EUR/JPY trapped between monthly PP and 100-day SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"When you see better growth data the market quite simply thinks there's less chance of deflation and less chance of Draghi taking action, which is currency-supportive."
- Rabobank (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

Considering the currency pair's behaviour during the previous month, it looks as if EUR/JPY formed a broadening wedge pattern that usually portends a reversal; in this case—end of the bearish correction. In order to confirm its long-term bullish intentions, however, the price is required to firmly settle above the resistance at 140.15/05, something it has failed to accomplish this week.

Traders' Sentiment

There is nearly perfect equilibrium between the open positions, since 51% of them are long and 49% are short, meaning the sentiment towards EUR/JPY is neutral. In the meantime, the market is building up buy orders near the current trading price, their share jumped from 41% to 58%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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