USD/JPY successfully weathers selling pressure

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"With public pensions working toward rebalancing their domestic bond-heavy portfolios, private pensions are highly likely to take the same approach. Hedge funds are betting the changes are already taking place, which is increasing pressure for yen selling as they race to keep up."
- Nomura (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook

Although there was expected a distinct bearish correction at least down to 106 (we should still not rule it out completely), the U.S. Dollar is holding fairly well during the current profit-taking. Accordingly, while the up-trend support line stays intact, the long-term bias towards USD/JPY will remain bullish, with the initial target being the monthly R3 at 108 and the next potential objective being the 2008 Sep high at 109.

Traders' Sentiment

Most of the SWFX market participants consider the Greenback to be overvalued relative to the Japanese Yen, since as many as 69% of open positions are short. Concerning the pending orders, still 62% of them are set to purchase the Buck.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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