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23/32
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Since 1988 the U.S. stock market has been supported with so-called circuit breakers that prevent market calamities like the one experienced on Black Monday of October 19, 1987. On this day the Dow Jones Industrial average lost over 20% of its stock market value and has become a hazardous date on the stock trading almanac to this very day.
“BLACK MONDAY” IN 2015
A second “Black Monday” was experienced in recent history on Monday, August 24 in 2015, which resulted in dangerous halt-and-go type trading, also causing very damaging results. The iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (ticker symbol: IVV) nose-dived more than 20%, and it’s reported that a great majority of the trading volume was done in ETF investments. The ultimate danger in this most recent market failure was the number of trading halts that had occurred, where trading had paused more than 1,200 times before finally being closed by the market circuit breakers. The problem that had arisen was undeterminable during the open.
CIRCUIT BREAKERS
Given the focus of this article is to highlight the foreign exchange market’s price activity in reaction to such market calamities, let’s first turn to circuit breakers, what are th…
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Sebine avatar
Sebine 4 Mar.

Good job!

hrustiashka avatar

Interesting article!

Lovely_bee avatar

Great article !

pshan avatar
pshan 6 Mar.

Why thank you lovely bee.

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10/32
Ranking
Last week's market sell-off in U.S. stocks coincided an upshot in interest rates--one of the major anchor points being increased inflation expectations. Although the recent economic forecast from the Atlanta Fed points to economic growth at 5.4%, there's reason to believe that inflation expectations are greater at the rate that we're going.
Whatever the cause of the selloff is, the scenario bodes well for the U.S. Dollar in the near term. This could create a scenario for a relatively stronger dollar as we race back up to the top.
Important to note, the EURUSD has been tumbling down, due most likely to overall market fear. In this scenario the market would eventually get back on course, as the Euro has obstinately stayed on an upward path.
GOVERNMENT SPENDING VS. NET EXPORTS
There are some significant factors to be wary of; such as, re-establishing trade in North America, and relative weakness in the U.S. economy. With the isolationist stance in America, it's hard to know if the U.S. will get back on solid footing to increase net exports, one major component to the GDP equation. Yet, there is increased federal spending. By passing the ever increasing defense spending bill this amoun…
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Lovely_bee avatar

Good luck!

pshan avatar
pshan 7 Feb.

Thank you Lovely!

Sebine avatar
Sebine 13 Feb.

Interesting article:)

pshan avatar
pshan 13 Feb.

Thanks Sebine, I'm glad you had a chance to see the article.  Much appreciated :))

hrustiashka avatar

Good article

orto leave comments
11/30
Ranking
This week is slated to be a down week for Gold and the Euro, according to the sentiment discounting indicator. Both $FXE and $GLD are trading at a premium, and there's enough reason to believe that these two financial instruments have had enough of a rallying cry for the past couple weeks. Expect some steam to come off both for the week ending January 19.
In one of the previous articles, there was a correlation matrix showing how much of a correlation Gold has with the Japanese Yen, soon after the posting, there was a big move for the Japanese Yen against the US Dollar. There's two thing that are remarkable about this correlation. First, the U.S. Dollar has seen a surprising amount of weakness, due in large part to the QE in reverse. This rollback in quantitative easing effectively makes the U.S. Dollar weak by increasing the reserves, inching up interest rates, while lowering the quantity supplied of currency. I suppose this trickling down in the value of the USD will continue until interest rates are raised.
Secondly, with regard to the relationships of the Japanese Yen, the U.S. Dollar, and gold, there's a great amount of interest for the Pacific Rim in general to acquire gold, …
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pshan avatar
pshan 17 Jan.

Thank you Sebine!

Siarhei89 avatar
Siarhei89 17 Jan.

Хорошая статья.

pshan avatar
pshan 17 Jan.

Thanks Siarhei!

Yonggi7 avatar
Yonggi7 24 Jan.

This article is well inspired ! And well done!!! Congratulations! May Jesus Christ blessed you!

pshan avatar
pshan 25 Jan.

