EUR/JPY slipping slightly lower

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Given the euro-dollar exchange rate's importance for the disinflationary risk, there is some anticipation that Draghi will be dovish. Janet Yellen is, of course, due to speak. There is the opportunity for her to answer a question on monetary policy and potentially re-establish her dovish theme."
- Rabobank International (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook
The Euro advanced for two straight days; although, at the moment, it seems that the pair is having a short term correction around the monthly PP and weekly R1 at 138.84/91. We expect the 18-nation currency to regain its recent bullish momentum and to approach the 2008 high at 138.24. However, to our mind that level should not offer very substantial resistance; therefore, the next significant resistance level is the 55-day SMA and weekly R2 at 139.36/42.

Traders' Sentiment
The traders' sentiment with respect to EUR/JPY is bearish, since as many as 74% of open positions are short. In the meantime, the relative number of sell orders is growing—100-pips from the spot price their share increased from 39% to 47%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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