## Trading Elliot Waves with Emas.

Veröffentlicht 15 May in #Ema #Elliot Waves #Profitable System
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In this article we will be discussing the profit making using EMAs on Elliot waves. Most of us are familiar with EMAs but fewer people try to use it with Elliot waves as recognizing the phases of Elliot waves is considered a tedious task. Here I'll try to make it as easy as possible using the 1-2-3-4-5 cycle approach.
Elliot Wave structure
We will now see a brief explanation of Elliot Wave theory's basic structure.
Elliot wave cycle consists of two distinct phases: the impulse phase and the corrective phase. The complete Elliott Wave cycle is made up of 8 waves of which a basic 5 wave impulse sequence is fallowed by a basic 3 wave corrective sequence. The ABC corrective phase represents a correction of the larger impulse phase.
Now this is something which is quite well known but what is never known is when the first leg of Elliott is likely to begin. This is where most of us get frustrated and give up on using the Elliott wave principle. So I worked on it for quite a few days to figure out a best possible use of this well know principle. This article is not about the explaining the Elliott wave theory which is already freely available using google but rather it's a perspective of a…
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Good job :)

Slava_Z 1 June

Хорошая статья!

Познавательно!

Good article!

NoWay 24 Aug.

nice one

## A Setup for Trading: Using a Macd, Stochastic and Ema

Veröffentlicht 24 Feb. in #Scalping #Ema #Macd #Stochastics
19/32
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Below is a scalping method that I have been using for the previous months to help me clear volume and make continuous profit in the long run
Session: Asian or Euro session
Time frame: 1mins
MACD: 12,26,1
Stochastic: 5, 3, 2
EMA 1: 5 to the close
EMA 2: 5 to the open
The EMA 1 and EMA 2 will be our main trend indicators and the MACD will be to confirm the direction of the trend.
The Stochastic indicator will be the basis of our trade entry. However if you may leave it out if you are well vast with support and resistance for trading.
The chart will look like this after setup:
Rules
For a Buy Trade:
When the EMA 1 has crossed EMA 2. The MACD has closed higher than the previous time interval. The Stochastic crosses up from the 20 line and is not over bought
Buy Signal: The signal candle/ bar closes higher (bullish candle is formed). Stop Loss is the low of the previous candle or 20 pips but 20 pip minimum
Buy Chart

For a Sell Trade: When the EMA 1 has crossed EMA 2. The MACD has closed lower than the previous time interval. The Stochastic crosses down from the 80 line and is not over sold
Sell Signal:
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Sebine 28 Feb.

Interesting article!

good luck

Nice

very good!

45/65
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• Aby pozbyć się opóźnień w prostej średniej ruchomej (średnia arytmetyczna), Analiza techniczna często korzystają wykładnicze średnie ruchome. Ich angielski nazwa jest wykładnicza średnia ruchoma - EMA.
• Główną cechą tego ośrodka jest to, że przywiązuje większą wagę do ostatnich wartości niż osoby starsze, a zatem jest bardziej wrażliwa, dlatego lepiej odzwierciedla aktualny stan rynku. Ponadto EMA szybko reaguje na zmiany SMA.
• Stare wartości EMA, zamiast być odrzucone, stopniowo tracą znaczenie, dopóki nie ma w ogóle być istotne. Najczęstszym EMA wskaźnik obliczany jest na podstawie cen zamknięcia.
• Interpretacja wskaźnika EMA jest zasadniczo identyczna interpretacja wskaźnika SMA.
• Jeżeli wykres przecina górną linii oczywiście z braku wzrostu wykładniczego średniej ruchomej, to sygnał sprzedaży (S). Sygnał jest tym silniejszy, im dłużej średnio linia była stabilizowana w pozycji poziomej blisko przed wygenerowaniem sygnału. Gdy wykres przecina dolny bieg malejącą wykładniczej średniej kroczącej, jest to sygnał do zakupu (K).
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well done

Good job, go ahead :)

brilliant 24 Nov.

useful indicator thank you

Nice job!

geobio66 23 Dec.