Thank you Yonggi, I'm glad!

orto leave comments
16/30
Ranking
Although the Euro had a hiccup with some profit-taking early in the week, there has been a sustainable rally sense and it looks like it will end the week higher. This is in light of the fact that economic sentiment data was released better than expected, and retail sales from your roll and came out better than expected as well.
There is a very good explanation for this profit-taking, the reason being, when economic news comes out better-than-expected coupled with sentiments data coming out better-than-expected that's indicates that perhaps the price needs to fall if it is in fact up.
Granted, economic news is a leading indicator, while sentiment is a lagging indicator, so when both are coming out better-than-expected that's most likely a time for profit-taking. This reason is a perfectly logical explanation, because sentiment does not affect the equation for GDP, when sentiment is coming out greater than expected, the markets will autonomously discount that factor. And, because markets are already up, it is a perfectly good reason to take profits because sentiment does not simply supply any greater factor for GDP.
Now, there's been some suspicion, with the price fall out in the U.S…
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Sebine avatar
Sebine 16 Jan.

Good job!

pshan avatar
pshan 16 Jan.

Thank you!

orto leave comments
17/30
Ranking
Sentiment Indicators have signaled a down week for FXE and GLD shares, which represent the ETFs for the Euro and Gold, respectively.
What's more, in the US the big talk is about passing the final details for tax reform amidst what is a huge debt crisis. The argument with this debt basis, coming off the heels of a slackening net exports figure, is can the US economy justify a substantial enough growth rate to sustain what is an alarmingly large debt balloon.
The silver lining for the time being is a floating bellwether for quality, a strengthening US dollar. It's uncertain if this will become a trend, however, it's a solid signal that the flight-to-quality trade will eventually overtake global markets. This is yet another reason why holding off investing in FXY is still a good idea. See the article titled "Holding Off Investing In FXY"
In the meantime, there's still enough road left to wager markets based on a sentiment paradigm, and that means, all else remaining equal, the Euro has a chance to rally some more until the end of the year. However, many of the factors for the Euro are in fact bleak, given a relatively less strong economy than the US, and the contingencies upon Great B…
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Sebine avatar
Sebine 12 Dec.

good job!

pshan avatar
pshan 12 Dec.

Thanks Sebine!

orto leave comments
42/54
Ranking
gold
gold
Now in the stages of correction to complete the climb, note that the 78.6, which rebounds from them strongly and is continuing to rise in order to complete the journey to rise to face strong resistance as shown to you in green color where we note that the rising trend over more than 10 days you break
So that has proven the strength of the direction in which you are showing the Barbolic delight and explains the continuation of the Ascending as well as shows that gold is in positive areass
As for the Polynecker Band, we have the average band that has been exceeded and has risen strongly above it in the light of that possibility. It is a continuation of its march to the top. If a drop occurs, this means a downside correction and we note that the support you have drawn is 50-61.8 Fibonacci
Point C is the strong starting point for the pair to form the second leg that came close to reaching point D of a pattern
AB = CD
Open the daily session and decide to enter more positions with 20-40 pips in anticipation of action or any sell saturation on a smaller scale
Basic Analysis
Gold rallied strongly against the dollar, a major rally that has led to a rise in gold after the politica…
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Skif avatar
Skif 25 May

1280 -1300 Very strong level. A significant trigger is needed to implement the forecast .

Julia_Drob avatar

Like this article! Well done!

JuliannaS avatar

Gold , like it

alameldin avatar

thanx for u

TInna avatar
TInna 1 June

good!

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27/58
Ranking

Introducing the Euro:
The Euro is the new 'single currency' of the European Monetary Union, adopted on January 1, 1999 by 11 Member States. Greece became the 12th Member state to adopt the Euro on January 1, 2001. On January 1, 2002, these 12 countries officially introduced the Euro banknotes and coins as legal tender. Slovenia became the 13th member state to adopt the Euro on January 1, 2007.
The Euro
Polls taken in the UK in the immediate aftermath of the introduction of the Euro on January 1st 2002, indicate that people in Great Britain are less than supportive of the new Euro currency in the first few months of its history.
One poll on January 5th had the following results:
If there were a referendum, would you vote to join the Euro?
[table] Yes 31% No 56% [tr] [td…
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Faster avatar
Faster 8 Oct.

i like it

Chaudhry77 avatar
Chaudhry77 12 Oct.

