AUD/USD capped by 100-day SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"China's PMIs have been edging lower in recent months, and this may continue. The Aussie and Kiwi appear vulnerable."
- Royal Bank of Scotland (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook

Although the first two days of this week the Aussie has been grinding lower, AUD/USD is attempting to stabilise near the monthly R1 level, which in turn is strengthened by the weekly pivot point. Accordingly, we may expect a surge in the nearest future, a scenario supported by the daily technical indicators. The longer-term perspectives, however, are quite grim, as weekly and monthly studies are bearish and the price is approaching the 200-day SMA.

Traders' Sentiment

The market has become less optimistic with respect to the Aussie's prospects—the percentage of long positions went down from 63% to 60%. At the same time, the distribution between the buy (58%) and sell (42%) orders got more skewed towards the former.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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