подобно смотри Forex Menu

12/56
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Introduction
The GBP.IDX also known as the UK100 is an index that tracks the best 100 performing stocks from the London Stock Exchange. The GBR.IDX is one of the ways a person can trade UK stocks without buying a single at once. The GBP.IDX is my most preferred trading index because it forms a trend that lasts more than 6 days, with a nice trading strategy you can make more than 90% of the trades.In this article i will describe a method i have found profitable over my 6months of trading the index.
The Strategy
This Strategy is aimed for day traders and scalpers. It takes note of the overbought and oversold regions to give you an early warning of the trend. The strategy involves four parts.
1.Spotting the Trend
Open the GBP.IDX 30minutes chart and identify the high highs and lower lows
CHART 1: GBP.IDX 30 MIN chart showing lower lows and lower highs in a downtrend
2. Filter the trend
• Switch to a five minute frame
• Go to the indicators and add the 200 EMA
• In a downtrend the price is below the 200 EMA

3. Finding trading Opportunities
• Switch to a five minute frame
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k_morocco 26 Oct.

Hello, very good article
i like very much your use of stochstic for spoting the end of the correction , and the use of ma 200 to spot the trend

good luck

mqdwt 28 Oct.

good job

Bidza 28 Oct.

Great insight in this article.

mcquak 28 Oct.

trend trading is always the best, thanks for the article

very good

## Parabolic Sar and Ema 200 Strategy

Veröffentlicht 11 July in #Strategy #Ema #Parabolic Sar
32/58
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EMA (Exponential Moving Average) are among the most popular Moving Averages. Unlike the Simple Moving Averages (SMA), EMA give greater weight on nearby price values . More and more investors use them in their long-term strategies. Moving Averages periods may vary in different ranges. The most popular are 14, 20, 50, 100 and 200. The purpose of the indicator is to show the current trend. When the price is above EMA we assume that the trend is bullish and vice versa when the price is under EMA, we have a bearish trend. Parabolic SAR indicator is showing our potential points for trend reversals. In recent years, it is used in Forex trading. This indicator is trend-following and many market participants use his points for placing stop loss. Strategy: The strategy in this article uses two indicators: Parabolic SAR and EMA 200. The strategy shows the entrances under certain conditions. With this strategy we don’ have a clear stop loss and target point as they are variable for each transaction Rules for trading: This strategy is suitable for any time frame, from 1 minute to 1 day. With larger time frame, the signals are going to be more The 1 day chart is recommended. Currencies: All curr…
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Nice summing up of the moving averages

9/31
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WHY TRADING WITH AUTOMATED STRATEGY WORKS ?
Automated forex trading systems use the latest technology to simplify navigation of the forex market. These systems are made up of sophisticated computer software that uses mathematical algorithms to analyze the right times to buy and sell currency. These programs also make the process even easier by conducting the trades for you.
Trusting a machine to make choices when large sums of money are at stake may sound like a bad idea, but automated forex trading can actually work better than trading handled by a human. People frequently make mistakes such as math errors, misreading charts, or simply failing to look at all the factors involved.Another common human complication comes from our susceptibility to emotions. Frequently people allow emotions to get in the way of their better judgment, and this can lead to lost money in the forex market.
Using an automated forex trading system eliminates these problems and improves your results by keeping track of all the available data and making the best decisions. Online trading with a automated strategy can streamline the entire trading process.
Traditional trading methods require an individual to…
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SalviLeana 19 Apr.

Good job !!

anna_t 19 Apr.

like it!!

very good!

al_dcdemo 28 Apr.

Great article. Very well written. Nice job!

nice and very interesting article!Thanx!

6/31
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Introduction

The strategy contest to me has been one of the most challenging contest for me in the Dukascopy community because i have traded manually for the past couple of years. Though I have been a member of the Dukascopy Community for over a year now, my first month of participation was December 2014.
Monthly Analysis
I have been attempting to build a winning scalping strategy based on the EURUSD because of its high liquidity, huge market depth and low spreads. However it has not always been rosy as evidenced in the Fig1 below
Fig 1: Monthly performance on the strategy contest
From the chats in Fig 1, the following points can be noted from the performance:
• The returns for the first three months of participation were negative whilst the March strategy, Talia13 had a positive return.
• The January strategy resulted in the most number of positive trades at 90% of 51 trades entered
[list][/list]…
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SalviLeana 13 Apr.

Good work

very nice method

really interesting!

Good one!

good!