Excelent

OlgaBLR avatar
OlgaBLR 14 Oct.

great

klintons avatar
klintons 16 Oct.

Labi!

massimoscalas avatar

good!

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20/47
Ranking
Many indicators gauge market and investor sentiment; but few are as robust as they possibly could be. Most of the indicators look at the balance of trades on order books, and some look at put-call ratios in the options market; but, most of them gauge a ratio or number without any context as to the actual intention of the trader. The indicator tested for this research has sought to more accurately explain the ratio of buys and sells in the options market of the underlying index. This indicator has proven to show tendencies for price activity of the Euro to go above or below key price levels, depending on up or down consensus measured in the options market.
One major indicator, the traditional put-call ratio, simply sums up and calculates all of the puts and all of the calls as a ratio. This has been criticized for being too crude of a method for gauging market sentiment, since the summation of the open interest is assumed to be long only. Assuming all the options are bought to open—a lot of them could be sold to open—results in a different sentiment entirely. A put-call ratio of 0.75 means the options market is bullish on the underlying stock, but this isn’t necessarily true. If, fo…
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Efegen avatar
Efegen 11 July

It is very complicated and diligent article. I want to know more about how can simply use this to profit more openly. I would love to see your thoughts in your next article. Could please check my article as well, it is about my trading strategy I am working for a long time:)

hrustiashka avatar

Good job!

pshan avatar
pshan 16 July

Thank you!

scramble avatar
scramble 20 July

Interesting topic, I would appreciate bit more explanations just like the reader (me) knows nothing of what you are talking about :)

samymahrous avatar

good job

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13/51
Ranking
This is the second installment of my multi-part series, trading for income. In the first part we discussed a popular forex trading strategy, the carry trade. This time around we’ll talk about options, specifically selling options for income.
Options Basics
An option gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a security at a specified price. A CALL option gives the buyer the right to buy a stock at a specified price. A PUT option gives the buyer the right to sell a stock at the option price. A CALL is a bet on rising prices while a PUT is a bet on more losses.
For example, let’s say you buy a CALL option on Apple (APPL) at 130 dollars. The current price of the stock is at $105.97. On the picture below we can see the option chain for AAPL stock with an expiry in June, about 57 days from today. Note that the bid/ask spread for this particular option is 0.08/0.10 (the highlighted part).
Buying this option would cost you only 10 cents. But note the second percentage column, it gives you an approximate probability of your options expiring ‘Out of the Money’. In layman terms, this means that according to the option pricing model, you have a 98.18% of getting 0 at …
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fxsurprise8 avatar

rajib217 zarina Yulia10 Thanks friends!

TaniaS avatar
TaniaS 5 May

Very interesting article

olchikk avatar
olchikk 6 May

отлично написано

fxsurprise8 avatar

TaniaS olchikk gracias chicas

Agnessa26 avatar

Good job)

orto leave comments
2/51
Ranking
Para la mayoría de traders que empiezan en Forex y para algunos veteranos el "London Fix" es un gran desconocido , últimamente tras unas investigaciones de una posible colusion entre algunos de los principales bancos que operan en forex se ha hecho famoso, la mayoría de retail traders desconoce de que se trata o como funciona, por lo que en este articulo voy a intentar explicar que es,porque tiene tanta importancia y como afecta al trading en forex ,todos los traders tendríamos que conocer estos datos ,ya que puede afectar a nuestros resultados en el trading.El articulo se desarrolla en formato de Q&A para que muestre un formato mas abierto y de lugar a otras opiniones que espero que mostréis en los comentarios.
¿ QUE ES EL "LONDON FIX" ?
Es el tipo de cambio de referencia que se establece todos los días a las 4 pm de Londres para las 21 divisas principales, popularmente es conocido como la fijación de Londres pero su nombre real es WM/Reuters benchmark rates , este tipo de cambio de referencia es realizado por las empresas World Markets y Thomson Reuters, para ello durante una ventana de 5 minutos , 2 minutos 30 segundos antes y 2 minutos 30 segundos después de las 4pm de Londres…
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independeceday32 avatar

Thank !!!

