USD/PLN 1M Chart: Triangle

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
Starting from the second half of 2000 USD/PLN has been forming a symmetrical triangle on the monthly chart. But in the last quarter of 2013 the pattern was broken to the downside, meaning the overall bias is now to the downside. However, the currency pair failed to cross 3.00, even after a pull-back to the up-trend. At the moment the U.S. Dollar is moving towards the 2013 high at 3.40, which is supposed to stop the current advancement and initiate a sell-off that may potentially extend down to the 2008 low near 2.00. In this case the 2011 low just above 2.60 is going to be an intermediate target. Meanwhile, the sentiment is strongly bearish—72% of open positions are short.
© Dukascopy Bank SA
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