11/45
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Dear Traders,
this is the third article my series Bollinger Band Strategy for Trending Markets. In the first article (December 2014) I described how you get in and out of the trade when we are in a trending market. In the second article (January 2015) it was all about managing stops and take profits.
In this one, it will be all about how to determine a sideways market. This is the time frame, when we don’t trade at all, since we have no underlying trend. Don’t underestimate this – staying aside and waiting for good opportunities is a big part in successful trading.
Te keep things simple and concentrate on the active trades I showed that you are in a trending market when the middle line of the Bollinger Bands is consistently rising or falling. When this middle line – which is just a moving average – is flat or directionless, we are in a sideways market.
This all is completely true, but we can do better: In standard Bollinger Band settings the middle line is a exponential moving average. The parameters don’t matter that much, the key is to keep them on a fixed level to get the feeling how they move.
Back to the middle line - there are numerous ways to alter that line. Jforex is …
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Milian 27 Feb.

хорошая работа!

verindur 27 Feb.

Thank you : )))))

garisan 27 Feb.

Interesting. Me myself like the wma because I don't like the line continuously touching the candles. Also another indication of a possible consolidation is when start to appear goups of very short candles side by side, when that happens you have to watch carefully. Waiting for 2nd part :)

fullmoon 28 Feb.

Hi @garisan, short candles or long candles, like the four above in week 6. Reading Price Action is fun. When I trade my Bollinger Band strategy, I try to keep the Bands always on and only adjust the underlying MA. WMA works great with slightly adjusted parameters, then it's not that slow.

Annuuta 28 Feb.

Well done!)

## Trading with the Gmma Indicator and the Importance of Backtesting

Veröffentlicht 19 Apr. in #Ema #Sma #System #Profitable #Backtest #Gmma #Multiple Moving Averages
1/46
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If there's one trading-related activity that I really enjoy doing is creating simple mechanical strategies that have a statistical edge, and can be successfully used by anyone, regardless of experience level in the world of trading in general, and Forex in particular. This month I took a look at a moving average indicator called the GMMA (Guppy Multiple Moving Average), and tried to come up with a profitable strategy, based on a few simples rules. ___________________________________________► Brief introduction into the GMMA indicator Even though this tool (developed by Australian trader Daryl Guppy) is not available in the Dukascopy jForex platform, you can easily apply it to your charts, because it simply consists of two groups of exponential moving averages (EMA). The faster averages are 3, 5, 8, 10, 12 and 15 EMA, while the slower ones are 30, 35, 40, 45, 50 and 60 EMA. The way you trade with the GMMA is not by the typical moving average crossover you would expect, but by analysing and interpreting the interaction between the two groups (for example, if the distance between them is compressing or expanding), and also among the different EMAs within each group. However, …
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Dieselfx 30 Apr.

thanks for ur support, good luck to u too in this contest ;)

Never too late for another +1

good work, I liked it +++

apsu 1 May

good

foxybaby 22 Mar.

not good. Looking at the equity curve in your backtesting. Winning trades until around trade 60. Afterwards constant loss until trade 120. If the trades are evenly distributed over time, then you have made profit between 2003 and 2007. From 2007 onwards there were only losses t come. If you start today, you would have to expect a losing strategy.

## Automating a Strategy - Pt2 – Backtest and Corrections

Veröffentlicht 18 Apr. in #Strategy #Jforex #Ema #15M #Backtest
26/46
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Premise In continuation of previous article Set main rules where I described main particularities of this simple strategy, I am now exposing main data obtained from some back-test and the arrangements I did in order to improve the stability and profitability. Back-Test First of all, I wish the strategy to produce as many losses as possible but in the same time, not to cause too much drawdown or (worst) completely destroy the account. Second, I need at least 100 executed positions so in this case a 3 month test should be enough. Third, once obtained the results I will have to understand how many times the strategy fails, why and when. Results Here are the 3 months back-test results:As we see, the strategy did not burn the account which is actually a good sign considering there is not even 1 single way to protect the downside risk (except the stop loss and default margin call). However, there is a large imbalance favoring the losing trades, indeed ending equity returned a value of 37.329\$ meaning a 25% net loss caused by 97 losing trades. The strategy is based in a fast timeframe (15minutes) but considering the particularity of the rules, there are far more than expected losing…
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scramble 26 Apr.

