are from Mars and Investors are from Venus. But in case of trading I found it even worst and it can only sorted if both the parties are in right mindset about each other expectations and expectancy(returns) of traders systems.
All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis. – Jesse Livermore

I think the least understood of the above statement is about ignorance. Newbie Investors have almost zero knowledge in financial markets. Trading is specialized knowledge based profession. I believe experienced traders understand: My focus is o
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black_box_xx avatar

It's interesting to read, thanks for the pictures!)

anashape avatar
anashape 22 Oct.

your best masterpiece!

pramuk avatar
pramuk 24 Nov.

Interesting piece! :)

robinhuda avatar
robinhuda 30 Dec.

nice article

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Reasons Why Forex Traders Lose Money

A commonly known fact is that most forex traders fail. In fact, it is estimated that 96 percent of forex traders lose money and end up quitting. DailyFX found that many FX traders do better than that, but new traders still have a tough timing gaining ground in this market. To help you to be in that elusive 4 percent of winning traders, we have compiled a list of the most common reasons why forex traders lose money.

Starting Advice

Do not try and beat the market!The market is not something you beat, but something you understand and join when a trend is defined. At the same time, the market is something that can shake you out if you are trying to get too much from it with too little capital. Beating the market mindset often causes traders to trade against trends and overlords their account which is a sure recipe for disaster.
Low Start Up Capital
Most currency traders start out looking for a way to get out of debt or to make easy money. It is common for forex marketing to encourage you to trade large lot sizes and trade highly leveraged to generate large returns on a …
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Skif  thanks :)

Aviator avatar
Aviator 11 May

very good

Verona888 avatar

Nice work!

mohmmed11 avatar

good job

anashape avatar
anashape 19 May

interesting article!

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On the first Friday after the month ends, two important news release by Bureau of Labor Statistics. One is unemployment rate and the other one (the more or perhaps the most important one) is non-farm payrolls (NFP). NFP accounts for a majority of overall economic activity and show changes in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Unemployment rate is an important signal of overall economic health and it is Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed. In this article, I try to show the influence of these indicator on USD index return based on portfolio analysis.
Portfolio analysis,
portfolio analysis means that NFP & unemployment rate data are sorted into 10 portfolios from lowest to highest separately and USD index returns of each portfolio are examined for evidence of anomaly;. Portfolio analysis intuitively, clearly reflects the picture of how returns vary with the characteristic variable; however, with this method it is difficult to conduct multivariate tests and difficult to test the functional form. In the picture below, basket is NFP or unemployment rate and eggs are USD index return.
In this researc…
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MaziarE 22 May

thanks dears.

AngleRMS avatar
AngleRMS 29 May


Yuliya_N avatar
Yuliya_N 30 May

thanks, it was interesting to read

Chilli avatar
Chilli 8 June

very good


you are the winner! afarin

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Good Morning All;
Global equities rose marginally last week, although many major markets dipped, with risk appetite hit by US President-Elect Donald Trump’s first press conference since the election, which provided little clarity around the US policy outlookUS retail sales were weaker than expected, despite continued robust consumer sentiment data
In the US, December’s headline retail sales rose 0.6% mom, marginally less than the 0.7% expected. December’s details are quite disappointing, with vehicles and parts contributing 0.51 ppts and gasoline stations adding 0.15 ppts. Outside of these components, only non-store retailers saw a noteworthy addition of just 0.14 ppts. The control group (excluding autos, gas and building materials) also disappointed at 0.2% mom against 0.4% expected, with the prior month revised down to 0.0% mom from 0.1%. This data appears at odds with the continued rise in consumer sentiment, but it still translates into a firm core group yoy rate of 3.4% despite disappointing November and December releases. January’s University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment preliminary release showed little change, dipping very slightly to 98.1 from 98.2. The current…
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TInna 19 Jan.


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Napoli 19 Jan.


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brilliant avatar
brilliant 25 Jan.

nice information

ghfran avatar
ghfran 2 Feb.

good ^^

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Good Morning All;
we'll see a new currency weekly analysis.
Last Week’s Highlights
Sterling claws back some ground
Euro fluctuates as ECB holds policy
EUR/USD falls to 7M low
This Week’s Highlights
Fed speakers ahead of next week’s meeting
BoE Governor Carney testifies
Q3 UK, US GDP estimates
Sterling recovered some ground last week, gaining around 1.4% against the euro and around 0.58% against the dollar. Sterling-euro rose to a high around 1.1260, its highest levels since the flash crash on 7 October. The pound received some support at the beginning of the week as attention turned to week’s economic releases. CPI inflation rose more than expected in September. Annual CPI rose to 1.0%, with core CPI up to 1.5%. Annual Producer Price Index Output was 1.4% and input 7.2%. Employment data was also largely positive as the Unemployment Rate held at 4.9% for a fourth consecutive month, the lowest level since 2005, and Average Wages rose 2.3% both including and excluding bonuses. Claimant Count Change rose less than expected in September. Retail Sales were flat and weighed slightly on the pound but were largely outweighed by the European Central Bank’s meeting on Thurs…
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ak10 26 Oct.


