USD/JPY is set to rebound from 101.16/00

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The dollar is likely to remain under pressure as participants look to more data, such as U.S. GDP, for further signs of weakness in the U.S. economy, but persistent expectations towards further easing by the Bank of Japan will limit its fall against the yen."
- Mizuho Securities (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

Considering that 102.31/101.92 was insufficient to underpin the pair, USD/JPY is expected to descend down to 101.16/00 prior to an attempt to recover. There the 50% Fibonacci retracement level should provide enough support, just as during the first days of February. Alternatively, if the bearish pressure persists, there will also be the monthly S1 and the 200-day SMA nearby.

Traders' Sentiment

Traders did not rethink their attitude with respect to USD/JPY—the overwhelming majority (71%) keep holding long positions, anticipating the greenback to become more expensive relative to the Japanese Yen. In the meantime, the gap between the buy (66%) and sell (34%) orders narrowed.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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