GBP/NZD 4H Chart: Long-term trend-line breached

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 1D 1W 1MN
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Buy Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Neutral
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Buy
Aggregate

The four-hour chart reveals that the Sterling has been trading sideways against the New Zealand Dollar since mid-October, 2017. This movement has been constrained in a flat descending channel.  

The Pound was moving along a long-term trend-line since the beginning of 2018 prior to breaching the given line this week. From theoretical point of view, this breakout should point to a medium-term decline. The fact that the Pound breached the 55-, 100– and 200-period SMAs likewise adds some ground to this bearish scenario. 

The rate was testing the monthly S1 at 1.9246 mid-Friday. It is likely that some short-term correction up to 1.96 occurs early next week. However, bears should eventually take the dominant hand and push the rate lower, setting the bottom channel line and the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement at 1.86 as a possible target during the following months.

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