Olga18375 avatar
Olga18375 26 Apr.

Good job! Thanks for that!

Sveetlana avatar
Sveetlana 29 Apr.

good article. thank you

Faster avatar
Faster 4 May

very good

varunk80 avatar
varunk80 30 May

goo job!

orto leave comments
30/76
Ranking

ECB decided to leave rates unchanged in its last meeting in January. Reporting Fergal O'Brien [1],
ECB President Mario Draghi has said the Governing Council will review its stimulus in March amid signs that falling
oil prices will push the euro region’s inflation rate back to zero.

Euro unemployment rate decreased from 10.5% to 10.4% last December, bringing tiny signs of relief for ECB Governing Council. Unemployment rate dropped in Germany to 6.2%, the lowest level since 2013. In the opposite side Finland sees its unemployment rate jumping to 9.5%.
Reporting Chris Williamson [2], Chief Economist at Markit, January’s
Rates of growth continued to diverge markedly, (...) Italy’s growth rate looks to have slipped to just 0.3% and France,
once again the laggard, has returned to stagnation,

while Spain lead the gains with PMI signalling 0.75% growth rate.
Although some Euro zone economies are delivering a sustainable growth, other ones are still providing signs of concerns with steady growth, narrowing stagnation. Facing a mixed economic environment, markets will sharply watch ECB next meeting, holding for super (Mario) stimulus, levelling expectations into a supplementary purchase package.[/2][/1]…
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Nihad avatar
Nihad 24 Feb.

Super MARIO and what the YELLIN' is all about. Thx for this interesting outlook

fx_lmcap avatar
fx_lmcap 24 Feb.

Thanks!

Tasha_Mk avatar
Tasha_Mk 25 Feb.

good luck!!!

Melody avatar
Melody 25 Feb.

Nice report!

Govagent avatar
Govagent 25 Feb.

This is useful, thanks. saves me the effort of searching some information, great job ^_^

orto leave comments
38/66
Ranking
Как известно в экономике любого государства существуют экономические циклы — чередующиеся периоды рецессии и экономического подъема. То же самое можно сказать и о валюте отдельно взятой страны. Рассмотрим график пары евродоллар. Для более полного понимания все картины вернемся в прошлое и посмотрим на график пары с 79-го года:
На данном графике мы можем воочию увидеть причину текущих ожиданий рынка, а именно паритет евро с долларом США. Сегодня мы вплотную подошли к нижней границе канала к району 1.0 или к тому самому паритету. Иными словами вот вот наступит тот славный момент, когда пара евродоллар развернется и устремится далеко далеко вверх, примерно в район 1.8. И судя по всему это курс на ближайшие годы — лет 6-7.
Так когда же произойдет этот славный момент? И даст ли рынок исполниться мечте миллионов — паритету обоих валют? Для более конкретного ответа на данный вопрос обратимся к отчетам CFTC. Последние доступные на сегодня данные говорят нам следующее:
Итак из приведенных изображений мы видим, что по основным валютным парам доллар продан. Также продан он и непосредственно по индексу доллара.
Но что же происходит в мире и на рынке? Еще пару месяцев назад ФРС и ЕЦБ поумерил…
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Ernest_Motok avatar

удачи, хорошо написал статью

Margoshka avatar
Margoshka 15 Nov.

отлично!

WallStreetBlog avatar

Interesting!

Margoshka avatar
Margoshka 22 Nov.

