EUR/JPY tests 138 level

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The market is still wondering how the ECB's balance sheet will grow back to the 2012 levels. On top of that, we have supply coming back in September across euro-zone bond markets."
- BNP Paribas SA (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook
EUR/JPY continues its advance as the pair approached the weekly and monthly R1 at 137.74/97 today. These resistance levels together with the psychological level at 138 will be a serious challenge. Moreover, the last climb was stopped around today's high at 138.18 and could add to traders uncertainty. The technical indicators are mixed; although, the monthly ones are more to the upside. With all in mind we expect a period of consolidation around the 138 mark.

Traders' Sentiment
Still a slight majority (53%) of the SWFX market participants are bearish, apparently the recent gains have not been convincing enough. The distribution between the buy and sell orders is also quite stable—52% and 48% respectively.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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