Community Forecasts for September 15-19: EUR/USD 1W Chart

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
The Euro/Dollar currency pair traded in a mixed environment during the previous trading week, as both opening level on Monday and closing level on Friday were almost equal. However, we could observe some important moves at some points of time. With the opening trading level of 1.2945, the single currency dropped down to 1.2859 on Tuesday, but managed to rebound the same day. Investors have been pricing the possible rate hike from the Federal Reserve, which may take place in the foreseeable future, and it continued to put pressure on the Eurozone's currency, especially when the ECB loosed monetary policy even more. The pair, in turn, closed the trading week at 1.2959, remaining within the range of the 14-month low. Dukascopy traders expected this sideways movement, as bullish and bearish votes were split equally.
This week the sentiment experienced no changes, with 50% of participants in our weekly Community Forecasts quiz are waiting for the EUR/USD cross to be relatively flat. The average prediction is located just below the 1.2950, the level supported by the daily and weekly pivot points at 1.2939/33. Among important this week's events, traders should pay their attention to German ZEW Economic sentiment, which is expected to decline further, as well as to the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Some traders, however, forecast no significant news on interest rates to come from the Fed meeting, as hadhood expects "...a pullback for the euro to the upside, especially concerning that FOMC will disappoint by not being as hawkish as expected." The same view is shared by khalidamassi, who assumes that "FED meeting may be disappointed for US $ bulls, EUR/USD needs to retrace to around 1.31-1.3150 before continue falling."
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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