@efegen: my bad! few days ago was updating the page, i was sure i clicked the "publish" button before exiting. now updated!!! TKS :)

scramble 26 Apr.

@doc: definetly i believe that having a nice strategy running in account is a good opportunity! in my case i'm looking to develop a short term one, and focus my self on med/long term trades. don't forget to give an eye on jforex visual :)

jlongo 29 Apr.

It's nice to have all type of articles explaining our possible errors and how to see them, this series contains valuable information :) Keep the good work!

scramble 29 Apr.

tks jose! indeed my hope with this article is to show what in my opinion is the meaning of the word "testing": it's not just testing what a strategy did in last 1500years using some setups based on ideas, collect data to print a possible picture, so decide if use or not that strategy... "testing" imo means to clearly understand where are bad problems, if there is a reasonable solution and how to build it!

Metal_Mind 27 July

very nice !! bravo !! LIKE

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PremiseI'm actually studying Java programming to improve my personal background. I started some time ago, but I had to postpone due to many difficulties and my knowledge is still at an elementary level, so in case you notice some mistakes on the code, please forgive me in advance. With this article I want to show how I automated a simple MA-based strategy. So I also take the opportunity to share it and to show my approach in detecting main factors and then all steps I considered while developing and testing the code.ToolsI decided to start coding the very first strategy I used because I have a good familiarity with all its good & bad aspects, and to use it in this article since gives a clear perception of the main aspects I'm presenting. However, the code can be modified to look for different MA periods in different timeframes and instruments.Instrument: EUR/USD;Timeframe: 15 Minutes;Indicators: EMA(14) & EMA(65);EssentialsThe strategy is simple and people could laugh thinking about it, while I really suggest to give it a deeper consideration.This is how the chart setup appears:The rule is clear: sell when green line (ema14) cross down the red one (ema65), buy when it cross up. But…
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scramble 29 Apr.

tks @likery and @alifari! much appreciated :)

wow! I am really impressed...great job!!!

+10

scramble 29 Apr.

tks charm :) much appreciated!

funny to have about 20-25fb likes, and see that they are not counted in total popularity.

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Everyone has a trading strategy, at least should have, no matter if it is a scalping or a long term we, as traders, always need to stick to that saying: plan your trade, trade your plan. So here is one of the strategies that I have been using in my forex endeavour. I call it: EMA touch and go.It is pretty basic and works based on the touch of the 5 EMA on a hourly chart and it is most effective in trending pairs, since it is a “follow the trend” strategy.You will need the following tools to put it into work:- Hourly chart of a trending pair (no matter the direction)- 5 EMA (red line in my charts)- 8 EMA (blue line in my charts)- 21 EMA (green line in my charts)So, what’s the plan? If the pair is trending up and the price action is above the 21 EMA, we will wait for a touch or a close near the hourly 5 EMA to enter a buy position, as shown by the black arrows in the chart below:The same plan can be applied to the down side: if the pair is trending down and price action is below the 21 EMA, we will wait for a touch or a close near the 5 EMA to enter a sell position, as shown by the black arrows in the chart below:When not to use itFirst thing you should check is the distance between …
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Likerty 19 Oct.

Yeah - with lots of experiance trader can trade any method really - even absolutely naked charts:)

Nicco 29 Oct.

I use EMAs and ticks chart

camarrone 29 Oct.

Nicco... are you using this strategy with ticks charts or do you scalp using tick charts?

bmg 31 Oct.

nice article

doctortyby 31 Oct.

@ Auto 1 - I was talking about the Spread or Range of the Price on the Chart, not the spread of the Broker. :) This is Supply and demand trading and also the Volume Spread analysis system. Good luck in trading :)

## Another Point of View 2 - the Golden Study 1/4

Veröffentlicht 3 June in #Gold #Ema #Ma #Kama
3/48
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INTRODUCTION

Due to the variety and complexity of things I
will need to talk about, I divided the article in 4 sections.
Whole article will show a study in GOLD, but of
course the very same setups are possible in all major currencies, after some
correction relatively to the currency behavior.
This first section will be dedicated to
understand what kind of MA to apply in a chart, to increase confidence in a
trade.

