EUR/JPY trades above 55-day SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"It seems the ECB is concerned about disinflation a bit more than the market had been led to believe. The ECB seems to be trying to adjust market expectations as the euro has gained." 
– Barclays (based on CNBC)

Pair's Outlook

We have seen the pair trading sideways, with some advances and declines but in the last ten days it has traded in a range between weekly R1 and weekly S1 (141.90 and 140.36). We expect that in short term the pair will continue to fluctuate in this range; however, some movements out of range is possible. We expect that it might fall towards monthly PP at 139.31, but to that it has to break strong support (55-day SMA) near current trading level.

Traders' Sentiment

The difference between the long (46%) and short (54%) positions has stabilised since the last time of writing. In the meantime, the share of orders to enter the market with a sell trade rose significantly from yesterday's 38% to 61%.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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