USD/JPY halted at 102

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The FOMC meeting this week could be a catalyst for USD gains. We think removal of guidance related to the 6.5 percent unemployment threshold will weaken the Fed's forward guidance on the margin, which could see some increase in US rates and USD support."
- Nomura (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook

The bullish impetus USD/JPY received a day earlier proved to be insufficient to result in a breach the monthly PP and the 38.2% Fibo. Now, if the pair does not stop sliding near 101.77, it may return back to 101, the level which is unlikely to let the price to extend the decline. Even if the Dollar dives beneath this support, the 200-day SMA, coupled with the monthly S1, will be expected to help the currency to quickly regain the lost ground.

Traders' Sentiment

The gap between the long (71%) and short (29%) positions remains perfectly unchanged compared to yesterday's reading, as an overwhelming majority of SWFX market participants are betting on the U.S. Dollar.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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