Community Forecasts for June 30 - July 4: USD/JPY 1W Chart

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
The Yen was appreciating against the Greenback in the week ending June 27, with the U.S. Dollar dropping to a one-month low on Friday as positive data on the U.S. consumer sentiment did not manage to offset disappointing first quarter GDP data released earlier in the week. The demand for Yen significantly increased on Friday following better-than-expected figure on Japanese retail sales that restrained expectations for further easing from the BOJ. The USD/JPY finished last week at 101.42, marking a weekly decline of 0.01%. The pair continued its downtrend this week by trading down to 101.33 on Monday as Japanese industrial production improved less than expected, while it snapped some of the losses on Tuesday when the couple closed at 101.51.
Dukascopy community members who took part in the weekly survey appear to be bullish on currency pair, as the consensus estimate for Friday's closing price is set at 101.62. Among the slight majority of bullish participants, "smeetei" has identified a  falling wedge pattern and foresees a bullish price movement, while "carpe" bases his analysis on both strong support line on a daily chart and promising fundamentals that favor appreciation of the couple. In the meantime, "mvanzyl" is bearish on the pair as he thinks the Greenback would lose steam during the public holiday. In the meantime, "Geula4x" says that "USD/JPY seems to be on a strong bearish momentum on the daily chart," and thus expects the pair to lose its ground.
This week the couple is likely to be impacted by Employment Change data from the U.S. due on 2 July, which according to Fundamental Analysis Contest is likely to push the couple higher, and non-farm payrolls data due on 3 July.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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