EUR/USD restrained by monthly R1

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"He [Mario Draghi] essentially forecast a lower [euro], anticipating a decline in the exchange rate due to his expectation that interest rate spreads will move in a manner that weakens the currency."
- HSBC (based on MarketWatch)

Pair's Outlook

EUR/USD remains capped by the supply at 1.3923/03, which is mainly created by the monthly R1 level. Accordingly, there is a risk that the currency pair may slide from here down to 1.3839/10, specifically the up-trend support line. Then it will be in a better position to re-challenge and subsequently overcome the mentioned resistance zone.

Traders' Sentiment

A substantial majority of the SWFX market participants continue to consider the common currency as bearish compared to the U.S. Dollar—only 31% of open positions are long and 69% are short. Meanwhile, 50 pips from the spot the share of orders to sell the Euro dropped from 59% down to 54%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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