USD/JPY erodes down-trend resistance

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"There's caution ahead of the event risk coming in the form of the central bank meetings."
- TD Securities (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

USD/JPY is about to break out of the descending triangle it has been forming the past five months. Since the risks are considered to be to skewed to the upside, it is expected the pair will breach the nearest resistances, such as the 200-day SMA at 102, and set course towards this year's high at 105.44. However, at the moment neither the daily nor the weekly technical studies imply increased volatility, only longer-term indicators are bullish.

Traders' Sentiment

The sentiment towards USD/JPY stays strongly bullish, since as many as 73% of open positions are long. On the other hand, the share of buy orders 50 pips from the spot plummeted over the weekend, from 72% to only 43%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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