VictoriaVika avatar

Good article )

thedoctor avatar
thedoctor 31 Oct.


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Good Morning All;
we'll see now a new forex weekly analysis.

Last Week's Highlights
Q2 GDP revised up to 1.4% in US, 0.7% in UK
Deutsche Bank concerns weigh on euro
Fed speakers remain divided on when to raise rates
This Week's Highlights
Article 50 trigger date deadline weighs on pound
US September jobs report
Manufacturing and Services data from US, UK, Eurozone

Sterling fell further against both the euro and the dollar last week, bringing into focus its post-Referendum lows, in part due to renewed attention on remaining Brexit uncertainties. Sterling fell to 1.1472 against the euro, just shy of its three-year low of 1.1459, and to 1.2915 against the dollar, not quite hitting its August low of 1.2866. The pound weakened around comments from MPC Member Shafik on Wednesday as Shafik indicated likely support for additional stimulus measures “at some point”. Of the week’s data, the UK’s Q2 Current Account deficit was narrower than expected at £28.7 billion. Consumer Confidence and Business Investment both rose, the former returning to pre-Referendum levels with a reading of -1, up from -12 in July. UK Q2 was revised up to 0.7% and to 2.1% on an annualised basis. Th…
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PipPoint avatar
PipPoint 5 Oct.


VictoriaVika avatar

Good work, go ahead

zarina avatar
zarina 6 Oct.

Очень хороший анализ !

OneGoodTrade avatar

Most banks align themselves with the fundamental conditions, if you master it, trading should be easy on longer term.

priceaction113 avatar

good work

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It begins with a dream of an easy way out to making money, I mean lots of it. It was the same for me when I started trading forex. I thought I finally found a convenient way out of poverty. It is good to dream and dream big but dreams are always dreams. Some come true and very many do not.
When I started trading in 2011, I was damn broke as hell. After a few lessons on trading and demo account practice for a few weeks, I felt I was ripe enough to trade live. I invested 3000USD of my hard earned savings. I made my calculations and thought, I was on the verge of hitting it big. This feeling gave a very positive energy of life and I just found myself smiling all the time. (of course I will be rich soon). However, after just two weeks of live trading the scale fell off my eyes when my initial deposit of 3000 USD evaporated up to 90%.
But is it really possible for a traders (professional or amateur) to have only winning trades??This is the question on every beginners mind. I also erroneously thought one could have only all winning trades. This is practically impossible even in only one month of trading.
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rh6899 avatar
rh6899 7 June

confirmed and will might be confirmed soon
crossed and will might be crossed soon

waiting confirmed and crossed happen is exhausted (who said it is a fun job? there is no fun in any job)
hoping will might be confirmed soon or will might be crossed soon is expensive (this must be the first lesson for a trader and must be train for this condition a trader must pass this test first)
when it is confirmed or crossed but not perform this can be fix and we spot it soon

JockPippin avatar

If trading isn't boring ..then you are doing it wrong ...A waiting game and positions that don't get your heart rate up even when it's falling before your eyes means you got your money right .It shouldn't be exciting it should be mundane and calculated .Nice to hear a story from a guy that's put his money where his mouth is  instead of some nugget winning the article contest that's  never traded for real and telling me about waves and candlesticks :)) .

nobleline9 avatar

Hi JockPippin, Yes trading is sure boring and not as easily lucrative as some seem to make of it.

JockPippin avatar

People are scared to lose and get a few scars to the wallet and run away but this game is a high risk of loss ...If your'e  scared of heights then don't sky dive as a hobby :))) . The money is sweet when you get it right doubt !! ,It's how you handle your losses that determines if you are a good trader ...If you break even in this game you can consider yourself a winner :)) .

scramble avatar
scramble 9 June

Many many times I feel like trading is just about knowing deeply yourself and your limit. Most of the times you will have to buy the falling price, or sell the rise.! Think about... how many times did it happen? You buy the rising price just to get the extreme peak of a multi days downtrend? So extreme that the ask price is not even covered by the candle in the chart? And how many times did you give up waiting for a move to come, just to realized you left exactly when the move started? Trading is a business: you have to buy CHEAPER. And sell HIGHER. The trend is an human illusion. That's it.

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