))))very nice

Lyolichka_Voloshina avatar

отлично!!!

orto leave comments
31/43
Ranking
В техническом анализе существует множество паттернов торговли. Одни являются более прибыльными, другие не очень. Зная их и особенности их использования можно значительно повысить профитности вашей торговой системы.
Одним из них является паттерн "рельсы". Данный паттерн относится к разряду свечных. Рассмотрим наиболее классический случай на историческом графике пары EURUSD:
На рисунке видно, что данный паттерн есть не что иное, как две разнонаправленные свечи, причем Close первой находится примерно на уровне Open второй. Рассматриваемый паттерн является классическим медвежьим.
Для того, чтобы правильно войти по данному паттерну необходимо выставить ордер на продажу ниже минимума паттерна. Stop уровень для данного ордера будет точка чуть выше максимума паттерна. Где именно выставить Take Profit? Для ответа на данный вопрос построим для данного паттерна линейку Фибоначчи с точкой 0, соответствующей максимуму и 100%, соответствующей минимуму. Уровень Take Profit будет находиться в районе 161,8 Фибоначчи. Здесь же мы видим четкую отработку уровня 423,6 с последующим отскоком от него.
Также необходимо отметить, что возможен некоторый откат в противоположном направлении(обычно в район сер…
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KATRIN_90 avatar
KATRIN_90 13 Oct.

Спасибо хорошая статья:)

Cremelady avatar
Cremelady 13 Oct.

класс

Polinaria avatar
Polinaria 13 Oct.

хорошие советы!)

currency avatar
currency 20 Oct.

Like

anna_n avatar
anna_n 7 Nov.

хорошо написано

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8/53
Ranking
Having a good system is only half the battle. Knowing when and how to use it is the second and arguably more important part. Some strategies work better during ranges while others excel in trending markets. In my previous article I shared 3 very simple systems to trade range-bound markets. You can read more about them HERE .
As most seasoned forex traders know, the currency market usually enters into a lull during the summer. This period is also called the summer dull-drums.
All 3 of these systems performed great in the EUR/USD this summer. In this article I will provide an update. Let's see how the 3 systems performed from July 1st to August 20th.
Three Wins for the Bollinger Bands System
The Bollinger Bands system already scored three sizeable wins! Here are the ground rules for the system:
1. We go long when prices hit the lower Bollinger Band
2. We exit when the price touches the middle between the BBands, the 20 SMA
3. Alternatively, we place our stoploss below the most recent swing low
For shorts:
1. We go short when the price hits the upper Bollinger Band
2. We exit at a touch of the 20 simple moving average in the middle
3. Alternatively, we define our risk by pl…
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Margoshka avatar
Margoshka 28 Aug.

great!

WallStreet6 avatar

Very insightful! Haven't used systems, but that's what I presume that they're not universal for long term use. And it's important to distinguish which system to use when.

Olga18375 avatar

Wonderful job! And good thoughts!!!! Well done, friend)!

anna_n avatar
anna_n 3 Sep.

good

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

great article!

orto leave comments
27/53
Ranking

To understand what is happening with the euro, one of the most important currency markets to study is the Eurusd. The Eurusd market can be used as an indicator to establish euro strength or weakness. When the Eurusd market is rallying and making new highs, it is usually a sign that the euro currency itself is gaining and increasing in value.
From the moment it became apparent that the euro community was in a depression, the Eurusd market has been experiencing a lot of decline. Most of the initial decline started in 2014 between May and July.
Overtime, we have seen the euro community struggle with various issues, and somehow they have been able to stay afloat.
The crashing prices of crude oil and the subsequent strengthening of the U.S dollar did not help the Eurusd market either, as we saw the Eurusd market make new low after new low.
Entering 2015, the Eurusd market hit a major low in March, went it got as low as 1.0472.
After registering that low point, the Eurusd market has had three major down trends.
These down trends had several causes:
  • Low oil prices
  • Strong U.S economy supporting the U.S dollar
  • Expected U.S interest hike
  • Greece crisis
So after shrugging crisis after crisis, the…
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9jakas avatar
9jakas 14 Aug.

Nice work

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

very good!

monjurul avatar
monjurul 24 Aug.

Good work

Margoshka avatar
Margoshka 28 Aug.

good!

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