MOVING AVERAGES

This m30 chart shows one of the most
representative situations we find in gold. I drawn some levels based in my
approach to a chart as I shown in previous articles
(weekly levels, pivots, PA, etc&hellip . I will never be tired to repeat that price
is the very 1st thing to look at.
According to the momentum, 1600 was (and is) a
demand area while 1700 was (and is) a supply area. I will show in next sections
reasons why we have main supply and demand areas and what to do to identify
them.
When going from 1600 to 1700, price finds some
minor levels, causing reactions in points A-B-C-D. Nobody explain why we should
use a SMA instead (for example) of an EMA one, and also why we should use a 30
periods look-back instead (for example) of  200. …
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one day I´ll have the patience to figure out MAs etc and I`ll use this article as part of it...good luck..

Excellent Post! I use 2 different MA's for completely different purposes. So I think it is possible to use more than 1 at a time. :) +1

AdrianWS 23 June

Very nice article as always, good luck trading.

doctortyby 27 June

Moving Averages work the best in Trending Markets, but in Sideways Movements they are almost useless. Congrats on the series of articles this month

scramble 27 June

thank you all for comments! @doctor: totally agree in this! kama has less noise but of course in ranging.... helpful only in faster TFs maybe :-)

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You will find out a definite answer to this
question that haunts every trader. You will see the results of a comprehensive
study of 127 indicators. And THE WINNER IS…? You would most likely never have
guessed it. It is an indicator that every trader knows and many
traders use. The question is whether they use it properly and profitably. Should
you use it? Read on...
The study of
127 indicators
In this book of 800!!! pages the author and his team present
the results of testing the performance of 127 indicators for a period including most of the
previous century for Dow Jones Industrial Average. (Note: the study doesn’t differentiate
between indicators and oscillators.)
Unfortunately a similar study doesn’t exist for the FX
market. But indicators are indicators because technical analysis is technical
analysis in any market so let’s see whether we can learn from this study something
for our FX trading
They compared results of the performance of the
Buy&Hold strategy with a strategy using a particular indicator. There were
some other rules which are irrelevant for this discussion.
The tested indicators included also the indicators
that are widely used in FX trading like:
various types
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scramble 18 May

@robert: you are right! i read again whole article and so i understand i got it wrong last time. stress gives this and many other kind of thigs!
good luck :-)

The people who actually have the holy grail indicator(s) are busy making money from it and dont want to share it..otherwise they would lose their edge

belman 24 May

Well done +1

Furian 28 May

Most efficient indicator is into our head. To understand what BBWEB (big boys with endless balance) try to do in particular time frame with intention to induce some sentiment which will be wiped soon after majority of day traders start to think "ok I go in this direction" Someone must lose if some other win. Fake sentiment is most deadly sword for majority of traders as well as 'recomendation" from some "good names"

HansFX 14 July

Good article. This also explains why all indicators only work in certain market regimes. It's important to constantly test which indicators work best at a given moment for a certain currency pair. You can either do this by using MT4s back-testing framework, or by checking for example my link, where they test different forex indicators on recent price series. Make sure to set "include transaction costs" to true in the settings.

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LONG TERM MORE THAN 3 MONTH WITH
USING APPLICATION THE SHIFT AND THE PERIOD IN
SMA FOR EMA

Continuing for writing for the other parts from Simple Moving
Average (SMA), most the traders use like Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This
indicator is very simple, and we can use for the Shift and the Period like been
explained in the before Article (Simple Moving Average (SMA), for instance for
trading monthly, with Pips (Lot) equals 2, the best period we can use it is
12), so only one way for looking more the Period and the Shift in EMA?
Ussualy, the general Formula for EMA as below
EMA = Pr + {C *
(Price Now- Pr)}
where,
EMA = Exponential
Moving Average
Pr = The Previous
Period Exponential Moving Average
C = The Smoothing Constant,
where is derived from the time period selected by individual, and ussualy
following with the C = 2/n+1, where n is the period selected.

Furthermore, for
explaining how to look for “Pr” depends on the assumption what we make, take a
look for the example below.

Example 1 :
We make for Pr = 50,
so with the monthly Trading. Based on the before Article, for one month
Trading, we can choose n=12, so tha…
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MrSami 14 Apr.

Nice subject... Good luck